H. BolinMuscle Injury
Reported out
BundesligaMatchweek 4THE MATCH CENTREBorussia Mönchengladbach vs FSV Mainz 05 match centre
Full time
3:4
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
Florian Neuhaus11′
Isac Lidberg59′
Shuto Machino90+5′ (pen)
Phillip Tietz18′
Sheraldo Becker45+1′
Eric Martel78′
Danny da Costa89′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Out of date · Calculated 19 Sep 08:30 UK.
Odds updated 19 Sep 11:38 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 6 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
Borussia MönchengladbachFSV Mainz 05
3.240Expected goals · API-Football2.820
6Shots on target7
15Total Shots16
47%Ball Possession53%
6Corner Kicks4
11Fouls10
5Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards0
4Goalkeeper Saves4
406Total passes471
322Passes accurate385
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Borussia Mönchengladbach 8 reported
J. CastropShoulder Injury
Reported out
T. KleindienstRed Card
Reported out
N. KuhnMuscle Injury
Reported out
E. LeopoldKnee Injury
Reported out
D. HashiokaNeck Injury
Doubtful
Y. KonoplyaKnee Injury
Doubtful
Z. UnoLacking Match Fitness
Doubtful
FSV Mainz 05 6 reported
D. KohrFoot Injury
Reported out
P. NebelMuscle Injury
Reported out
SilasBroken shinbone
Reported out
S. WidmerKnee Injury
Reported out
R. ZentnerHand Injury
Reported out
E. MartelKnee Injury
DoubtfulFetched 18 Sep, 21:10 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Borussia Mönchengladbach
7/10Wins
3.5Goals / game
1.7Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 5 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Borussia Mönchengladbach’s resultsFSV Mainz 05
7/10Wins
3.2Goals / game
0.8Conceded / game
Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At away venues, 7 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect FSV Mainz 05’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Borussia Mönchengladbach
10 matchesResults7 wins · 0 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game3.5
Goals conceded per game1.7
Games with 3+ goals10 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
SC FreiburgAway · Bundesliga0–5SV ElversbergHome · Bundesliga3–4RB LeipzigAway · Bundesliga0–3Schott MainzAway · DFB Pokal5–0Aston VillaHome · Friendlies Clubs2–1SSVg VelbertAway · Friendlies Clubs8–0Hansa RostockAway · Friendlies Clubs3–1Rot-Weiß EssenAway · Friendlies Clubs2–1Wuppertaler SVAway · Friendlies Clubs6–0Spelle-VenhausAway · Friendlies Clubs6–2
FSV Mainz 05
10 matchesResults7 wins · 2 draws · 1 losses
Goals scored per game3.2
Goals conceded per game0.8
Games with 3+ goals8 of 10
Both teams scored4 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Eintracht FrankfurtHome · Bundesliga1–3Hamburger SVAway · Bundesliga5–0SC Paderborn 07Home · Bundesliga0–0KrieschowAway · DFB Pokal9–0BournemouthHome · Friendlies Clubs2–1Paris FCHome · Friendlies Clubs4–0UdineseAway · Friendlies Clubs3–3Shabab Al Ahli DubaiHome · Friendlies Clubs1–0Holstein KielHome · Friendlies Clubs3–01. FC KaiserslauternHome · Friendlies Clubs4–1
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Borussia Mönchengladbach at home with FSV Mainz 05 away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 01:51 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Bundesliga · 2026/27 · all league matches
Borussia MönchengladbachFSV Mainz 05
3Matches played3
0Points earned4
0Wins1
1.0Goals scored / match2.0
4.0Goals conceded / match1.0
0Clean sheets2
2Failed to score1
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Borussia Mönchengladbach at home with FSV Mainz 05 away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
4 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1wins4MEETINGS
FSV Mainz 05
1winsOct 2024 – Apr 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.
