Energie Cottbus
3/10Wins
1.9Goals / game
2.8Conceded / game
Keep in view: 6 losses in that sample. At home, 4 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Energie Cottbus’s results
2. BundesligaMatchweek 6THE MATCH CENTREEnergie Cottbus vs FC St. Pauli match centre
Full time
1:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
Justin Butler37′
Martijn Kaars80′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Out of date · Calculated 20 Sep 11:06 UK.
Odds updated 20 Sep 11:11 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 9 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
Energie CottbusFC St. Pauli
1.120Expected goals · API-Football0.770
5Shots on target2
14Total Shots6
69%Ball Possession31%
9Corner Kicks3
13Fouls7
2Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards1
1Goalkeeper Saves4
621Total passes277
548Passes accurate208
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Energie Cottbus 0 reported
No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.
FC St. Pauli 0 reported
No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.
Fetched 20 Sep, 10:06 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
FC St. Pauli
3/10Wins
1.6Goals / game
1.7Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect FC St. Pauli’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Energie Cottbus
10 matchesResults3 wins · 1 draws · 6 losses
Goals scored per game1.9
Goals conceded per game2.8
Games with 3+ goals9 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Karlsruher SCAway · 2. Bundesliga3–0VfL WolfsburgAway · 2. Bundesliga4–4SpVgg Greuther FürthHome · 2. Bundesliga3–4FC AugsburgHome · DFB Pokal0–2Arminia BielefeldAway · 2. Bundesliga0–3Hannover 96Home · 2. Bundesliga3–1Werder BremenHome · Friendlies Clubs2–4Dynamo DresdenAway · Friendlies Clubs2–1Red Bull SalzburgHome · Friendlies Clubs0–5Mlada BoleslavHome · Friendlies Clubs2–4
FC St. Pauli
10 matchesResults3 wins · 4 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.6
Goals conceded per game1.7
Games with 3+ goals7 of 10
Both teams scored8 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
VfL WolfsburgHome · 2. Bundesliga1–0Arminia BielefeldAway · 2. Bundesliga2–21. FC KaiserslauternHome · 2. Bundesliga1–2Rot-Weiß EssenAway · DFB Pokal0–2Holstein KielAway · 2. Bundesliga2–2SpVgg Greuther FürthHome · 2. Bundesliga1–1Deportivo La CorunaHome · Friendlies Clubs2–2BournemouthAway · Friendlies Clubs1–4HNK GoricaHome · Friendlies Clubs2–1SV Babelsberg 03Away · Friendlies Clubs4–1
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Energie Cottbus at home with FC St. Pauli away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 02:01 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
2. Bundesliga · 2026/27 · all league matches
Energie CottbusFC St. Pauli
5Matches played5
7Points earned6
2Wins1
2.6Goals scored / match1.4
2.4Goals conceded / match1.4
1Clean sheets1
1Failed to score0
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Energie Cottbus at home with FC St. Pauli away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
5 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Energie Cottbus
1wins5MEETINGS
FC St. Pauli
1winsMar 2012 – Apr 2014 · Historical meetings. Squads and team strength have changed.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Energie Cottbus
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1C. Wollitz
- 1
M. LotkaG - 3
H. RorigD - 2
K. ManuD - 21
Luca ErleinD - 20
A. BorgmannD - 32
L. BittencourtM - 8
Lukas MichelbrinkM - 10
T. CiğerciM - 9
L. CopadoM - 11
M. HannemannM - 31
J. ButlerF
Substitutes (9)
13 · Dmytro Bohdanov
4 · T. Campulka
23 · Fousseny Doumbia
6 · J. Hofmann
7 · C. Kinsombi
16 · R. Malone
5 · D. Pelivan
29 · K. Kratzsch
19 · J. Boziaris
FC St. Pauli
Confirmed formation4-1-3-2M. Rapp
- 1
B. VollG - 11
A. PyrkaD - 4
D. NemethD - 15
T. AndoD - 23
L. OppieD - 8
E. SmithM - 7
Y. NiangM - 20
M. RasmussenM - 16
J. FujitaM - 9
Abdoulie CeesayF - 24
C. MetcalfeF
Substitutes (9)
26 · R. Jones
19 · M. Kaars
22 · Samuel Klein
6 · M. Mathisen
33 · D. Mitov
21 · L. Ritzka
18 · T. Hara
25 · A. Dźwigała
14 · E. Ahlstrand
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Energie Cottbus
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Bittencourt | 62 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 76 | 0 |
| M. Lotka | 90 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 36 | 0 |
| D. Pelivan | 28 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 1 |
| R. Malone | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| C. Kinsombi | 28 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 0 |
| J. Hofmann | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Fousseny Doumbia | 11 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 0 |
