Borussia Mönchengladbach
2/10Wins
1.2Goals / game
1.7Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At home, 2 wins from 5 available matches.
Inspect Borussia Mönchengladbach’s results
BundesligaMatchweek 30THE MATCH CENTREBorussia Mönchengladbach vs FSV Mainz 05 match centre
90′ · Live
1:0
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
J. Scally7′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate95.4%Borussia Mönchengladbach
Draw4.5%at full time
Current result estimate0.1%FSV Mainz 05
Another goal8.2%before full time
Next goal: Borussia Mönchengladbach 3.5% · no further goal 91.8% · FSV Mainz 05 4.7%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.Borussia MönchengladbachFSV Mainz 05
0.620Expected goals · API-Football2.160
4Shots on target6
9Total Shots14
38%Ball Possession62%
0Corner Kicks5
11Fouls8
4Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
6Goalkeeper Saves3
366Total passes584
288Passes accurate509
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Bundesliga Provisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 34 | +86 | 89 | — |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 34 | +36 | 73 | — |
| 3 |  RB Leipzig | 34 | +19 | 65 | — |
| 4 |  VfB Stuttgart | 34 | +22 | 62 | — |
| 5 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | +13 | 61 | — |
| 6 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 34 | +21 | 59 | — |
| 7 |  SC Freiburg | 34 | -6 | 47 | — |
| 8 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | -4 | 44 | — |
| 9 |  FC Augsburg | 34 | -16 | 43 | — |
| 10 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 35 | -10 | 41 | ↑ 2 |
| 11 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 35 | -10 | 40 | ↓ 1 |
| 12 |  Union Berlin | 34 | -14 | 39 | ↓ 1 |
| 13 |  Hamburger SV | 34 | -14 | 38 | — |
| 14 |  1. FC Köln | 34 | -14 | 32 | — |
| 15 |  Werder Bremen | 34 | -23 | 32 | — |
| 16 |  VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | -24 | 29 | — |
| 17 |  1. FC Heidenheim | 34 | -31 | 26 | — |
| 18 |  FC St. Pauli | 34 | -31 | 26 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Borussia Mönchengladbach 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
FSV Mainz 05 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
FSV Mainz 05
5/10Wins
1.3Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 8 available matches.
Inspect FSV Mainz 05’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Borussia Mönchengladbach
10 matchesResults2 wins · 4 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game1.2
Goals conceded per game1.7
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
RB LeipzigAway · Bundesliga0–11. FC HeidenheimHome · Bundesliga2–21. FC KölnAway · Bundesliga3–3FC St. PauliHome · Bundesliga2–0Bayern MünchenAway · Bundesliga1–4Union BerlinHome · Bundesliga1–0SC FreiburgAway · Bundesliga1–2Eintracht FrankfurtAway · Bundesliga0–3Bayer LeverkusenHome · Bundesliga1–1Werder BremenAway · Bundesliga1–1
FSV Mainz 05
10 matchesResults5 wins · 3 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game1.3
Goals conceded per game1.0
Games with 3+ goals4 of 10
Both teams scored4 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
StrasbourgAway · UEFA Europa Conference League0–4SC FreiburgHome · Bundesliga0–1StrasbourgHome · UEFA Europa Conference League2–01899 HoffenheimAway · Bundesliga2–1Eintracht FrankfurtHome · Bundesliga2–1Sigma OlomoucHome · UEFA Europa Conference League2–0Werder BremenAway · Bundesliga2–0Sigma OlomoucAway · UEFA Europa Conference League0–0VfB StuttgartHome · Bundesliga2–2Bayer LeverkusenAway · Bundesliga1–1
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Borussia Mönchengladbach at home with FSV Mainz 05 away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 01:51 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Bundesliga · 2025/26 · all league matches
Borussia MönchengladbachFSV Mainz 05
29Matches played29
30Points earned33
7Wins8
1.2Goals scored / match1.2
1.7Goals conceded / match1.5
10Clean sheets3
11Failed to score10
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Borussia Mönchengladbach at home with FSV Mainz 05 away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
5 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1wins5MEETINGS
FSV Mainz 05
1winsOct 2023 – Dec 2025 · Past results, not a forecast.
