Holstein Kiel
5/10Wins
1.5Goals / game
1.2Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 3 wins from 9 available matches.
Inspect Holstein Kiel’s results
2. BundesligaMatchweek 33THE MATCH CENTREHolstein Kiel vs 1. FC Magdeburg match centre
90′ · Live
1:3
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
A. Kapralik90+2′
J. Hugonet40′
D. Stalmach45+2′
B. Atik56′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate0.0%Holstein Kiel
Draw0.1%at full time
Current result estimate99.9%1. FC Magdeburg
Another goal8.1%before full time
Next goal: Holstein Kiel 3.9% · no further goal 91.9% · 1. FC Magdeburg 4.1%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.Holstein Kiel1. FC Magdeburg
1.000Expected goals · API-Football1.910
3Shots on target7
11Total Shots14
59%Ball Possession41%
10Corner Kicks5
13Fouls11
2Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
4Goalkeeper Saves2
437Total passes300
382Passes accurate254
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
2. BundesligaProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Schalke 04 | 34 | +19 | 70 | — |
| 2 |  SV Elversberg | 34 | +25 | 62 | — |
| 3 |  SC Paderborn 07 | 34 | +14 | 62 | — |
| 4 |  Hannover 96 | 34 | +16 | 60 | — |
| 5 |  SV Darmstadt 98 | 34 | +12 | 52 | — |
| 6 |  1. FC Kaiserslautern | 34 | +5 | 52 | — |
| 7 |  Hertha BSC | 34 | +3 | 51 | — |
| 8 |  1. FC Nürnberg | 34 | +2 | 46 | — |
| 9 |  VfL Bochum | 34 | +2 | 44 | — |
| 10 |  Karlsruher SC | 34 | -11 | 44 | — |
| 11 |  1. FC Magdeburg | 35 | -4 | 42 | ↑ 3 |
| 12 |  Dynamo Dresden | 34 | +1 | 41 | ↓ 1 |
| 13 | Holstein Kiel | 35 | -6 | 41 | ↓ 1 |
| 14 |  Arminia Bielefeld | 34 | +2 | 39 | ↓ 1 |
| 15 |  Eintracht Braunschweig | 34 | -18 | 37 | — |
| 16 |  SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 34 | -19 | 37 | — |
| 17 |  Fortuna Düsseldorf | 34 | -20 | 37 | — |
| 18 |  Preußen Münster | 34 | -23 | 30 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Holstein Kiel 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
1. FC Magdeburg 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
1. FC Magdeburg
4/10Wins
1.8Goals / game
1.7Conceded / game
Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 7 available matches.
Inspect 1. FC Magdeburg’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Holstein Kiel
10 matchesResults5 wins · 2 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.5
Goals conceded per game1.2
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Eintracht BraunschweigHome · 2. Bundesliga2–0Hertha BSCAway · 2. Bundesliga1–01. FC KaiserslauternHome · 2. Bundesliga3–0Fortuna DüsseldorfAway · 2. Bundesliga2–1Preußen MünsterHome · 2. Bundesliga0–0VfL BochumAway · 2. Bundesliga3–21. FC NürnbergHome · 2. Bundesliga2–3SV Darmstadt 98Away · 2. Bundesliga0–2SV ElversbergHome · 2. Bundesliga1–1Karlsruher SCAway · 2. Bundesliga1–3
1. FC Magdeburg
10 matchesResults4 wins · 1 draws · 5 losses
Goals scored per game1.8
Goals conceded per game1.7
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Hertha BSCHome · 2. Bundesliga1–01. FC NürnbergAway · 2. Bundesliga0–1Fortuna DüsseldorfHome · 2. Bundesliga2–0SC Paderborn 07Away · 2. Bundesliga3–4VfL BochumHome · 2. Bundesliga4–1Preußen MünsterAway · 2. Bundesliga3–1SV Darmstadt 98Home · 2. Bundesliga1–1SV ElversbergAway · 2. Bundesliga0–1Karlsruher SCHome · 2. Bundesliga1–3FC Schalke 04Away · 2. Bundesliga3–5
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Holstein Kiel at home with 1. FC Magdeburg away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 02:30 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
2. Bundesliga · 2025/26 · all league matches
Holstein Kiel1. FC Magdeburg
32Matches played31
41Points earned33
11Wins10
1.3Goals scored / match1.6
1.4Goals conceded / match1.8
9Clean sheets6
5Failed to score11
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Holstein Kiel at home with 1. FC Magdeburg away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Holstein Kiel
Confirmed formation4-5-1Tim Walter
- 1
T. WeinerG - 23
L. RosenboomD - 13
I. NekicD - 26
