FSV Mainz 05
9/10Wins
4.9Goals / game
0.5Conceded / game
Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At home, 7 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect FSV Mainz 05’s results
BundesligaMatchweek 1THE MATCH CENTREFSV Mainz 05 vs SC Paderborn 07 match centre
Full time
0:0
UK time · Europe/LondonTHE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
FSV Mainz 05SC Paderborn 07
1.230Expected goals · API-Football0.730
4Shots on target0
21Total Shots10
51%Ball Possession49%
11Corner Kicks2
8Fouls10
1Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
0Goalkeeper Saves4
461Total passes462
385Passes accurate386
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
FSV Mainz 05 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
SC Paderborn 07 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
SC Paderborn 07
4/10Wins
1.9Goals / game
1.6Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 5 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect SC Paderborn 07’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
FSV Mainz 05
10 matchesResults9 wins · 1 draws · 0 losses
Goals scored per game4.9
Goals conceded per game0.5
Games with 3+ goals8 of 10
Both teams scored3 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
KrieschowAway · DFB Pokal9–0BournemouthHome · Friendlies Clubs2–1Paris FCHome · Friendlies Clubs4–0UdineseAway · Friendlies Clubs3–3Shabab Al Ahli DubaiHome · Friendlies Clubs1–0Holstein KielHome · Friendlies Clubs3–01. FC KaiserslauternHome · Friendlies Clubs4–1EisbachtalAway · Friendlies Clubs10–0PfeddersheimAway · Friendlies Clubs11–01. FC HeidenheimAway · Bundesliga2–0
SC Paderborn 07
10 matchesResults4 wins · 4 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game1.9
Goals conceded per game1.6
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored7 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Phönix LübeckAway · DFB Pokal4–2Werder BremenAway · Friendlies Clubs2–2VfL OsnabrückAway · Friendlies Clubs2–0Fagiano OkayamaHome · Friendlies Clubs3–1VfL WolfsburgHome · Bundesliga1–1VfL WolfsburgAway · Bundesliga0–0SV Darmstadt 98Away · 2. Bundesliga2–0Karlsruher SCHome · 2. Bundesliga2–2SV ElversbergAway · 2. Bundesliga1–5FC Schalke 04Home · 2. Bundesliga2–3
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare FSV Mainz 05 at home with SC Paderborn 07 away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 00:21 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Bundesliga · 2026/27 · all league matches
FSV Mainz 05SC Paderborn 07
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares FSV Mainz 05 at home with SC Paderborn 07 away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
FSV Mainz 05
Confirmed formation3-1-4-2Urs Fischer
- 27
R. ZentnerG - 21
D. da CostaD - 3
F. GruberD - 31
D. KohrD - 6
K. SanoM - 19
A. CaciM - 7
Lee Jae-SungM - 10
N. AmiriM - 2
P. MweneM - 23
S. BeckerF - 9
P. TietzF
Substitutes (9)
1 · A. Schwolow
30 · S. Widmer
15 · L. Maloney
4 · S. Posch
48 · K. Potulski
24 · S. Kawasaki
20 · O. Ruoppi
11 · R. Konigsdorffer
47 · R. Nakuzola
SC Paderborn 07
Confirmed formation3-4-3Ralf Kettemann
- 15
N. NollG - 21
J. ter HorstD - 25
T. SchellerD - 22
M. HansenD - 17
L. CurdaM - 28
L. UlrichM - 5
S. CastanedaM - 23
R. ObermairM - 18
M. PieringerF - 30
S. MarinoF - 40
G. VidovicF
Substitutes (9)
1 · M. Schubert
3 · J. Sticker
29 · C. Lippmann
24 · N. Mohr
6 · T. Baack
7 · O. Batista Meier
8 · L. Djuric
27 · S. Tigges
38 · D. Zeitler
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
FSV Mainz 05
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robin Zentner | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 25 | — |
| Danny da Costa | 90 | 7.7 | — | 0 | 3 | 49 | 3 |
| Fabio Gruber | 90 | 7.9 | — | 0 | — | 48 | 3 |
| Dominik Kohr | 80 | 7.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 49 | 4 |
| Kaishu Sano | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | 2 | 53 | 1 |
| Anthony Caci | 73 | 7.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 36 | 3 |
| Jae-sung Lee | 68 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 3 | 31 | — |
| Nadiem Amiri | 90 | 7.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 48 | — |
| Phillipp Mwene | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 35 | 1 |
| Sheraldo Becker | 68 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 14 | — |
| Phillip Tietz | 90 | 6.0 | — | 0 | 3 | 30 | — |
| Otto Ruoppi | 22 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 9 | — |
| Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer | 22 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 3 | 1 |
| Silvan Widmer | 17 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 8 | — |
| Kacper Potulski | 10 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 23 | — |
| Alexander Schwolow | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Stefan Posch | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rael Nakuzola | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sota Kawasaki | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lennard Maloney | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
SC Paderborn 07
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nahuel Noll | 90 | 8.2 | — | 0 | — | 39 | — |
| Jano Ter-Horst | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 46 | 1 |
| Tjark Lasse Scheller | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 59 | 3 |
| Mattes Hansen | 75 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 57 | — |
| Laurin Curda | 90 | 8.2 | — | 0 | 3 | 33 | 4 |
| Laurin Ulrich | 75 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 27 | — |
| Santiago Castañeda | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 51 | 3 |
| Raphael Obermair | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 30 | 1 |
| Marvin Pieringer | 89 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 21 | 2 |
| Stefano Marino | 67 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 22 | — |
| Gabriel Vidović | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 55 | — |
| Steffen Tigges | 23 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 2 | 4 | — |
| Jonah Sticker | 15 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 9 | — |
| Tom Baack | 15 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 8 | 1 |
| Clemens Lippmann | 1 | — | — | 0 | — | 1 | — |
| Markus Schubert | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luka Duric | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Niklas Mohr | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Deniz Zeitler | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oliver Batista Meier | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Bundesliga table
Current standings · Bundesliga. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Borussia Dortmund | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 12 | WWWW |
| 2 |  Bayern München | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 2 | 12 | 10 | WWDW |
| 3 |  SC Freiburg | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 10 | DWWW |
| 4 |  FC Augsburg | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 7 | LDWW |
| 5 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 7 | WDWL |
| 6 | FSV Mainz 05 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 7 | WLWD |
| 7 |  SV Elversberg | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 7 | DLWW |
| 8 |  Werder Bremen | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 7 | WDWL |
| 9 |  RB Leipzig | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 6 | LWLW |
| 10 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 5 | DWLD |
| 11 |  FC Schalke 04 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 5 | DWDL |
| 12 | SC Paderborn 07 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 4 | WLLD |
| 13 |  1. FC Köln | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 4 | LDLW |
| 14 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 3 | LWLL |
| 15 |  VfB Stuttgart | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 3 | LLWL |
| 16 |  Hamburger SV | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 3 | WLLL |
| 17 |  Union Berlin | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 1 | LLLD |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 0 | LLLL |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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