N. Awortwie-GrantKnee Injury
Reported out
BundesligaMatchweek 4THE MATCH CENTRESC Paderborn 07 vs 1899 Hoffenheim match centre
Full time
3:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
Santiago Castaneda29′
Stefano Marino42′
Steffen Tigges69′
Adam Daghim50′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Out of date · Calculated 20 Sep 14:18 UK.
Odds updated 20 Sep 18:09 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 9 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
SC Paderborn 071899 Hoffenheim
—Expected goals · API-Football—
5Shots on target2
13Total Shots21
34%Ball Possession66%
6Corner Kicks5
6Fouls13
0Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards0
1Goalkeeper Saves2
316Total passes618
226Passes accurate527
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
SC Paderborn 07 4 reported
L. EickelBack Injury
Reported out
T. GayretKnee Injury
Reported out
S. MichelMuscle Injury
Reported out
1899 Hoffenheim 1 reported
BernardoAchilles Tendon Injury
Reported outFetched 20 Sep, 14:18 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
SC Paderborn 07
4/10Wins
1.4Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 5 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect SC Paderborn 07’s results1899 Hoffenheim
5/10Wins
2.1Goals / game
1.5Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect 1899 Hoffenheim’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
SC Paderborn 07
10 matchesResults4 wins · 4 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game1.4
Goals conceded per game1.0
Games with 3+ goals4 of 10
Both teams scored4 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Borussia DortmundAway · Bundesliga0–3SC FreiburgHome · Bundesliga0–1FSV Mainz 05Away · Bundesliga0–0Phönix LübeckAway · DFB Pokal4–2Werder BremenAway · Friendlies Clubs2–2VfL OsnabrückAway · Friendlies Clubs2–0Fagiano OkayamaHome · Friendlies Clubs3–1VfL WolfsburgHome · Bundesliga1–1VfL WolfsburgAway · Bundesliga0–0SV Darmstadt 98Away · 2. Bundesliga2–0
1899 Hoffenheim
10 matchesResults5 wins · 1 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game2.1
Goals conceded per game1.5
Games with 3+ goals9 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
OFIAway · UEFA Europa League0–2VfB StuttgartHome · Bundesliga2–1Borussia DortmundHome · Bundesliga2–31. FC KölnAway · Bundesliga2–3Erzgebirge AueAway · DFB Pokal4–0TottenhamAway · Friendlies Clubs2–2TottenhamAway · Friendlies Clubs0–3Karlsruher SCHome · Friendlies Clubs3–0Holstein KielHome · Friendlies Clubs3–1SGV FreibergAway · Friendlies Clubs3–0
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare SC Paderborn 07 at home with 1899 Hoffenheim away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 00:21 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Bundesliga · 2026/27 · all league matches
SC Paderborn 071899 Hoffenheim
3Matches played3
1Points earned3
0Wins1
0.0Goals scored / match2.0
1.3Goals conceded / match2.3
1Clean sheets0
3Failed to score0
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares SC Paderborn 07 at home with 1899 Hoffenheim away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
4 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
SC Paderborn 07
0wins4MEETINGS
1899 Hoffenheim
2winsOct 2014 – May 2020 · Historical meetings. Squads and team strength have changed.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
SC Paderborn 07
Confirmed formation3-5-2R. Kettemann
- 15
N. NollG - 21
J. ter HorstD - 25
T. SchellerD - 22
M. HansenD - 17
L. CurdaM - 28
L. UlrichM - 5
S. CastañedaM - 40
G. VidovićM - 23
R. ObermairM - 18
M. PieringerF - 30
S. MarinoF
Substitutes (9)
27 · S. Tigges
38 · D. Zeitler
6 · T. Baack
20 · F. Götze
11 · S. Michel
2 · Ruben Müller
9 · R. Philippe
1 · M. Schubert
3 · Jonah Benedict Sticker
1899 Hoffenheim
Confirmed formation4-4-2C. Ilzer
- 1
O. BaumannG - 34
V. CoufalD - 5
O. KabakD - 28
K. MachidaD - 39
M. RotsD - 20
B. ContéM - 7
L. AvdullahuM - 18
W. BurgerM - 14
A. DaghimM - 10
A. HložekF - 9
Max MoerstedtF
Substitutes (9)
17 · Nathan De Cat
15 · V. Gendrey
21 · A. Hajdari
2 · R. Hranáč
27 · A. Kramarić
19 · T. Lemperle
37 · L. Philipp
8 · P. Wimmer
11 · F. Asllani
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
SC Paderborn 07
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. ter Horst | 90 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 4 |
| N. Noll | 90 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 48 | 0 |
| D. Zeitler | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| S. Tigges | 45 | 7.6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 |
| Jonah Benedict Sticker | 27 | 6.6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 2 |
