FC Porto
6/10Wins
1.7Goals / game
0.7Conceded / game
Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At home, 6 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect FC Porto’s results
Primeira LigaMatchweek 32THE MATCH CENTREFC Porto vs Alverca match centre
90′ · Live
1:0
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
J. Bednarek40′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate95.6%FC Porto
Draw4.3%at full time
Current result estimate0.1%Alverca
Another goal8.1%before full time
Next goal: FC Porto 3.7% · no further goal 91.9% · Alverca 4.4%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.FC PortoAlverca
0.620Expected goals · API-Football1.500
3Shots on target5
12Total Shots10
58%Ball Possession42%
5Corner Kicks4
20Fouls18
1Yellow Cards4
—Red Cards—
4Goalkeeper Saves2
420Total passes306
370Passes accurate244
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Primeira LigaProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 35 | +49 | 91 | — |
| 2 |  Sporting CP | 34 | +65 | 82 | — |
| 3 |  Benfica | 34 | +49 | 80 | — |
| 4 |  SC Braga | 34 | +28 | 59 | — |
| 5 |  Famalicao | 34 | +13 | 56 | — |
| 6 |  GIL Vicente | 34 | +9 | 50 | — |
| 7 |  Moreirense | 34 | -12 | 43 | — |
| 8 |  Guimaraes | 34 | -12 | 42 | ↑ 1 |
| 9 |  Arouca | 34 | -17 | 42 | ↓ 1 |
| 10 |  Estoril | 34 | -3 | 39 | — |
| 11 |  Alverca | 35 | -18 | 39 | — |
| 12 |  Santa Clara | 34 | -9 | 36 | ↑ 1 |
| 13 |  Rio Ave | 34 | -22 | 36 | ↓ 1 |
| 14 |  Nacional | 34 | -8 | 34 | — |
| 15 |  Estrela | 34 | -18 | 30 | — |
| 16 |  Casa Pia | 34 | -26 | 30 | — |
| 17 |  Tondela | 34 | -28 | 28 | — |
| 18 |  AVS | 34 | -40 | 21 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
FC Porto 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Alverca 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Alverca
3/10Wins
1.3Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 7 available matches.
Inspect Alverca’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
FC Porto
10 matchesResults6 wins · 3 draws · 1 losses
Goals scored per game1.7
Goals conceded per game0.7
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
EstrelaAway · Primeira Liga2–1Sporting CPHome · Taça de Portugal0–0TondelaHome · Primeira Liga2–0Nottingham ForestAway · UEFA Europa League0–1EstorilAway · Primeira Liga3–1Nottingham ForestHome · UEFA Europa League1–1FamalicaoHome · Primeira Liga2–2SC BragaAway · Primeira Liga2–1VfB StuttgartHome · UEFA Europa League2–0MoreirenseHome · Primeira Liga3–0
Alverca
10 matchesResults3 wins · 5 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game1.3
Goals conceded per game1.3
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored8 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
AroucaHome · Primeira Liga2–1NacionalAway · Primeira Liga0–1Casa PiaHome · Primeira Liga3–1Rio AveAway · Primeira Liga2–1Sporting CPHome · Primeira Liga1–4GIL VicenteAway · Primeira Liga2–2AVSHome · Primeira Liga0–0GuimaraesAway · Primeira Liga1–1Santa ClaraHome · Primeira Liga1–1TondelaAway · Primeira Liga1–1
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare FC Porto at home with Alverca away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 02:37 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Primeira Liga · 2025/26 · all league matches
FC PortoAlverca
30Matches played31
79Points earned38
25Wins10
2.1Goals scored / match1.1
0.5Goals conceded / match1.6
19Clean sheets6
1Failed to score8
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares FC Porto at home with Alverca away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
FC Porto
Confirmed formation4-3-3Francesco Farioli
- 99
D. CostaG - 20
A. CostaD - 5
J. BednarekD - 4
J. KiwiorD - 12
ZaiduD - 8
V. FroholdtM - 13
P. RosarioM - 10
G. VeigaM - 11
PepêF - 27
D. GulF - 77
O. PietuszewskiF
Substitutes (9)
14 · Claudio Ramos
3 · Thiago Silva
52 · M. Fernandes
42 · S. Fofana
29 · T. Moffi
17 · B. Sainz
22 · A. Varela
86 · R. Mora
7 · William Gomes
Alverca
Confirmed formation3-4-3Custodio
- 31
Matheus MendesG - 4
NavesD - 5
S. GomezD - 33
B. MeupiyouD - 2
N. TouaiziM - 26
RhaldneyM - 18
LincolnM - 12
I. JamesM - 10
ChiquinhoF - 91
Sandro LimaF - 20
FigueiredoF
Substitutes (9)
1 · Mateus Oliveira
9 · Marezi
25 · S. Diarra
82 · D. Spencer
11 · C. Nuozzi
14 · S. Baseya
17 · V. Moreira
6 · D. Gui
35 · Z. Kassary
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
FC Porto
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diogo Costa | 98 | 7.9 | — | — | — | 26 | — |
| Alberto Costa | 98 | 9.0 | — | — | 1 | 47 | 4 |
| Jan Bednarek | 98 | 8.6 | 1 | — | 1 | 70 | 1 |
| Jakub Kiwior | 45 | 7.2 | — | — | — | 31 | 5 |
| Zaidu Sanusi | 45 | 6.6 | — | — | — | 29 | — |
| Victor Froholdt | 98 | 6.7 | — | — | — | 37 | 1 |
| Pablo Rosario | 98 | 7.9 | — | — | 1 | 61 | — |
| Gabri Veiga | 74 | 7.0 | — | 1 | — | 33 | 1 |
| Pepê | 86 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 28 | — |
| Deniz Gül | 98 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 6 | — |
| Oskar Pietuszewski | 63 | 6.6 | — | — | — | 13 | 1 |
| Martim Fernandes | 53 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 20 | — |
| Alan Varela | 53 | 7.2 | — | — | — | 22 | 3 |
| Borja Sainz | 35 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 1 |
| Seko Fofana | 24 | 6.7 | — | — | — | 7 | — |
| Rodrigo Mora | 12 | 6.7 | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Cláudio Ramos | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Thiago Silva | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Terem Moffi | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| William Gomes | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Alverca
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matheus Mendes | 98 | 6.5 | — | — | — | 17 | — |
| Kaiky Naves | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | 47 | 4 |
| Sergi Gómez | 98 | 7.5 | — | — | — | 23 | 2 |
| Bastien Meupiyou | 98 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 1 |
| Nabil Touaizi | 98 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | 34 | — |
| Rhaldney | 89 | 6.2 | — | — | — | 22 | — |
| Lincoln | 98 | 7.5 | — | — | — | 58 | 4 |
| Isaac James | 98 | 7.3 | — | — | — | 31 | 2 |
| Chiquinho | 77 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 3 |
| Sandro Lima | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 3 | 16 | — |
| Figueiredo | 77 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | 24 | 1 |
| Davy Gui | 21 | 7.3 | — | — | — | 9 | 1 |
| Marko Milovanović | 21 | 6.7 | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Zakaria Kassary | 9 | 6.7 | — | — | — | 3 | — |
| Diogo Spencer | 8 | 6.6 | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Cédric Nuozzi | 8 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — |
| Mateus Oliveira | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Steven Baseya | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Vasco Moreira | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Stéphane Diarra | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | FC Porto | Draw | Alverca |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.20 | 6.50 | 15.00 |
Snapshot from 1 May 2026, 18:56 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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