Scores shown with Borussia Mönchengladbach first; venues vary.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Confirmed formation3-5-1-1Eugen Polanski
- 33
M. NicolasG - 16
P. SanderD - 30
N. ElvediD - 4
K. DiksD - 29
J. ScallyM - 27
R. ReitzM - 6
Y. EngelhardtM - 7
K. StogerM - 17
J. CastropM - 38
H. BolinF - 15
H. TabakovicF
Substitutes (9)
23 · J. Olschowsky
18 · S. Machino
13 · G. Reyna
26 · L. Ullrich
2 · F. C. Chiarodia
36 · W. Mohya
9 · F. Honorat
25 · R. Hack
14 · K. Takai
FSV Mainz 05
Confirmed formation3-1-4-2Urs Fischer
- 33
D. BatzG - 21
D. da CostaD - 4
S. PoschD - 31
D. KohrD - 6
K. SanoM - 19
A. CaciM - 8
P. NebelM - 10
N. AmiriM - 22
N. VeratschnigM - 23
S. BeckerF - 20
P. TietzF
Substitutes (9)
1 · L. Riess
30 · S. Widmer
11 · A. Sieb
14 · W. Boving
24 · S. Kawasaki
2 · P. Mwene
25 · A. Hanche-Olsen
44 · N. Weiper
48 · K. Potulski
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Borussia Mönchengladbach
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moritz Nicolas | 98 | 8.6 | — | — | — | 27 | — |
| Philipp Sander | 98 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 47 | 1 |
| Nico Elvedi | 98 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 46 | — |
| Kevin Diks | 71 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | 42 | — |
| Joseph Scally | 98 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 17 | — |
| Rocco Reitz | 98 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 3 |
| Yannik Engelhardt | 98 | 5.9 | — | — | — | 48 | — |
| Kevin Stöger | 72 | 7.6 | — | — | — | 41 | 3 |
| Jens Castrop | 72 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | 24 | 1 |
| Hugo Bolin | 66 | 6.9 | — | 1 | 1 | 17 | 1 |
| Haris Tabakovic | 87 | 6.0 | — | — | — | 10 | 1 |
| Franck Honorat | 32 | 6.2 | — | — | — | 3 | — |
| Fabio Chiarodia | 27 | 6.5 | — | — | — | 3 | — |
| Lukas Ullrich | 26 | 6.5 | — | — | — | 4 | — |
| Giovanni Reyna | 26 | 6.6 | — | — | — | 6 | 1 |
| Kota Takai | 11 | 6.2 | — | — | — | 1 | 1 |
| Jan Olschowsky | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Robin Hack | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wael Mohya | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Shuto Machino | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
FSV Mainz 05
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Batz | 98 | 7.0 | — | — | — | 17 | — |
| Danny da Costa | 82 | 6.7 | — | — | — | 70 | 1 |
| Stefan Posch | 98 | 7.9 | — | — | — | 73 | 4 |
| Dominik Kohr | 98 | 7.3 | — | — | 3 | 86 | 1 |
| Kaishu Sano | 98 | 6.6 | — | — | — | 77 | — |
| Anthony Caci | 76 | 7.9 | — | — | — | 50 | 4 |
| Paul Nebel | 76 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 40 | — |
| Nadiem Amiri | 98 | 8.0 | 1 | — | 2 | 63 | — |
| Nikolas Veratschnig | 66 | 6.5 | — | — | — | 21 | 2 |
| Sheraldo Becker | 66 | 6.2 | — | — | 3 | 17 | — |
| Phillip Tietz | 98 | 6.3 | — | — | 4 | 26 | — |
| Phillipp Mwene | 32 | 7.3 | — | — | — | 14 | — |
| Armindo Sieb | 32 | 6.2 | — | — | — | 10 | — |
| Silvan Widmer | 22 | 6.7 | — | — | — | 15 | — |
| William Bøving | 22 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 11 | — |
| Nelson Weiper | 16 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lasse Riess | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kacper Potulski | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Andreas Hanche-Olsen | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sota Kawasaki | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Borussia Mönchengladbach | Draw | FSV Mainz 05 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2.25 | 3.60 | 3.00 |
Snapshot from 19 Apr 2026, 12:19 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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