| M. Schubert | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| R. Philippe | 17 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
| Ruben Müller | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| S. Michel | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| F. Götze | 15 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| T. Baack | 17 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 |
| M. Pieringer | 45 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 0 |
| G. Vidović | 73 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 1 |
| L. Ulrich | 90 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 2 |
| R. Obermair | 63 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 0 |
| S. Castañeda | 90 | 8.0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 4 |
| L. Curda | 90 | 7.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 32 | 3 |
| M. Hansen | 75 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 33 | 0 |
| T. Scheller | 90 | 6.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 2 |
| S. Marino | 73 | 7.7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 1 |
1899 Hoffenheim
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Moerstedt | 62 | 6.8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 1 |
| F. Asllani | 10 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 1 |
| Nathan De Cat | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| V. Gendrey | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| A. Hajdari | 45 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 50 | 2 |
| R. Hranáč | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| A. Kramarić | 10 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0 |
| T. Lemperle | 28 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 0 |
| L. Philipp | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| P. Wimmer | 28 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 1 |
| A. Hložek | 62 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 0 |
| A. Daghim | 80 | 6.7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 0 |
| W. Burger | 90 | 5.9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 64 | 2 |
| L. Avdullahu | 80 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 66 | 1 |
| B. Conté | 90 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 3 |
| M. Rots | 45 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 46 | 1 |
| K. Machida | 90 | 7.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 86 | 2 |
| O. Kabak | 90 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 72 | 2 |
| V. Coufal | 90 | 6.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 61 | 1 |
| O. Baumann | 90 | 5.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 44 | 0 |
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Bundesliga table
Current standings · Bundesliga. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Borussia Dortmund | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 12 | WWWW |
| 2 |  Bayern München | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 2 | 12 | 10 | WWDW |
| 3 |  SC Freiburg | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 10 | DWWW |
| 4 |  FC Augsburg | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 7 | LDWW |
| 5 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 7 | WDWL |
| 6 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 7 | WLWD |
| 7 |  SV Elversberg | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 7 | DLWW |
| 8 |  Werder Bremen | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 7 | WDWL |
| 9 |  RB Leipzig | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 6 | LWLW |
| 10 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 5 | DWLD |
| 11 |  FC Schalke 04 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 5 | DWDL |
| 12 | SC Paderborn 07 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 4 | WLLD |
| 13 |  1. FC Köln | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 4 | LDLW |
| 14 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 3 | LWLL |
| 15 |  VfB Stuttgart | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 3 | LLWL |
| 16 |  Hamburger SV | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 3 | WLLL |
| 17 |  Union Berlin | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 1 | LLLD |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 0 | LLLL |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | SC Paderborn 07 | Draw | 1899 Hoffenheim |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 3.70 | 4.00 | 1.75 |
| Bet365 | 3.90 | 4.33 | 1.75 |
| Marathonbet | 3.92 | 4.35 | 1.79 |
| Betfair | 3.90 | 4.20 | 1.75 |
| BetVictor | 3.90 | 4.20 | 1.75 |
Snapshot from 20 Sep 2026, 18:09 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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