Bayer Leverkusen
3/10Wins
1.8Goals / game
1.8Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 4 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Bayer Leverkusen’s results
BundesligaMatchweek 32THE MATCH CENTREBayer Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig match centre
90′ · Live
4:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
P. Schick25′
N. Tella45′
P. Schick76′
P. Schick89′
C. Baumgartner80′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate100.0%Bayer Leverkusen
Draw0.0%at full time
Current result estimate0.0%RB Leipzig
Another goal8.1%before full time
Next goal: Bayer Leverkusen 4.1% · no further goal 91.9% · RB Leipzig 4.0%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.Bayer LeverkusenRB Leipzig
4.380Expected goals · API-Football1.140
7Shots on target5
22Total Shots14
54%Ball Possession46%
7Corner Kicks3
7Fouls11
1Yellow Cards3
—Red Cards—
3Goalkeeper Saves3
470Total passes402
416Passes accurate348
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Bundesliga Provisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 34 | +86 | 89 | — |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 34 | +36 | 73 | — |
| 3 |  RB Leipzig | 35 | +16 | 65 | — |
| 4 | Bayer Leverkusen | 35 | +24 | 62 | ↑ 2 |
| 5 |  VfB Stuttgart | 34 | +22 | 62 | ↓ 1 |
| 6 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | +13 | 61 | ↓ 1 |
| 7 |  SC Freiburg | 34 | -6 | 47 | — |
| 8 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | -4 | 44 | — |
| 9 |  FC Augsburg | 34 | -16 | 43 | — |
| 10 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | -9 | 40 | — |
| 11 |  Union Berlin | 34 | -14 | 39 | — |
| 12 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 34 | -11 | 38 | — |
| 13 |  Hamburger SV | 34 | -14 | 38 | — |
| 14 |  1. FC Köln | 34 | -14 | 32 | — |
| 15 |  Werder Bremen | 34 | -23 | 32 | — |
| 16 |  VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | -24 | 29 | — |
| 17 |  1. FC Heidenheim | 34 | -31 | 26 | — |
| 18 |  FC St. Pauli | 34 | -31 | 26 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Bayer Leverkusen 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
RB Leipzig 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
RB Leipzig
7/10Wins
2.2Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game
Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At away venues, 5 wins from 7 available matches.
Inspect RB Leipzig’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Bayer Leverkusen
10 matchesResults3 wins · 4 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.8
Goals conceded per game1.8
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored7 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
1. FC KölnAway · Bundesliga2–1Bayern MünchenHome · DFB Pokal0–2FC AugsburgHome · Bundesliga1–2Borussia DortmundAway · Bundesliga1–0VfL WolfsburgHome · Bundesliga6–31. FC HeidenheimAway · Bundesliga3–3ArsenalAway · UEFA Champions League0–2Bayern MünchenHome · Bundesliga1–1ArsenalHome · UEFA Champions League1–1SC FreiburgAway · Bundesliga3–3
RB Leipzig
10 matchesResults7 wins · 2 draws · 1 losses
Goals scored per game2.2
Goals conceded per game1.0
Games with 3+ goals8 of 10
Both teams scored7 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Union BerlinHome · Bundesliga3–1Eintracht FrankfurtAway · Bundesliga3–1Borussia MönchengladbachHome · Bundesliga1–0Werder BremenAway · Bundesliga2–11899 HoffenheimHome · Bundesliga5–0VfB StuttgartAway · Bundesliga0–1FC AugsburgHome · Bundesliga2–1Hamburger SVAway · Bundesliga2–1Borussia DortmundHome · Bundesliga2–2VfL WolfsburgHome · Bundesliga2–2
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Bayer Leverkusen at home with RB Leipzig away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 01:47 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Bundesliga · 2025/26 · all league matches
Bayer LeverkusenRB Leipzig
31Matches played31
55Points earned62
16Wins19
2.0Goals scored / match2.0
1.4Goals conceded / match1.2
8Clean sheets11
4Failed to score3
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Bayer Leverkusen at home with RB Leipzig away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
5 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Bayer Leverkusen
3wins5MEETINGS
RB Leipzig
1winsAug 2023 – Dec 2025 · Past results, not a forecast.