| T. Campulka | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dmytro Bohdanov | 11 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
| Lukas Michelbrink | 79 | 6.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 60 | 1 |
| K. Manu | 90 | 7.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 91 | 3 |
| M. Hannemann | 90 | 6.8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 1 |
| Luca Erlein | 90 | 7.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 104 | 2 |
| L. Copado | 62 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 0 |
| T. Ciğerci | 79 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 50 | 0 |
| J. Butler | 90 | 7.8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 |
| A. Borgmann | 90 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 64 | 2 |
| H. Rorig | 90 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 54 | 0 |
| K. Kratzsch | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| J. Boziaris | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
FC St. Pauli
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Smith | 90 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 40 | 1 |
| E. Ahlstrand | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| A. Dźwigała | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| T. Hara | 16 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| R. Jones | 15 | 6.9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| M. Kaars | 33 | 8.1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| Samuel Klein | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| M. Mathisen | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| D. Mitov | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| L. Ritzka | 61 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 1 |
| M. Rasmussen | 75 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 2 |
| A. Pyrka | 90 | 5.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 2 |
| L. Oppie | 90 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 1 |
| Y. Niang | 29 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| D. Nemeth | 90 | 6.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 35 | 4 |
| C. Metcalfe | 90 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 3 |
| J. Fujita | 74 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 2 |
| Abdoulie Ceesay | 57 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 1 |
| T. Ando | 21 | 5.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0 |
| B. Voll | 90 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 0 |
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗2. Bundesliga table
Current standings · 2. Bundesliga. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hertha BSC | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 18 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  1. FC Nürnberg | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 16 | WWDWW |
| 3 |  1. FC Heidenheim | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 13 | DWWWL |
| 4 |  VfL Wolfsburg | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 11 | WLDWW |
| 5 |  1. FC Kaiserslautern | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 11 | WLWWD |
| 6 |  1. FC Magdeburg | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 10 | DWLWW |
| 7 | Energie Cottbus | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 8 | DWDLL |
| 8 | FC St. Pauli | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 7 | DWDLD |
| 9 |  VfL Bochum | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 7 | LDWLW |
| 10 |  Hannover 96 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 7 | WLDWL |
| 11 |  VfL Osnabrück | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 7 | DLWWL |
| 12 |  SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 6 | DDLWL |
| 13 |  Arminia Bielefeld | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 5 | DLDLW |
| 14 |  Karlsruher SC | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 5 | LLDLD |
| 15 |  Eintracht Braunschweig | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 4 | LDLLL |
| 16 |  Holstein Kiel | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 4 | DLDLD |
| 17 |  Dynamo Dresden | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 4 | LDLLW |
| 18 |  SV Darmstadt 98 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 4 | LWLLL |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Energie Cottbus | Draw | FC St. Pauli |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 2.90 | 3.60 | 2.10 |
| Bet365 | 3.00 | 3.70 | 2.10 |
| Marathonbet | 3.02 | 3.74 | 2.10 |
| Betfair | 3.00 | 3.75 | 2.10 |
| BetVictor | 3.00 | 3.90 | 2.05 |
Snapshot from 20 Sep 2026, 11:11 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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