Estrela
1/10Wins
1.0Goals / game
1.5Conceded / game
Keep in view: 7 losses in that sample. At home, 2 wins from 8 available matches.
Inspect Estrela’s results
Primeira LigaMatchweek 33THE MATCH CENTREEstrela vs Famalicao match centre
90′ · Live
0:0
UK time · Europe/LondonTHE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate3.0%Estrela
Draw92.5%at full time
Current result estimate4.6%Famalicao
Another goal7.7%before full time
Next goal: Estrela 3.1% · no further goal 92.3% · Famalicao 4.6%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.EstrelaFamalicao
0.250Expected goals · API-Football2.000
1Shots on target4
4Total Shots13
39%Ball Possession61%
3Corner Kicks9
14Fouls7
3Yellow Cards1
—Red Cards—
4Goalkeeper Saves1
293Total passes453
217Passes accurate387
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Primeira LigaProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 34 | +48 | 88 | — |
| 2 |  Sporting CP | 34 | +65 | 82 | — |
| 3 |  Benfica | 34 | +49 | 80 | — |
| 4 |  SC Braga | 34 | +28 | 59 | — |
| 5 |  Famalicao | 35 | +13 | 57 | — |
| 6 |  GIL Vicente | 34 | +9 | 50 | — |
| 7 |  Moreirense | 34 | -12 | 43 | — |
| 8 |  Guimaraes | 34 | -12 | 42 | ↑ 1 |
| 9 |  Arouca | 34 | -17 | 42 | ↓ 1 |
| 10 |  Estoril | 34 | -3 | 39 | — |
| 11 |  Alverca | 34 | -17 | 39 | — |
| 12 |  Santa Clara | 34 | -9 | 36 | ↑ 1 |
| 13 |  Rio Ave | 34 | -22 | 36 | ↓ 1 |
| 14 |  Nacional | 34 | -8 | 34 | — |
| 15 | Estrela | 35 | -18 | 31 | — |
| 16 |  Casa Pia | 34 | -26 | 30 | — |
| 17 |  Tondela | 34 | -28 | 28 | — |
| 18 |  AVS | 34 | -40 | 21 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Estrela 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Famalicao 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Famalicao
5/10Wins
1.4Goals / game
0.8Conceded / game
Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 8 available matches.
Inspect Famalicao’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Estrela
10 matchesResults1 wins · 2 draws · 7 losses
Goals scored per game1.0
Goals conceded per game1.5
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored4 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
MoreirenseAway · Primeira Liga2–3FC PortoHome · Primeira Liga1–2AroucaAway · Primeira Liga0–1Sporting CPHome · Primeira Liga0–1NacionalAway · Primeira Liga0–2Casa PiaHome · Primeira Liga4–0Rio AveAway · Primeira Liga1–2GIL VicenteHome · Primeira Liga2–2AVSAway · Primeira Liga0–0TondelaHome · Primeira Liga0–2
Famalicao
10 matchesResults5 wins · 5 draws · 0 losses
Goals scored per game1.4
Goals conceded per game0.8
Games with 3+ goals4 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
BenficaHome · Primeira Liga2–2EstorilAway · Primeira Liga1–0SC BragaAway · Primeira Liga2–2MoreirenseHome · Primeira Liga1–1FC PortoAway · Primeira Liga2–2NacionalHome · Primeira Liga1–0GuimaraesAway · Primeira Liga2–1AroucaHome · Primeira Liga1–0Rio AveAway · Primeira Liga0–0Casa PiaHome · Primeira Liga2–0
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Estrela at home with Famalicao away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 07:11 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Primeira Liga · 2025/26 · all league matches
EstrelaFamalicao
32Matches played32
28Points earned52
6Wins14
1.1Goals scored / match1.3
1.7Goals conceded / match1.0
7Clean sheets15
14Failed to score8
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Estrela at home with Famalicao away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Estrela
Confirmed formation4-4-2Cristiano Bacci
- 40
R. RibeiroG - 17
J. EncadaD - 30
Luan PatrickD - 4
S. LekovicD - 24
B. LangaD - 99
A. MarcusM - 63
A. SolaM - 19
P. MoreiraM - 10
I. StoicaM - 11
JovaneF - 9
Rodrigo PinhoF
Substitutes (9)
1 · D. Pinto
20 · S. van Hooijdonk
7 · L. Antonetti
28 · T. Moustier
14 · Bernardo Schappo
6 · K. Jansson
18 · J. Meireles
21 · M. Scholze
39 · G. Doue
Famalicao
Confirmed formation4-3-3Hugo Oliveira
- 25
L. CarevicG - 2
GarciaD - 3
L. RealpeD - 16
J. De HaasD - 5
Rafa SoaresD - 20
G. SaM - 6
T. Van de LooiM - 14
M. De AmorimM - 23
Gil DiasF - 12
S. ElisorF - 7
SorrisoF
Substitutes (9)
1 · I. Zlobin
28 · Pedro Bondo
80 · P. Santos
77 · A. Joujou
8 · M. Pena
91 · R. Almeida
18 · R. Beney
9 · U. Abubakar
36 · M. Mattara
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Estrela
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Renan Ribeiro | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 36 | — |
| Jefferson Encada | 88 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 26 | — |
| Luan Patrick | 90 | 7.9 | — | 0 | — | 40 | 4 |
| Stefan Leković | 88 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 22 | 3 |
| Bruno Langa | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 24 | 4 |
| Abraham Marcus | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 37 | 1 |
| Alex Sola | 79 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 30 | 1 |
| Paulo Moreira | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 19 | 1 |
| Ianis Stoica | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 21 | — |
| Jovane Cabral | 80 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 26 | 3 |
| Rodrigo Pinho | 73 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 10 | — |
| Leandro Antonetti | 17 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 3 | — |
| Kevin Höög Jansson | 11 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 4 | 1 |
| Tom Moustier | 10 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 2 | — |
| Max Scholze | 10 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 2 | — |
| Bernardo Schappo | 10 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 3 | — |
| Diogo Pinto | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Eddy Doué | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jorge Meireles | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sydney van Hooijdonk | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Famalicao
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lazar Carević | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 16 | — |
| Gustavo García | 90 | 7.9 | — | 0 | — | 58 | 3 |
| Léo Realpe | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 72 | — |
| Justin De Haas | 90 | 7.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 75 | 1 |
| Rafa Soares | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 46 | 2 |
| Gustavo Sá | 90 | 7.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 44 | 1 |
| Tom Van De Looi | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 46 | 3 |
| Mathias De Amorim | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | 2 | 24 | 5 |
| Gil Dias | 83 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 4 | 33 | — |
| Simon Elisor | 83 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 15 | 1 |
| Sorriso | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | 2 | 38 | 2 |
| Romeo Beney | 15 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 5 | — |
| Umar Abubakar | 15 | 5.9 | — | 0 | 2 | 3 | — |
| Ivan Zlobin | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matheus Mattara | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pedro Bondo | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pedro Santos | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marcos Peña | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rudi Almeida | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Antoine Joujou | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Estrela | Draw | Famalicao |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 3.50 | 3.60 | 2.00 |
Snapshot from 9 May 2026, 20:42 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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