S. CanosKnee Injury
Reported out
La LigaMatchweek 7THE MATCH CENTREValencia vs Real Sociedad match centre
Full time
2:3
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
Aaron Mayol57′
Luken Beitia Aguirregomezcorta84′ (og)
Luka Sučić26′
Carlos Soler75′ (pen)
Ander Barrenetxea90+1′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Out of date · Calculated 20 Sep 17:28 UK.
Odds updated 20 Sep 19:00 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 9 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
ValenciaReal Sociedad
1.550Expected goals · API-Football2.650
5Shots on target6
19Total Shots21
54%Ball Possession46%
7Corner Kicks5
9Fouls10
2Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards0
3Goalkeeper Saves4
416Total passes368
352Passes accurate303
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Valencia 7 reported
J. CopeteAnkle Injury
Reported out
M. DiakhabyMuscle Injury
Reported out
D. FoulquierInjury
Reported out
D. LopezKnee Injury
Reported out
U. SadiqMuscle Injury
Reported out
C. TarregaHamstring Injury
Reported out
Real Sociedad 2 reported
A. OdriozolaKnee Injury
Reported out
I. ZubeldiaInjury
Reported outFetched 20 Sep, 10:52 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Valencia
2/10Wins
0.6Goals / game
1.5Conceded / game
Keep in view: 6 losses in that sample. At home, 2 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Valencia’s resultsReal Sociedad
2/10Wins
1.0Goals / game
2.0Conceded / game
Keep in view: 7 losses in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Real Sociedad’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Valencia
10 matchesResults2 wins · 2 draws · 6 losses
Goals scored per game0.6
Goals conceded per game1.5
Games with 3+ goals4 of 10
Both teams scored4 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Real Sociedad
10 matchesResults2 wins · 1 draws · 7 losses
Goals scored per game1.0
Goals conceded per game2.0
Games with 3+ goals8 of 10
Both teams scored7 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
BournemouthHome · UEFA Europa League1–2Atletico MadridHome · La Liga0–3ElcheAway · La Liga3–2Celta VigoHome · La Liga0–0EspanyolHome · La Liga2–1Real MadridAway · La Liga1–4Real BetisAway · La Liga0–1ChelseaAway · Friendlies Clubs1–31. FC KölnAway · Friendlies Clubs1–2ToulouseAway · Friendlies Clubs1–2
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Valencia at home with Real Sociedad away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 02:56 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
La Liga · 2026/27 · all league matches
ValenciaReal Sociedad
5Matches played6
1Points earned7
0Wins2
0.2Goals scored / match1.0
2.0Goals conceded / match1.8
1Clean sheets1
4Failed to score3
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Valencia at home with Real Sociedad away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
4 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Valencia
2wins4MEETINGS
Real Sociedad
1winsSep 2024 – May 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.
Scores shown with Valencia first; venues vary.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Valencia
Confirmed formation4-4-2Óscar Sánchez
- 1
S. DimitrievskiG - 24
Pablo MaffeoD - 18
PepeluD - 12
J. de HaasD - 14
José GayàD - 33
Aaron MayolM - 23
F. UgrinicM - 2
G. RodríguezM - 7
A. DanjumaM - 8
Javi GuerraF - 9
Hugo DuroF
Substitutes (12)
36 · Iker Córdoba
15 · A. Dieng
10 · H. Elliott
22 · Arnau Martínez
27 · David Otorbi
29 · Alex Panach
19 · Dani Raba
11 · Luis Rioja
39 · R. Sato
21 · Jesús Vázquez
25 · K. van Oevelen
37 · Aimar Blázquez
Real Sociedad
Confirmed formation4-4-2P. Matarazzo
- 1
Álex RemiroG - 2
J. AramburuD - 34
Luken BeitiaD - 6
Jon MartínD - 17
Sergio GómezD - 11
Gonçalo GuedesM - 4
Jon GorrotxategiM - 18
Carlos SolerM - 12
J. OchiengM - 24
L. SučićF - 10
Mikel OyarzabalF
Substitutes (12)
7 · Barrenetxea
22 · Héctor Fort
21 · Y. Herrera
14 · T. Kubo
29 · Alex Garcia
13 · Unai Marrero
3 · Aihen Muñoz
16 · Jon Pacheco
19 · M. Sarr
8 · Beñat Turrientes
23 · A. Zakharyan
9 · O. Óskarsson
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Valencia
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Dimitrievski | 90 | 5.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 35 | 0 |
| Pablo Maffeo | 90 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 47 | 2 |
| Pepelu | 90 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 51 | 3 |
| J. de Haas | 90 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 54 | 2 |
| José Gayà | 82 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 2 |
| Aimar Blázquez | 8 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| K. van Oevelen | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jesús Vázquez | 8 | 6.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 |
| R. Sato | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Luis Rioja | 2 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dani Raba | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Alex Panach | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| David Otorbi | 45 | 7.2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 2 |
