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SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Fortuna Düsseldorf match centre

SpVgg Greuther Fürth badgeSpVgg Greuther FürthHome · 16 in league
DWWLL
Momentum↘ Falling42/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
3:0
UK time · Europe/London
Fortuna Düsseldorf badgeFortuna DüsseldorfAway · 17 in league
WWLLL
Momentum↘ Falling31/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
F. Klaus2′
E. Egouli16′ (og)
N. Futkeu36′
Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer · FürthSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate100.0%SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Draw0.0%at full time
Current result estimate0.0%Fortuna Düsseldorf
Another goal8.1%before full time

Next goal: SpVgg Greuther Fürth 4.4% · no further goal 91.9% · Fortuna Düsseldorf 3.7%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
SpVgg Greuther FürthFortuna Düsseldorf
1Corner Kicks2
8Fouls11
2Yellow Cards4
—Red Cards—
1Goalkeeper Saves4
258Total passes487
196Passes accurate430

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

IF THE SCORE HOLDS

Provisional table

2. Bundesliga

Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.

#TeamPGDPtsMove
1FC Schalke 0434+1970—
2SV Elversberg34+2562—
3SC Paderborn 0734+1462—
4Hannover 9634+1660—
5SV Darmstadt 9834+1252—
61. FC Kaiserslautern34+552—
7Hertha BSC34+351—
81. FC Nürnberg34+246—
9VfL Bochum34+244—
10Karlsruher SC34-1144—
11Dynamo Dresden34+141—
12Holstein Kiel34-441—
13SpVgg Greuther Fürth35-1640↑ 3
14Arminia Bielefeld34+239↓ 1
151. FC Magdeburg34-639↓ 1
16Eintracht Braunschweig34-1837↓ 1
17Fortuna Düsseldorf35-2337—
18Preußen Münster34-2330—
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Fortuna Düsseldorf 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare SpVgg Greuther Fürth at home with Fortuna Düsseldorf away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 01:48 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

2. Bundesliga · 2025/26 · all league matches

SpVgg Greuther FürthFortuna Düsseldorf
32Matches played32
34Points earned34
9Wins10
1.4Goals scored / match1.0
2.1Goals conceded / match1.6
4Clean sheets5
10Failed to score12

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares SpVgg Greuther Fürth at home with Fortuna Düsseldorf away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

Confirmed formation4-1-4-1Heiko Vogel
  1. 43S. PrufrockG
  2. 23J. DehmD
  3. 15J. ElvediD
  4. 4P. ZiereisD
  5. 27G. ItterD
  6. 13P. WillM
  7. 30F. KlausM
  8. 10B. HrgotaM
  9. 7D. SrbenyM
  10. 47S. LtaiefM
  11. 9N. FutkeuF
Substitutes (9)

26 · P. Boevink

28 · D. Arifi

25 · B. Bjarnason

37 · J. Green

18 · F. Higl

33 · M. Dietz

6 · S. Banse

16 · A. Keller

5 · R. Munz

Fortuna Düsseldorf

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Alexander Ende
  1. 33F. KastenmeierG
  2. 12V. LunddalD
  3. 15T. OberdorfD
  4. 44E. EgouliD
  5. 3C. LenzD
  6. 14S. AlexandropoulosM
  7. 6T. BreithauptM
  8. 19E. IyohaM
  9. 23S. AppelkampM
  10. 46S. SusoM
  11. 20M. LjubicicF
Substitutes (9)

1 · M. Lotka

16 · S. Tanaka

10 · C. Rasmussen

11 · J. Hettwer

21 · T. Rossmann

27 · J. Paulina

5 · M. Heyer

2 · J. Daland

7 · L. Raimund

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Silas Prüfrock907.3—0—48—
Jannik Dehm907.3—01242
Jan Elvedi907.6—0—262
Philipp Ziereis907.2—0—302
Luca Itter897.6—1—384
Paul Will906.6—0—252
Felix Klaus909.310417—
Branimir Hrgota906.9—02191
Dennis Srbeny616.3—0—81
Sayfallah Ltaief676.5—0215—
Noel Futkeu908.210216—
Doni Arifi296.9—0—82
Reno Münz236.9—0—2—
Brynjar Ingi Bjarnason86.9—0———
Pelle Boevink———————
Maximilian Dietz———————
Julian Green———————
Aaron Keller———————
Sacha Banse———————
Felix Higl———————

Fortuna Düsseldorf

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Florian Kastenmeier907.5—0—52—
Valgeir Lunddal Fridriksson455.6—0—21—
Tim Oberdorf905.7—0—631
Elias Egouli905.3—0—723
Christopher Lenz826.3—0—472
Sotiris Alexandropoulos456.7—0—232
Tim Breithaupt906.9—0—832
Emmanuel Iyoha907.3—0—343
Shinta Appelkamp756.3—0244—
Sima Suso456.3—0—13—
Marin Ljubičić906.3—0—14—
Satoshi Tanaka456.9—0—213
Jordi Paulina455.9—01131
Christian Rasmussen456.5—0315—
Tim Rossmann156.7—0—151
Jesper Daland86.7—0———
Marcel Lotka———————
Moritz Heyer———————
Luca Raimund———————
Julian Hettwer———————
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerSpVgg Greuther FürthDrawFortuna Düsseldorf
Bet3652.503.602.60

Snapshot from 16 May 2026, 20:20 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

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