D. ZecD - 6
M. IvezicD - 20
A. KapralikM - 8
U. TohumcuM - 28
J. MeffertM - 15
K. DavidsenM - 10
J. TherkelsenM - 19
P. HarresF
Substitutes (9)
21 · J. Krumrey
3 · M. Komenda
11 · A. Bernhardsson
25 · M. Muller
29 · N. Niehoff
49 · I. Ugoh
2 · F. Roslyng
40 · L. Parduzi
22 · S. Schwab
1. FC Magdeburg
Confirmed formation4-3-3Petrik Sander
- 1
D. ReimannG - 7
H. BockhornD - 16
M. MathisenD - 24
J. HugonetD - 19
L. MusondaD - 8
L. UlrichM - 21
F. MichelM - 6
D. StalmachM - 17
A. NollenbergerF - 22
M. ZukowskiF - 23
B. AtikF
Substitutes (8)
40 · R. Kampa
5 · T. Muller
11 · A. Holmstrom
13 · C. Krempicki
27 · P. Hercher
18 · R. Tachie
9 · M. Breunig
10 · N. Pesch
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Holstein Kiel
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timon Weiner | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 46 | — |
| Lasse Rosenboom | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 41 | 2 |
| Ivan Nekić | 71 | 6.0 | — | 0 | — | 48 | — |
| David Zec | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 55 | — |
| Marko Ivezić | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 55 | 2 |
| Adrián Kaprálik | 90 | 7.3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18 | — |
| Umut Tohumcu | 60 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 15 | 1 |
| Jonas Meffert | 71 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 54 | 1 |
| Kasper Davidsen | 5 | — | — | 0 | — | 4 | — |
| Jonas Therkelsen | 60 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 21 | 2 |
| Phil Harres | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 9 | — |
| Stefan Schwab | 85 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 41 | 2 |
| Ikem Ugoh | 30 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 9 | — |
| Alexander Bernhardsson | 30 | 8.0 | — | 1 | 2 | 13 | 4 |
| Frederik Roslyng | 19 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 15 | 1 |
| Niklas Niehoff | 19 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 2 | — |
| Jonas Krumrey | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Leon Parduzi | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marco Komenda | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marcus Müller | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
1. FC Magdeburg
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dominik Reimann | 90 | 8.5 | — | 0 | — | 37 | — |
| Herbert Bockhorn | 65 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 19 | 1 |
| Marcus Mathisen | 90 | 7.9 | — | 0 | — | 56 | 9 |
| Jean Hugonet | 90 | 8.5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 37 | 5 |
| Lubambo Musonda | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 23 | — |
| Laurin Ulrich | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 19 | 2 |
| Falko Michel | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 30 | — |
| Dariusz Stalmach | 62 | 8.3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 2 |
| Alexander Nollenberger | 83 | 6.9 | — | 1 | 1 | 10 | — |
| Mateusz Żukowski | 83 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 2 | 8 | 1 |
| Barış Atik | 90 | 8.0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 30 | — |
| Connor Krempicki | 28 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 4 | — |
| Philipp Hercher | 25 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 4 | 1 |
| Alexander Ahl Holmstrom | 14 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 4 | — |
| Noah Pesch | 14 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 5 | 2 |
| Robert Kampa | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tobias Müller | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Maximilian Breunig | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Richmond Tachie | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Holstein Kiel | Draw | 1. FC Magdeburg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 3.00 | 4.00 | 2.10 |
Snapshot from 8 May 2026, 21:27 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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