| Arnau Martínez | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| H. Elliott | 21 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 0 |
| A. Dieng | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Iker Córdoba | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Aaron Mayol | 90 | 7.8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 40 | 3 |
| F. Ugrinic | 45 | 5.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 35 | 0 |
| G. Rodríguez | 69 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 47 | 3 |
| A. Danjuma | 88 | 7.1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 0 |
| Javi Guerra | 90 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 2 |
| Hugo Duro | 82 | 6.6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 1 |
Real Sociedad
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barrenetxea | 29 | 7.8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 1 |
| Álex Remiro | 90 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 35 | 0 |
| J. Aramburu | 90 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 36 | 1 |
| Luken Beitia | 90 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 39 | 3 |
| Jon Martín | 90 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 0 |
| Sergio Gómez | 69 | 6.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 1 |
| Gonçalo Guedes | 90 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 1 |
| Jon Gorrotxategi | 69 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 38 | 4 |
| Carlos Soler | 90 | 7.6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 1 |
| J. Ochieng | 61 | 6.9 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 2 |
| L. Sučić | 87 | 8.2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 35 | 0 |
| Mikel Oyarzabal | 61 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 1 |
| Héctor Fort | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Y. Herrera | 21 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 |
| T. Kubo | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Alex Garcia | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Unai Marrero | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Aihen Muñoz | 21 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 |
| Jon Pacheco | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| M. Sarr | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Beñat Turrientes | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| A. Zakharyan | 3 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| O. Óskarsson | 35 | 5.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 |
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗La Liga table
Current standings · La Liga. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 31 | 7 | 24 | 21 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Atletico Madrid | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 16 | WWWLW |
| 3 |  Real Betis | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 16 | DWWWL |
| 4 |  Real Madrid | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 15 | LWWLW |
| 5 |  Sevilla | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 13 | LWWDL |
| 6 |  Alaves | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 11 | DLLWW |
| 7 |  Deportivo La Coruna | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 10 | DLDWW |
| 8 | Real Sociedad | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 10 | WLWDW |
| 9 |  Villarreal | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 8 | WWLLL |
| 10 |  Athletic Club | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 8 | DDWWL |
| 11 |  Getafe | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 8 | WLDDL |
| 12 |  Rayo Vallecano | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 8 | DWLWL |
| 13 |  Osasuna | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 8 | DLLLW |
| 14 |  Celta Vigo | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 7 | WDDDL |
| 15 |  Espanyol | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 7 | LLWDL |
| 16 |  Racing Santander | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 7 | LLWLW |
| 17 |  Levante | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 5 | LLDWD |
| 18 |  Elche | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 5 | WLDLL |
| 19 | Valencia | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 4 | LWLLL |
| 20 |  Malaga | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 3 | LLDDL |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Valencia | Draw | Real Sociedad |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 2.75 | 3.20 | 2.45 |
| Bet365 | 2.80 | 3.40 | 2.50 |
| Marathonbet | 2.80 | 3.40 | 2.55 |
| Betfair | 2.80 | 3.25 | 2.50 |
| BetVictor | 2.80 | 3.40 | 2.50 |
Snapshot from 20 Sep 2026, 19:00 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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