Wales
5/10Wins
1.6Goals / game
1.1Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 4 wins from 5 available matches.
Inspect Wales’s results
World Cup - Qualification EuropeGroup Stage - 8THE MATCH CENTREWales vs Belgium match centre
Full time
2:4
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
J. Rodon8′
N. Broadhead89′
K. De Bruyne18′ (pen)
T. Meunier24′
K. De Bruyne76′ (pen)
L. Trossard90′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
WalesBelgium
0.920Expected goals · API-Football3.440
—Shots on target—
—Total Shots—
—Ball Possession—
—Corner Kicks—
—Fouls—
—Yellow Cards—
—Red Cards—
—Goalkeeper Saves—
—Total passes—
—Passes accurate—
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Wales 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Belgium 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Belgium
4/10Wins
2.2Goals / game
1.1Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 4 available matches.
Inspect Belgium’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Wales
10 matchesResults5 wins · 2 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.6
Goals conceded per game1.1
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored4 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
EnglandAway · Friendlies0–3CanadaHome · Friendlies0–1KazakhstanAway · World Cup - Qualification Europe1–0BelgiumAway · World Cup - Qualification Europe3–4LiechtensteinHome · World Cup - Qualification Europe3–0FYR MacedoniaAway · World Cup - Qualification Europe1–1KazakhstanHome · World Cup - Qualification Europe3–1IcelandHome · UEFA Nations League4–1TürkiyeAway · UEFA Nations League0–0MontenegroHome · UEFA Nations League1–0
Belgium
10 matchesResults4 wins · 2 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game2.2
Goals conceded per game1.1
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored4 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
FYR MacedoniaHome · World Cup - Qualification Europe0–0KazakhstanHome · World Cup - Qualification Europe6–0LiechtensteinAway · World Cup - Qualification Europe6–0WalesHome · World Cup - Qualification Europe4–3FYR MacedoniaAway · World Cup - Qualification Europe1–1UkraineHome · UEFA Nations League3–0UkraineAway · UEFA Nations League1–3IsraelAway · UEFA Nations League0–1ItalyHome · UEFA Nations League0–1FranceHome · UEFA Nations League1–2
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Wales at home with Belgium away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 00:23 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
World Cup - Qualification Europe · 2024/25 · all league matches
WalesBelgium
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Wales at home with Belgium away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Wales
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Craig Douglas Bellamy
- 1
K. DarlowG - 3
N. WilliamsD - 6
J. RodonD - 16
B. CabangoD - 4
B. DaviesD - 5
E. AmpaduM - 17
J. JamesM - 7
D. BrooksM - 8
H. WilsonM - 19
S. ThomasM - 18
M. HarrisF
Substitutes (12)
12 · T. King
21 · A. Davies
2 · C. Mepham
9 · L. Koumas
10 · L. Cullen
11 · B. Johnson
13 · K. Moore
14 · R. Colwill
15 · J. Dasilva
20 · R. Kpakio
22 · J. Sheehan
23 · N. Broadhead
Belgium
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Rudi Garcia
- 1
T. CourtoisG - 15
T. MeunierD - 2
Z. DebastD - 3
A. TheateD - 5
M. De CuyperD - 18
A. OnanaM - 8
N. RaskinM - 11
J. DokuM - 7
K. De BruyneM - 10
L. TrossardM - 17
C. De KetelaereF
Substitutes (12)
12 · S. Lammens
13 · M. Sels
4 · B. Mechele
6 · A. Witsel
9 · L. Openda
14 · D. Lukebakio
16 · K. De Winter
19 · M. Fofana
20 · H. Vanaken
21 · T. Castagne
22 · J. Seys
23 · M. Batshuayi
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Wales
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karl Darlow | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 40 | — |
| Neco Williams | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 45 | 1 |
| Joe Rodon | 90 | 7.3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 83 | 1 |
| Ben Cabango | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 77 | 2 |
| Ben Davies | 71 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 40 | 5 |
| Ethan Ampadu | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 60 | 2 |
| Jordan James | 86 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 28 | 1 |
| David Brooks | 58 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 19 | 1 |
| Harry Wilson | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 21 | 1 |
| Sorba Thomas | 90 | 6.9 | — | 1 | — | 34 | — |
| Mark Harris | 86 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 |
| Brennan Johnson | 32 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 16 | 1 |
| Nathan Broadhead | 19 | 7.2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 |
| Jay Dasilva | 13 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 9 | — |
| Kieffer Moore | 13 | 7.3 | — | 1 | — | 4 | 1 |
| Tom King | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Adam Davies | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Chris Mepham | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ronan Kpakio | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lewis Koumas | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rubin Colwill | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Josh Sheehan | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Liam Cullen | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Belgium
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thibaut Courtois | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 34 | — |
| Thomas Meunier | 90 | 7.7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 35 | 1 |
| Zeno Debast | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 27 | — |
| Arthur Theate | 81 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 29 | — |
| Maxim De Cuyper | 60 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 16 | 1 |
| Amadou Onana | 70 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 22 | 4 |
| Nicolas Raskin | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 29 | 2 |
| Jérémy Doku | 90 | 7.9 | — | 1 | 3 | 28 | — |
| Kevin De Bruyne | 81 | 8.2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 20 | — |
| Leandro Trossard | 90 | 6.7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | — |
| Charles De Ketelaere | 81 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 2 | 17 | 1 |
| Timothy Castagne | 30 | 7.0 | — | 1 | — | 10 | 1 |
| Hans Vanaken | 20 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 12 | — |
| Brandon Mechele | 9 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 4 | 1 |
| Axel Witsel | 9 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 7 | 1 |
| Malick Fofana | 9 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 4 | — |
| Senne Lammens | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matz Sels | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Koni De Winter | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joaquin Seys | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dodi Lukebakio | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Loïs Openda | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Michy Batshuayi | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
2024/25 STANDINGS
League centre ↗World Cup - Qualification Europe table
Current standings · Group J. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Belgium | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 29 | 7 | 22 | 18 | WDWDW |
| 2 | Wales | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 16 | WWLWL |
| 3 |  FYR Macedonia | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 13 | LDDWW |
| 4 |  Kazakhstan | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 8 | DDWLL |
| 5 |  Liechtenstein | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 31 | -31 | 0 | LLLLL |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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