M. CulbreathInjury
Reported out
BundesligaMatchweek 4THE MATCH CENTREBayer Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig match centre
Full time
2:0
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
Patrik Schick44′
Miguel Gutiérrez57′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Out of date · Calculated 20 Sep 12:36 UK.
Odds updated 20 Sep 13:01 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 9 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
Bayer LeverkusenRB Leipzig
—Expected goals · API-Football—
6Shots on target3
18Total Shots12
51%Ball Possession49%
9Corner Kicks6
14Fouls8
2Yellow Cards3
0Red Cards0
3Goalkeeper Saves4
481Total passes465
412Passes accurate405
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Bayer Leverkusen 4 reported
G. DoueMuscle Injury
Reported out
K. EichhornIllness
Reported out
N. TellaInjury
Reported out
RB Leipzig 4 reported
C. BaumgartnerThigh Injury
Reported out
M. GuiuHamstring Injury
Reported out
A. OuedraogoShoulder Injury
Reported out
R. ReitzMuscle Injury
Reported outFetched 20 Sep, 10:58 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Bayer Leverkusen
7/10Wins
2.6Goals / game
0.9Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 7 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Bayer Leverkusen’s resultsRB Leipzig
6/10Wins
2.4Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect RB Leipzig’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Bayer Leverkusen
10 matchesResults7 wins · 1 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game2.6
Goals conceded per game0.9
Games with 3+ goals9 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
CeljeHome · UEFA Europa League2–0FC AugsburgAway · Bundesliga2–2Union BerlinHome · Bundesliga4–0SV ElversbergAway · Bundesliga2–3SV WehenAway · DFB Pokal4–0NewcastleAway · Friendlies Clubs2–1Nottingham ForestAway · Friendlies Clubs1–2SevillaHome · Friendlies Clubs2–1Rot-Weiß EssenHome · Friendlies Clubs3–0GenkHome · Friendlies Clubs4–0
RB Leipzig
10 matchesResults6 wins · 0 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game2.4
Goals conceded per game1.3
Games with 3+ goals8 of 10
Both teams scored4 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Hamburger SVHome · Bundesliga5–0ComoAway · UEFA Champions League1–4Werder BremenAway · Bundesliga1–3Borussia MönchengladbachHome · Bundesliga3–0Eintracht TrierAway · DFB Pokal6–0Bayern MünchenAway · Friendlies Clubs1–3LeedsAway · Friendlies Clubs0–2VerlHome · Friendlies Clubs4–0FC Ingolstadt 04Home · Friendlies Clubs1–0AltglienickeAway · Friendlies Clubs2–1
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Bayer Leverkusen at home with RB Leipzig away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 02:57 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Bundesliga · 2026/27 · all league matches
Bayer LeverkusenRB Leipzig
3Matches played3
4Points earned6
1Wins2
2.7Goals scored / match3.0
1.7Goals conceded / match1.0
1Clean sheets2
0Failed to score0
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Bayer Leverkusen at home with RB Leipzig away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
4 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Bayer Leverkusen
2wins4MEETINGS
RB Leipzig
1winsAug 2024 – May 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.
