Alverca
2/10Wins
1.2Goals / game
1.4Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 2 wins from 6 available matches.
Inspect Alverca’s results
Primeira LigaMatchweek 31THE MATCH CENTREAlverca vs Arouca match centre
90′ · Live
2:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
Naves9′
Marezi71′
E. van Ee49′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate95.6%Alverca
Draw4.3%at full time
Current result estimate0.1%Arouca
Another goal8.1%before full time
Next goal: Alverca 3.7% · no further goal 91.9% · Arouca 4.5%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.AlvercaArouca
1.060Expected goals · API-Football0.880
3Shots on target3
7Total Shots14
36%Ball Possession64%
5Corner Kicks3
7Fouls11
0Yellow Cards5
—Red Cards—
1Goalkeeper Saves1
308Total passes566
232Passes accurate480
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Primeira LigaProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 34 | +48 | 88 | — |
| 2 |  Sporting CP | 34 | +65 | 82 | — |
| 3 |  Benfica | 34 | +49 | 80 | — |
| 4 |  SC Braga | 34 | +28 | 59 | — |
| 5 |  Famalicao | 34 | +13 | 56 | — |
| 6 |  GIL Vicente | 34 | +9 | 50 | — |
| 7 |  Moreirense | 34 | -12 | 43 | — |
| 8 |  Guimaraes | 34 | -12 | 42 | ↑ 1 |
| 9 | Alverca | 35 | -16 | 42 | ↑ 2 |
| 10 |  Arouca | 35 | -18 | 42 | ↓ 2 |
| 11 |  Estoril | 34 | -3 | 39 | ↓ 1 |
| 12 |  Santa Clara | 34 | -9 | 36 | ↑ 1 |
| 13 |  Rio Ave | 34 | -22 | 36 | ↓ 1 |
| 14 |  Nacional | 34 | -8 | 34 | — |
| 15 |  Estrela | 34 | -18 | 30 | — |
| 16 |  Casa Pia | 34 | -26 | 30 | — |
| 17 |  Tondela | 34 | -28 | 28 | — |
| 18 |  AVS | 34 | -40 | 21 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Alverca 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Arouca 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Arouca
5/10Wins
1.5Goals / game
1.4Conceded / game
Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 8 available matches.
Inspect Arouca’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Alverca
10 matchesResults2 wins · 5 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.2
Goals conceded per game1.4
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored8 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
NacionalAway · Primeira Liga0–1Casa PiaHome · Primeira Liga3–1Rio AveAway · Primeira Liga2–1Sporting CPHome · Primeira Liga1–4GIL VicenteAway · Primeira Liga2–2AVSHome · Primeira Liga0–0GuimaraesAway · Primeira Liga1–1Santa ClaraHome · Primeira Liga1–1TondelaAway · Primeira Liga1–1BenficaAway · Primeira Liga1–2
Arouca
10 matchesResults5 wins · 0 draws · 5 losses
Goals scored per game1.5
Goals conceded per game1.4
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
EstrelaHome · Primeira Liga1–0SC BragaAway · Primeira Liga0–1EstorilHome · Primeira Liga3–2MoreirenseAway · Primeira Liga1–0BenficaHome · Primeira Liga1–2FamalicaoAway · Primeira Liga0–1FC PortoAway · Primeira Liga1–3NacionalHome · Primeira Liga3–0Casa PiaAway · Primeira Liga2–3GuimaraesHome · Primeira Liga3–2
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Alverca at home with Arouca away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 02:47 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Primeira Liga · 2025/26 · all league matches
AlvercaArouca
30Matches played30
35Points earned35
9Wins10
1.1Goals scored / match1.3
1.6Goals conceded / match2.0
6Clean sheets7
8Failed to score9
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Alverca at home with Arouca away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Alverca
Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Custodio
- 31
Matheus MendesG - 4
NavesD - 5
S. GomezD - 33
B. MeupiyouD - 2
N. TouaiziM - 26
RhaldneyM - 18
LincolnM - 12
I. JamesM - 20
FigueiredoF - 10
ChiquinhoF - 91
Sandro LimaF
Substitutes (9)
1 · Mateus Oliveira
9 · Marezi
25 · S. Diarra
82 · D. Spencer
11 · C. Nuozzi
14 · S. Baseya
17 · V. Moreira
6 · D. Gui
35 · Z. Kassary
Arouca
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Vasco Seabra
- 12
I. De ArruabarrenaG - 28
Tiago EsgaioD - 4
M. RochaD - 3
J. FontanD - 25
B. KuipersD - 21
T. FukuiM - 22
E. van EeM - 10
P. GozalbezM - 14
H. LeeM - 7
N. DjouahraM - 17
I. BarberoF
Substitutes (9)
30 · J. Vinarcik
5 · B. Popovic
44 · A. Dante
89 · Pedro Santos
9 · F. Mayulu
24 · B. Mansilla
19 · A. Trezza
6 · D. Monteiro
46 · M. Flores
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Alverca
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matheus Mendes | 96 | 6.5 | — | — | — | 21 | — |
| Kaiky Naves | 96 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 42 | — |
| Sergi Gomez | 68 | 7.2 | — | — | — | 19 | — |
| Bastien Meupiyou | 96 | 6.6 | — | — | — | 35 | 2 |
| Nabil Touaizi | 96 | 7.5 | — | 1 | — | 21 | — |
| Rhaldney | 91 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 23 | 2 |
| Lincoln | 96 | 6.2 | — | — | — | 43 | 1 |
| Isaac James | 96 | 7.2 | — | — | — | 34 | 1 |
| Figueiredo | 82 | 7.3 | — | — | 3 | 28 | — |
| Chiquinho | 91 | 7.3 | — | 1 | — | 16 | — |
| Sandro Lima | 68 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 17 | — |
| Steven Baseya | 28 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 12 | — |
| Marko Milovanović | 28 | 7.5 | 1 | — | 1 | 4 | — |
| Davy Gui | 14 | 6.7 | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Diogo Spencer | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Vasco Moreira | 5 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Mateus Oliveira | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Zakaria Kassary | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cédric Nuozzi | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Stéphane Diarra | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Arouca
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ignacio de Arruabarrena | 96 | 6.6 | — | — | — | 43 | — |
| Tiago Esgaio | 96 | 6.0 | — | — | — | 50 | 4 |
| Matías Rocha | 83 | 6.6 | — | — | — | 90 | 2 |
| Jose Fontán | 96 | 7.0 | — | — | — | 103 | — |
| Bas Kuipers | 96 | 6.6 | — | 1 | 1 | 38 | 2 |
| Taichi Fukui | 83 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | 55 | 2 |
| Espen Van Ee | 75 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 2 | 47 | 2 |
| Pablo Gozálbez | 60 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | 24 | — |
| Hyun-ju Lee | 75 | 6.2 | — | — | — | 28 | — |
| Naïs Djouahra | 96 | 6.5 | — | — | — | 45 | — |
| Ivan Barbero | 96 | 6.0 | — | — | 2 | 19 | 1 |
| Alfonso Trezza | 36 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 9 | — |
| Pedro Santos | 21 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 16 | 1 |
| Mateo Flores | 21 | 6.5 | — | — | — | 10 | — |
| Fally Mayulu | 13 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Brian Mansilla | 13 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Jakub Vinarčík | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Boris Popović | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Amadou Dante | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Diogo Monteiro | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Alverca | Draw | Arouca |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2.30 | 3.20 | 3.20 |
Snapshot from 23 Apr 2026, 21:36 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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