Scores shown with Bayer Leverkusen first; venues vary.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Bayer Leverkusen
Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Kasper Hjulmand
- 1
M. FlekkenG - 4
J. QuansahD - 8
R. AndrichD - 12
E. TapsobaD - 42
M. CulbreathM - 24
A. GarciaM - 25
E. PalaciosM - 20
A. GrimaldoM - 30
I. MazaF - 23
N. TellaF - 14
P. SchickF
Substitutes (9)
28 · J. Blaswich
6 · E. Fernandez
5 · L. Bade
7 · J. Hofmann
10 · M. Tillman
19 · E. Poku
17 · E. Ben Seghir
13 · Arthur
35 · C. Kofane
RB Leipzig
Confirmed formation4-3-3Ole Werner
- 26
M. VandevoordtG - 17
R. BakuD - 4
W. OrbanD - 5
E. BitshiabuD - 35
M. FinkgrafeD - 24
X. SchlagerM - 13
N. SeiwaldM - 14
C. BaumgartnerM - 49
Y. DiomandeF - 40
Romulo CardosoF - 7
A. NusaF
Substitutes (9)
1 · P. Gulacsi
16 · L. Klostermann
23 · C. Lukeba
9 · J. Bakayoko
10 · B. Gruda
39 · B. Henrichs
22 · D. Raum
20 · A. Ouedraogo
11 · C. Harder
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Bayer Leverkusen
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Flekken | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 29 | — |
| Jarell Quansah | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 2 | 45 | — |
| Robert Andrich | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 57 | — |
| Edmond Tapsoba | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 57 | 2 |
| Montrell Culbreath | 77 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 33 | 2 |
| Aleix García | 85 | 8.9 | — | 1 | — | 74 | 1 |
| Exequiel Palacios | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 64 | 2 |
| Alejandro Grimaldo | 90 | 8.9 | — | 1 | 2 | 58 | 5 |
| Ibrahim Maza | 85 | 7.7 | — | 1 | — | 30 | 2 |
| Nathan Tella | 77 | 9.3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 3 |
| Patrik Schick | 89 | 9.3 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 19 | — |
| Arthur | 13 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 3 | 1 |
| Ernest Poku | 13 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 5 | — |
| Ezequiel Fernández | 10 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 4 | — |
| Malik Tillman | 10 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 3 | 1 |
| Christian Kofane | 1 | — | — | 0 | — | — | — |
| Janis Blaswich | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Loïc Badé | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Eliesse Ben Seghir | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jonas Hofmann | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
RB Leipzig
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maarten Vandevoordt | 90 | 5.9 | — | 0 | — | 20 | — |
| Ridle Baku | 90 | 5.5 | — | 0 | — | 41 | 2 |
| Willi Orbán | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 56 | 4 |
| El Chadaille Bitshiabu | 45 | 7.5 | — | 0 | — | 29 | 1 |
| Max Finkgräfe | 84 | 5.9 | — | 0 | 2 | 28 | 2 |
| Xaver Schlager | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 49 | 2 |
| Nicolas Seiwald | 65 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 35 | 3 |
| Christoph Baumgartner | 90 | 7.2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 34 | 1 |
| Yan Diomande | 90 | 6.0 | — | 0 | 1 | 32 | — |
| Rômulo | 65 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 2 | 12 | 1 |
| Antonio Nusa | 45 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 |
| Castello Lukeba | 45 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 35 | — |
| Brajan Gruda | 45 | 6.9 | — | 1 | 1 | 18 | — |
| Assan Ouédraogo | 25 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 9 | — |
| Conrad Harder | 25 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 5 | 1 |
| Benjamin Henrichs | 11 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 2 | — |
| Péter Gulácsi | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| David Raum | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lukas Klostermann | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Johan Bakayoko | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | RB Leipzig |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2.10 | 4.20 | 2.88 |
Snapshot from 1 May 2026, 21:28 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
PUT YOUR VIEW TO THE TEST
Open practice slip +Try it with virtual funds
Start with £1,000 virtual funds. Choose a single or combine different matches in an accumulator, then track confirmed results. No real money. Record an actual bet in your manual journal ↗
Football data. A clearer perspective.Back to matches →