Scores shown with Bayer Leverkusen first; venues vary.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Bayer Leverkusen
Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Carles Martínez
- 1
M. FlekkenG - 4
J. QuansahD - 2
F. MedinaD - 12
E. TapsobaD - 19
M. DiabyM - 6
E. FernándezM - 24
Aleix GarcíaM - 3
Miguel GutiérrezM - 30
I. MazaM - 9
Afonso MoreiraM - 14
P. SchickF
Substitutes (9)
5 · L. Badé
17 · Lucas Vázquez
28 · J. Blaswich
35 · Christian Kofane
7 · J. Hofmann
11 · M. Terrier
22 · V. Boniface
8 · R. Andrich
10 · M. Tillman
RB Leipzig
Confirmed formation4-3-3M. Demichelis
- 26
M. VandevoordtG - 17
R. BakuD - 4
W. OrbánD - 3
M. EstèveD - 22
D. RaumD - 21
N. El AynaouiM - 28
C. NkunkuM - 6
E. BanzuziM - 10
B. GrudaF - 40
RômuloF - 7
A. NusaF
Substitutes (9)
27 · T. Gomis
39 · B. Henrichs
45 · S. Konate
2 · A. Koné
30 · A. MaksimoviÄ
1 · Ø. Nyland
13 · N. Seiwald
35 · Max Finkgräfe
16 · L. Klostermann
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Bayer Leverkusen
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Diaby | 89 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 1 |
| M. Flekken | 90 | 7.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 41 | 0 |
| M. Tillman | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| M. Terrier | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Lucas Vázquez | 1 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Christian Kofane | 13 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| J. Hofmann | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| V. Boniface | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| J. Blaswich | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| L. Badé | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| R. Andrich | 18 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 2 |
| P. Schick | 77 | 7.9 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 1 |
| J. Quansah | 90 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 44 | 1 |
| Afonso Moreira | 90 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 2 |
| F. Medina | 90 | 6.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 74 | 1 |
| I. Maza | 90 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 30 | 2 |
| Miguel Gutiérrez | 90 | 8.1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 46 | 4 |
| Aleix García | 90 | 7.2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 71 | 0 |
| E. Fernández | 72 | 7.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 39 | 5 |
| E. Tapsoba | 90 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 66 | 2 |
RB Leipzig
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rômulo | 67 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 |
| Max Finkgräfe | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| T. Gomis | 64 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 0 |
| B. Henrichs | 6 | 5.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| L. Klostermann | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| S. Konate | 6 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| A. Koné | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| A. MaksimoviÄ | 23 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 |
| Ø. Nyland | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| N. Seiwald | 23 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 1 |
| D. Raum | 90 | 7.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 53 | 2 |
| W. Orbán | 90 | 7.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 70 | 2 |
| A. Nusa | 90 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 29 | 1 |
| C. Nkunku | 84 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 1 |
| B. Gruda | 26 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
| M. Estève | 90 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 68 | 1 |
| N. El Aynaoui | 90 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 34 | 3 |
| E. Banzuzi | 67 | 5.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 36 | 2 |
| R. Baku | 84 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 49 | 1 |
| M. Vandevoordt | 90 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 36 | 0 |
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Bundesliga table
Current standings · Bundesliga. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Borussia Dortmund | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 12 | WWWW |
| 2 |  Bayern München | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 2 | 12 | 10 | WWDW |
| 3 |  SC Freiburg | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 10 | DWWW |
| 4 |  FC Augsburg | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 7 | LDWW |
| 5 | Bayer Leverkusen | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 7 | WDWL |
| 6 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 7 | WLWD |
| 7 |  SV Elversberg | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 7 | DLWW |
| 8 |  Werder Bremen | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 7 | WDWL |
| 9 | RB Leipzig | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 6 | LWLW |
| 10 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 5 | DWLD |
| 11 |  FC Schalke 04 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 5 | DWDL |
| 12 |  SC Paderborn 07 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 4 | WLLD |
| 13 |  1. FC Köln | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 4 | LDLW |
| 14 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 3 | LWLL |
| 15 |  VfB Stuttgart | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 3 | LLWL |
| 16 |  Hamburger SV | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 3 | WLLL |
| 17 |  Union Berlin | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 1 | LLLD |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 0 | LLLL |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | RB Leipzig |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.85 | 3.90 | 3.50 |
| Bet365 | 1.85 | 4.33 | 3.40 |
| Marathonbet | 1.88 | 4.30 | 3.74 |
| Betfair | 1.85 | 4.10 | 3.60 |
| BetVictor | 1.85 | 4.33 | 3.40 |
Snapshot from 20 Sep 2026, 13:01 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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