Notts County
1/10Wins
0.8Goals / game
1.2Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 4 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Notts County’s results
EFL TrophyGroup North - 6THE MATCH CENTRENotts County vs Grimsby match centre
Full time
2:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
Callum Roberts32′
Jayden Sweeney79′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
Experimental fallback — not a recommended bet. This model has not passed the data and predictive-performance checks required for recommendations. Its goal projections and scorelines are withheld. Any likelihood guide shown here uses bookmaker prices.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Experimental — not eligible for recommendations · Calculated 22 Sep 18:36 UK.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
Notts CountyGrimsby
—Expected goals · API-Football—
4Shots on target3
11Total Shots9
60%Ball Possession40%
0Corner Kicks3
17Fouls16
3Yellow Cards0
0Red Cards0
2Goalkeeper Saves5
628Total passes420
535Passes accurate315
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Notts County 0 reported
No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.
Grimsby 0 reported
No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.
Fetched 22 Sep, 17:20 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Grimsby
5/10Wins
1.7Goals / game
1.1Conceded / game
Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Grimsby’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Notts County
10 matchesResults1 wins · 6 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game0.8
Goals conceded per game1.2
Games with 3+ goals2 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
ReadingAway · League One0–2BradfordHome · League One0–1HuddersfieldAway · League One1–1DoncasterAway · League One1–1Burton AlbionHome · League One2–1LutonAway · League One2–2LeicesterHome · League One1–1BurnleyAway · League Cup1–1WalsallAway · Friendlies Clubs0–0Nottingham ForestHome · Friendlies Clubs0–2
Grimsby
10 matchesResults5 wins · 4 draws · 1 losses
Goals scored per game1.7
Goals conceded per game1.1
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Crawley TownHome · League Two2–0Bristol RoversHome · League Two2–0CheltenhamAway · League Two2–2Accrington STAway · League Two2–2Fleetwood TownHome · League Two2–2WalsallAway · League Two0–0Exeter CityHome · League Two1–0BlackpoolHome · League Cup1–3Grimsby BoroughHome · Friendlies Clubs3–2WiganHome · Friendlies Clubs2–0
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Notts County at home with Grimsby away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 04:56 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
EFL Trophy · 2026/27 · all league matches
Notts CountyGrimsby
0Matches played0
0Points earned0
0Wins0
0.0Goals scored / match0.0
0.0Goals conceded / match0.0
0Clean sheets0
0Failed to score0
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Notts County at home with Grimsby away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
5 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Notts County
3wins5MEETINGS
Grimsby
1winsJan 2024 – Feb 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Notts County
Confirmed formation4-1-4-1M. Paterson
- 1
H. CartwrightG - 36Alex GrahamD
- 24
D. TharmeD - 26
E. PrutiD - 16
R. StauntonD - 23
H. BrownM - 12
J. FoulkesM - 28
F. CartwrightM - 7
J. WalkerM - 8
Cian DoyleM - 10
S. FinchF
Substitutes (7)
49 · Curtis Manyika
2 · M. Kacurri
41 · S. Auton
48 · Darius Neagu
14 · J. Amaluzor
47 · Edward Sharp
3 · J. Sweeney
Grimsby
Confirmed formation3-4-2-1D. Artell
- 21
H. GriffithsG - 23
L. BrowneD - 3
R. McDonaldD - 44
M. BakerD - 10
R. Longelo-MbuleM - 26
I. Samuels-SmithM - 18
M. PalmerM - 17
Maziar KouhyarM - 11
C. GrantM - 7
C. RobertsM - 19
L. SmythF
Substitutes (7)
12 · L. Ness
4 · J. Bedeau
1 · J. Gibbons
8 · O. Cooper
15 · J. Evans
50 · George Lodge
49 · K. Muir
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Notts County
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Ness | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| K. Muir | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| George Lodge | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| J. Evans | 22 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 2 |
| O. Cooper | 22 | 7.6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 3 |
| J. Gibbons | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| J. Bedeau | 13 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 0 |
| H. Griffiths | 90 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 31 | 0 |
| L. Browne | 90 | 7.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 93 | 0 |
| R. McDonald | 90 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 93 | 3 |
| M. Baker | 90 | 6.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 77 | 4 |
| R. Longelo-Mbule | 68 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 1 |
| I. Samuels-Smith | 77 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 43 | 4 |
| M. Palmer | 90 | 7.7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 96 | 3 |
| Maziar Kouhyar | 90 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 39 | 2 |
| C. Grant | 90 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 49 | 1 |
| C. Roberts | 90 | 7.5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 39 | 2 |
| L. Smyth | 68 | 5.9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 0 |
Grimsby
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Sweeney | 17 | 7.1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 |
| Edward Sharp | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| J. Amaluzor | 17 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 |
| Darius Neagu | 6 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| Curtis Manyika | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| M. Kacurri | 28 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 4 |
| S. Auton | 45 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 0 |
| H. Cartwright | 45 | 5.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 0 |
| Alex Graham | 90 | 5.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 36 | 1 |
| D. Tharme | 62 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 40 | 4 |
| E. Pruti | 90 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 59 | 1 |
| R. Staunton | 73 | 5.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 2 |
| H. Brown | 90 | 5.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 1 |
| J. Foulkes | 90 | 5.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 44 | 2 |
| F. Cartwright | 90 | 5.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 2 |
| J. Walker | 84 | 7.4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 29 | 0 |
| Cian Doyle | 90 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 48 | 4 |
| S. Finch | 73 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗EFL Trophy table
Current standings. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
Standings are not available for this competition and season.
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Notts County | Draw | Grimsby |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 2.30 | 3.50 | 2.40 |
| Bet365 | 2.45 | 3.60 | 2.45 |
| Marathonbet | 2.31 | 3.64 | 2.48 |
| Betfair | 2.25 | 3.50 | 2.50 |
| BetVictor | 2.45 | 3.50 | 2.50 |
Snapshot from 22 Sep 2026, 19:00 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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