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FSV Mainz 05 vs Holstein Kiel match centre

FSV Mainz 05 badgeFSV Mainz 05Home
WWWWW
Momentum↑ Strong100/100OlderLatest
Full time
3:0
UK time · Europe/London
Holstein Kiel badgeHolstein KielAway
DLWWD
Momentum↗ Rising56/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
P. Tietz14′
R. Konigsdorffer31′
W. Boving90+9′
Venue to be confirmedSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
FSV Mainz 05Holstein Kiel

The score is available. Detailed match statistics have not been supplied yet.

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

FSV Mainz 05 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Holstein Kiel 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

FSV Mainz 05

5/10Wins
3.4Goals / game
1.5Conceded / game

Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At home, 5 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect FSV Mainz 05’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Holstein Kiel

6/10Wins
1.9Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game

Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 4 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Holstein Kiel’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

FSV Mainz 05

10 matches
Oldest newest
Results5 wins · 1 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game3.4
Goals conceded per game1.5
Games with 3+ goals7 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10

Past results, not predictions.

See results

Holstein Kiel

10 matches
Oldest newest
Results6 wins · 1 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.9
Goals conceded per game1.3
Games with 3+ goals8 of 10
Both teams scored7 of 10

Past results, not predictions.

See results
About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare FSV Mainz 05 at home with Holstein Kiel away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 01:08 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Friendlies Clubs · 2026/27 · all league matches

FSV Mainz 05Holstein Kiel
3Matches played5
9Points earned10
3Wins3
8.3Goals scored / match2.0
0.3Goals conceded / match1.2
2Clean sheets1
0Failed to score0

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares FSV Mainz 05 at home with Holstein Kiel away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

FSV Mainz 05

Confirmed formationPendingUrs Fischer
  1. 27R. ZentnerG
  2. 19A. CaciD
  3. 21D. da CostaD
  4. 3F. GruberM
  5. 31D. KohrM
  6. 11R. KonigsdorfferF
  7. 5E. MartelM
  8. 8P. NebelM
  9. 20O. RuoppiM
  10. 9P. Tietz
  11. 47R. Nakuzola
Substitutes (11)

· M. Kinzig

14 · W. Boving

15 · L. Maloney

16 · S. Bell

23 · M. Richter

· S. Becker

24 · S. Kawasaki

25 · A. Hanche-Olsen

34 · D. Imafidon

17 · T. Yamazaki

· A. Haidara

Holstein Kiel

Confirmed formationPendingTim Walter
  1. 41L. Rothenhagen
  2. 8G. Balzi
  3. 9G. Kvilitaia
  4. 10J. Therkelsen
  5. 11A. Bernhardsson
  6. 13I. Nekic
  7. 17F. Alidou
  8. 26D. Zec
  9. 28J. Meffert
  10. 32H. Sekine
  11. 47J. Tolkin
Substitutes (11)

1 · T. Weiner

6 · M. Ivezic

15 · K. Davidsen

19 · P. Harres

20 · A. Kapralik

27 · I. Ugoh

30 · T. Tasdelen

33 · L. Wiese

34 · M. Richter Monserrat

40 · L. Parduzi

46 · C. Medlin

2026/27 STANDINGS

Friendlies Clubs table

League centre ↗

Current standings. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

Standings are not available for this competition and season.

THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

PUT YOUR VIEW TO THE TEST

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