Milton Keynes Dons
1/10Wins
1.1Goals / game
1.4Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 4 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Milton Keynes Dons’s results
EFL TrophyGroup South - 8THE MATCH CENTREMilton Keynes Dons vs Crawley Town match centre
Full time
4:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
Ben Wiles42′
Jack Sanders45′
Elijah Campbell61′
Rushian Hepburn-Murphy70′ (pen)
Nathan Tinsdale90+1′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
Experimental fallback — not a recommended bet. This model has not passed the data and predictive-performance checks required for recommendations. Its goal projections and scorelines are withheld. Any likelihood guide shown here uses bookmaker prices.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Experimental — not eligible for recommendations · Calculated 22 Sep 18:36 UK.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
Milton Keynes DonsCrawley Town
—Expected goals · API-Football—
7Shots on target5
17Total Shots12
55%Ball Possession45%
4Corner Kicks5
10Fouls23
2Yellow Cards3
0Red Cards0
4Goalkeeper Saves3
449Total passes375
365Passes accurate297
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Milton Keynes Dons 0 reported
No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.
Crawley Town 0 reported
No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.
Fetched 22 Sep, 17:32 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Crawley Town
2/10Wins
0.8Goals / game
1.5Conceded / game
Keep in view: 7 losses in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Crawley Town’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Milton Keynes Dons
10 matchesResults1 wins · 7 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game1.1
Goals conceded per game1.4
Games with 3+ goals4 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
AFC WimbledonAway · League One0–0PeterboroughHome · League One1–1WycombeAway · League One3–3WiganAway · League One1–3LeicesterHome · League One0–0HuddersfieldHome · League One1–1Oxford UnitedAway · League One2–2NorwichAway · League Cup1–4CheltenhamAway · Friendlies Clubs2–0BarnetAway · Friendlies Clubs0–0
Crawley Town
10 matchesResults2 wins · 1 draws · 7 losses
Goals scored per game0.8
Goals conceded per game1.5
Games with 3+ goals3 of 10
Both teams scored4 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Milton Keynes Dons at home with Crawley Town away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 04:55 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
EFL Trophy · 2026/27 · all league matches
Milton Keynes DonsCrawley Town
0Matches played0
0Points earned0
0Wins0
0.0Goals scored / match0.0
0.0Goals conceded / match0.0
0Clean sheets0
0Failed to score0
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Milton Keynes Dons at home with Crawley Town away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
4 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Milton Keynes Dons
0wins4MEETINGS
Crawley Town
2winsMay 2024 – Feb 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Milton Keynes Dons
Confirmed formation3-1-4-2P. Warne
- 23
W. DennisG - 21
M. EkpitetaD - 32
J. SandersD - 20
Elijah Xavier CampbellD - 4
D. BarlaserM - 2
G. JonesM - 26
B. WilesM - 28
J. MateteM - 17
S. SilveraM - 29
R. Hepburn-MurphyF - 22
I. FullahF
Substitutes (7)
42 · Elisha Boateng
46 · Jack Burke
39 · J. Perniskie
40 · Rian Silver
33 · Damerai Singh-Hurditt
51 · S. Stacey
47 · S. Troso
Crawley Town
Confirmed formation4-4-2Colin Kazım-Richards
- 31
J. IzquierdoG - 24
A. OdimayoD - 5
C. BarkerD - 4
Pele Arganese-McDermottD - 56
Jude RobertsonD - 25
J. FourcroyM - 28
Nathan TinsdaleM - 21
J. FerizajM - 12
L. RichardsM - 8
L. WatsonF - 14
G. Di BiaseF
Substitutes (7)
22 · A. Adeyemo
7 · M. Ebiowei
9 · D. Orsi
27 · Dylan Morgan
17 · Osman Kamara
35 · Ty Ewens-Findlay
20 · J. Arthurs
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Milton Keynes Dons
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Troso | 28 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 |
| S. Stacey | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Damerai Singh-Hurditt | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Rian Silver | 2 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| J. Perniskie | 2 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| Jack Burke | 12 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 |
| Elisha Boateng | 2 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| W. Dennis | 90 | 6.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 49 | 0 |
| M. Ekpiteta | 90 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 55 | 2 |
| J. Sanders | 90 | 8.2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 68 | 0 |
| Elijah Xavier Campbell | 62 | 7.7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 0 |
| D. Barlaser | 90 | 8.6 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 68 | 2 |
| G. Jones | 78 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 0 |
| B. Wiles | 88 | 8.0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 29 | 1 |
| J. Matete | 90 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 42 | 4 |
| S. Silvera | 88 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 0 |
| R. Hepburn-Murphy | 90 | 7.3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 0 |
| I. Fullah | 88 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 0 |
Crawley Town
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Adeyemo | 28 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 1 |
| J. Izquierdo | 90 | 5.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 43 | 0 |
| A. Odimayo | 45 | 5.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 39 | 2 |
| C. Barker | 90 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 37 | 2 |
| Pele Arganese-McDermott | 90 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 40 | 1 |
| Jude Robertson | 62 | 5.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 35 | 5 |
| J. Fourcroy | 62 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 0 |
| Nathan Tinsdale | 90 | 7.3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 2 |
| J. Ferizaj | 90 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 37 | 2 |
| L. Richards | 90 | 6.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 31 | 1 |
| L. Watson | 63 | 6.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 1 |
| G. Di Biase | 62 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 2 |
| M. Ebiowei | 28 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
| D. Orsi | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dylan Morgan | 27 | 5.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Osman Kamara | 28 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| Ty Ewens-Findlay | 45 | 5.1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 1 |
| J. Arthurs | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗EFL Trophy table
Current standings. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
Standings are not available for this competition and season.
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Milton Keynes Dons | Draw | Crawley Town |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.25 | 5.00 | 8.50 |
| Bet365 | 1.28 | 5.75 | 7.50 |
| Marathonbet | 1.25 | 5.05 | 8.90 |
| Betfair | 1.25 | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.25 | 5.75 | 8.50 |
Snapshot from 22 Sep 2026, 19:00 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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