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Primeira LigaMatchweek 3THE MATCH CENTRE

Estrela vs SC Braga match centre

Estrela badgeEstrelaHome · 8 in league
DDWDW
Momentum→ Steady64/100OlderLatest
Full time
2:1
UK time · Europe/London
SC Braga badgeSC BragaAway · 6 in league
WDWWL
Momentum↘ Falling63/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
Ianis Stoica45′
Ianis Stoica56′
Gabriel Martínez Aguilera5′
Venue to be confirmed · AmadoraSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
EstrelaSC Braga
5Corner Kicks9
12Fouls14
2Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards0
3Goalkeeper Saves3
353Total passes596
281Passes accurate518

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Estrela 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

SC Braga 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Estrela

5/10Wins
2.0Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game

Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At home, 4 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Estrela’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

SC Braga

6/10Wins
1.5Goals / game
0.5Conceded / game

Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At away venues, 5 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect SC Braga’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

Estrela

10 matches
Oldest newest
Results5 wins · 4 draws · 1 losses
Goals scored per game2.0
Goals conceded per game1.3
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored7 of 10

Past results, not predictions.

See results

SC Braga

10 matches
Oldest newest
Results6 wins · 4 draws · 0 losses
Goals scored per game1.5
Goals conceded per game0.5
Games with 3+ goals4 of 10
Both teams scored3 of 10

Past results, not predictions.

See results
About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Estrela at home with SC Braga away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 03:29 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Primeira Liga · 2026/27 · all league matches

EstrelaSC Braga
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Estrela at home with SC Braga away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Estrela

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Pepa
  1. 24Léo LinckG
  2. 21M. ScholzeD
  3. 30Patrick LuanD
  4. 5S. LekovićD
  5. 55Rafa SoaresD
  6. 39Eddy DoueM
  7. 78Santiago SerraM
  8. 99A. MarcusM
  9. 14L. ZvonarekM
  10. 10I. StoicaM
  11. 37L. AntonettiF
Substitutes (12)

93 · B. Souza

80 · Alisson

4 · Bernardo Schappo

17 · Jefferson Encada

22 · David Grilo

6 · K. Höög Jansson

19 · Joan Jordán

3 · L. Mincarelli Davin

49 · R. Muteba

71 · E. Pedro Vanga

51 · Diogo Pinto

8 · Robinho

SC Braga

Confirmed formation3-4-3Carlos Vicens
  1. 31Bernardo FontesG
  2. 14G. LagerbielkeD
  3. 6Vitor CarvalhoD
  4. 22Sergio BarciaD
  5. 2Víctor GómezM
  6. 34E. TıknazM
  7. 8João MoutinhoM
  8. 77Gabri MartínezM
  9. 20M. DorgelesF
  10. 10Pau VictorF
  11. 9Fran NavarroF
Substitutes (11)

19 · J. Wind

7 · Diogo Travassos

12 · Tiago Sá

50 · Diego Rodrigues

17 · J. Milošević

16 · Tomás Marqués

11 · Gabriel Silva

78 · João Carvalho

37 · A. Barišić

44 · A. Bajrami

26 · B. Arrey-Mbi

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

SC Braga

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
B. Arrey-Mbi00.000000
Bernardo Fontes907.0000211
M. Dorgeles616.3000370
Víctor Gómez906.4001460
G. Lagerbielke906.6000532
Gabri Martínez617.2103370
João Moutinho906.4001971
Fran Navarro616.400081
Sergio Barcia905.9000591
E. Tıknaz766.7000573
Pau Victor766.6011350
Vitor Carvalho906.1001721
A. Bajrami00.000000
A. Barišić00.000000
João Carvalho00.000000
Gabriel Silva296.5001111
Tomás Marqués296.5000210
J. Milošević00.000000
Diego Rodrigues146.0000110
Tiago Sá00.000000
Diogo Travassos296.2001220
J. Wind146.800090

Estrela

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
B. Souza156.400200
Alisson00.000000
L. Antonetti876.3001120
Eddy Doue907.0010292
S. Leković906.6001441
Patrick Luan906.8000554
A. Marcus907.6012200
Rafa Soares906.1000281
M. Scholze906.7000406
Santiago Serra756.3000361
I. Stoica758.8202182
L. Zvonarek896.5001260
Léo Linck906.4000390
Bernardo Schappo00.000000
Jefferson Encada00.000000
David Grilo00.000000
K. Höög Jansson10.000010
Joan Jordán155.900040
L. Mincarelli Davin00.000000
R. Muteba36.000010
E. Pedro Vanga00.000000
Diogo Pinto00.000000
Robinho00.000000
2026/27 STANDINGS

Primeira Liga table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Primeira Liga. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1FC Porto77001831521
WWWWW
2Benfica75112271516
LWWWW
3Sporting CP7430178915
DDWWW
4Santa Clara7430114715
DWWDW
5Arouca7322107311
DLDWL
6SC Braga632175211
DWLWW
7Academico Viseu732299011
WWWLD
8Estrela72411414010
LDWDW
9GIL Vicente62225508
DLLDW
10Alverca7223911-28
WWLDL
11Maritimo7223812-48
DLLLD
12Moreirense7223814-68
DWLLW
13Famalicao71429727
WDDDL
14Vitória SC712458-35
DLDLW
15Nacional7115715-84
LLLLL
16Rio Ave7115515-104
LDLLW
17Casa Pia7115316-134
WLDLL
18Estoril7025310-72
LLDLL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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