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Primeira LigaMatchweek 7THE MATCH CENTRE

FC Porto vs Benfica match centre

FC Porto badgeFC PortoHome · 1 in league
WWLW
Momentum↘ Falling73/100OlderLatest
Full time
3:1
UK time · Europe/London
Benfica badgeBenficaAway · 2 in league
WWWW
Momentum↑ Strong100/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
Gabri Veiga31′
Victor Froholdt54′
Hwang In-Beom60′
Alexander Bah51′
Estádio do Dragão · PortoSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Out of date · Calculated 20 Sep 17:31 UK.

Odds updated 20 Sep 19:00 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 9 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win2.90Our model 37.3%Market 32.4% Draw3.30Our model 24.8%Market 28.5% Away win2.40Our model 37.9%Market 39.1% Bet365 · Updated 20 Sep 19:00 UK · Older than 24 hours Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
FC PortoBenfica
3Corner Kicks3
16Fouls12
3Yellow Cards3
0Red Cards1
1Goalkeeper Saves4
343Total passes422
310Passes accurate357

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

FC Porto 0 reported

No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.

Benfica 0 reported

No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.

Fetched 20 Sep, 10:52 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

FC Porto

8/10Wins
1.8Goals / game
0.6Conceded / game

Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 8 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect FC Porto’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Benfica

8/10Wins
3.0Goals / game
0.7Conceded / game

Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At away venues, 7 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Benfica’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare FC Porto at home with Benfica away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 03:12 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Primeira Liga · 2026/27 · all league matches

FC PortoBenfica
6Matches played6
18Points earned16
6Wins5
2.5Goals scored / match3.5
0.3Goals conceded / match0.7
4Clean sheets3
0Failed to score0

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares FC Porto at home with Benfica away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

4 recorded meetings

FC Porto

1wins
2 draws

Benfica

1wins

Apr 2025 – Mar 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

FC Porto

Confirmed formation4-3-3F. Farioli
  1. 99Diogo CostaG
  2. 20Alberto BaioD
  3. 5J. BednarekD
  4. 4J. KiwiorD
  5. 52Martim FernandesD
  6. 8Victor Mow FroholdtM
  7. 13P. RosarioM
  8. 10Gabri VeigaM
  9. 7WilliamF
  10. 19André SilvaF
  11. 11Pepê AquinoF
Substitutes (12)

37 · Gabriel Mec

64 · Luís Gomes

29 · S. Giménez

16 · Hwang In-Beom

9 · Samu

77 · O. Pietuszewski

14 · Cláudio Ramos

21 · D. Prpić

17 · Borja Sainz

74 · Francisco Moura

22 · A. Varela

33 · Souza

Benfica

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Marco Silva
  1. 24Samuel SoaresG
  2. 6A. BahD
  3. 44Tomás AraújoD
  4. 2C. LengletD
  5. 26S. DahlD
  6. 8F. AursnesM
  7. 36João PalhinhaM
  8. 27RafaM
  9. 10H. SudakovM
  10. 25G. PrestianniM
  11. 14V. PavlidisF
Substitutes (12)

3 · A. Circati

22 · J. Durán

30 · C. Echeverri

34 · S. El Karouani

72 · A. Cabral

58 · Daniel Banjaqui

13 · J. Kamiński

11 · D. Lukebakio

21 · A. Schjelderup

16 · Manu

1 · A. Trubin

18 · L. Barreiro

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

FC Porto

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Luís Gomes00.000000
Souza00.000000
A. Varela00.000000
Francisco Moura216.500080
Borja Sainz216.500060
D. Prpić00.000000
Cláudio Ramos00.000000
O. Pietuszewski56.300010
Samu56.400030
Hwang In-Beom528.0101232
S. Giménez00.000000
Gabriel Mec00.000000
Diogo Costa906.9000220
Alberto Baio906.8001250
J. Bednarek906.8001751
J. Kiwior907.0000681
Martim Fernandes696.3001120
Victor Mow Froholdt907.8102143
P. Rosario906.7002363
Gabri Veiga387.610492
William696.0001161
André Silva858.1025140
Pepê Aquino857.7012112

Benfica

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
L. Barreiro165.800060
A. Circati526.4000460
J. Durán00.000000
C. Echeverri00.000000
S. El Karouani56.100021
A. Cabral00.000000
Daniel Banjaqui00.000000
J. Kamiński00.000000
D. Lukebakio166.300050
A. Schjelderup166.4000100
Manu00.000000
A. Trubin00.000000
Samuel Soares906.6000231
A. Bah906.7102381
Tomás Araújo906.8001622
C. Lenglet355.5001311
S. Dahl856.0000491
F. Aursnes746.0000302
João Palhinha906.4000465
Rafa746.3003131
H. Sudakov385.9001101
G. Prestianni746.2012301
V. Pavlidis906.6002242
2026/27 STANDINGS

Primeira Liga table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Primeira Liga. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1FC Porto77001831521
WWWWW
2Benfica75112271516
LWWWW
3Sporting CP7430178915
DDWWW
4Santa Clara7430114715
DWWDW
5Arouca7322107311
DLDWL
6SC Braga632175211
DWLWW
7Academico Viseu732299011
WWWLD
8Estrela72411414010
LDWDW
9GIL Vicente62225508
DLLDW
10Alverca7223911-28
WWLDL
11Maritimo7223812-48
DLLLD
12Moreirense7223814-68
DWLLW
13Famalicao71429727
WDDDL
14Vitória SC712458-35
DLDLW
15Nacional7115715-84
LLLLL
16Rio Ave7115515-104
LDLLW
17Casa Pia7115316-134
WLDLL
18Estoril7025310-72
LLDLL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerFC PortoDrawBenfica
William Hill2.903.102.40
Bet3652.903.302.40
Marathonbet2.893.162.42
Betfair2.883.202.45
BetVictor2.803.302.30

Snapshot from 20 Sep 2026, 19:00 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

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