Scores shown with Borussia Mönchengladbach first; venues vary.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Confirmed formation3-4-2-1J. Lichte
- 1
M. NicolasG - 6
K. ItakuraD - 5
J. LeszczyńskiD - 4
K. DiksD - 29
J. ScallyM - 38
H. BolinM - 16
P. SanderM - 26
L. UllrichM - 9
F. HonoratM - 10
F. NeuhausM - 3
I. LidbergF
Substitutes (9)
2 · F. Chiarodia
25 · R. Hack
14 · D. Hashioka
20 · D. Herold
33 · D. Batz
18 · S. Machino
36 · W. Mohya
34 · M. Nguefack
7 · K. Stöger
FSV Mainz 05
Confirmed formation3-5-2U. Fischer
- 1
A. SchwolowG - 4
S. PoschD - 3
F. GruberD - 48
K. PotulskiD - 19
A. CaciM - 10
N. AmiriM - 6
K. SanoM - 7
Lee Jae-SungM - 2
P. MweneM - 9
P. TietzF - 23
S. BeckerF
Substitutes (9)
16 · S. Bell
21 · D. da Costa
17 · B. Hollerbach
40 · M. Kinzig
11 · R. Königsdörffer
15 · L. Maloney
5 · E. Martel
47 · R. Nakuzola
20 · O. Ruoppi
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Borussia Mönchengladbach
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Bolin | 84 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 2 |
| M. Nicolas | 90 | 5.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 0 |
| K. Stöger | 14 | 5.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 0 |
| M. Nguefack | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| W. Mohya | 26 | 5.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 1 |
| S. Machino | 6 | 7.5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
| D. Herold | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| D. Hashioka | 14 | 5.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 |
| R. Hack | 6 | 5.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| F. Chiarodia | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| D. Batz | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| J. Scally | 76 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 1 |
| P. Sander | 90 | 6.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 60 | 4 |
| F. Neuhaus | 64 | 7.5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 2 |
| I. Lidberg | 90 | 7.1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 0 |
| J. Leszczyński | 90 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 73 | 1 |
| K. Itakura | 84 | 5.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 0 |
| F. Honorat | 76 | 5.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 1 |
| K. Diks | 90 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 59 | 2 |
| L. Ullrich | 90 | 7.2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 29 | 2 |
FSV Mainz 05
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Tietz | 90 | 7.9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 1 |
| S. Bell | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| D. da Costa | 25 | 7.1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 0 |
| B. Hollerbach | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| M. Kinzig | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| R. Königsdörffer | 14 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 |
| L. Maloney | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| E. Martel | 25 | 7.1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 |
| R. Nakuzola | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| O. Ruoppi | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| K. Sano | 90 | 7.0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 48 | 0 |
| K. Potulski | 90 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 68 | 3 |
| S. Posch | 90 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 56 | 4 |
| P. Mwene | 90 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 32 | 3 |
| Lee Jae-Sung | 65 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 0 |
| F. Gruber | 90 | 5.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 78 | 3 |
| A. Caci | 65 | 6.6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 0 |
| S. Becker | 76 | 9.0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 0 |
| N. Amiri | 89 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 61 | 0 |
| A. Schwolow | 90 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 0 |
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Bundesliga table
Current standings · Bundesliga. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Borussia Dortmund | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 12 | WWWW |
| 2 |  Bayern München | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 2 | 12 | 10 | WWDW |
| 3 |  SC Freiburg | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 10 | DWWW |
| 4 |  FC Augsburg | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 7 | LDWW |
| 5 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 7 | WDWL |
| 6 | FSV Mainz 05 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 7 | WLWD |
| 7 |  SV Elversberg | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 7 | DLWW |
| 8 |  Werder Bremen | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 7 | WDWL |
| 9 |  RB Leipzig | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 6 | LWLW |
| 10 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 5 | DWLD |
| 11 |  FC Schalke 04 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 5 | DWDL |
| 12 |  SC Paderborn 07 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 4 | WLLD |
| 13 |  1. FC Köln | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 4 | LDLW |
| 14 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 3 | LWLL |
| 15 |  VfB Stuttgart | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 3 | LLWL |
| 16 |  Hamburger SV | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 3 | WLLL |
| 17 |  Union Berlin | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 1 | LLLD |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 0 | LLLL |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Borussia Mönchengladbach | Draw | FSV Mainz 05 |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 3.00 | 3.50 | 2.15 |
| Bet365 | 3.00 | 3.80 | 2.15 |
| Marathonbet | 3.14 | 3.80 | 2.17 |
| BetVictor | 3.00 | 3.90 | 2.10 |
| Pinnacle | 3.23 | 3.79 | 2.20 |
Snapshot from 19 Sep 2026, 11:38 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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