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Serie AMatchweek 29
ItalyTHE MATCH CENTRE

Lazio vs AC Milan match centre

Lazio badgeLazioHome · 9 in league
LDLDW
Momentum↗ Rising39/100OlderLatest
Full time
1:0
UK timeStored 90-minute score.
AC Milan badgeAC MilanAway · 5 in league
WDLWW
Momentum↗ Rising69/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
Stadio Olimpico · RomeSeason 2025/26Back to matches
Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Market chance —See match research Draw—Market chance —See match research Away win—Market chance —See match research Odds unavailable 90-minute estimates · prices may change.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

FULL TIME
LazioAC Milan
1Corner Kicks9
6Fouls19
3Yellow Cards1
—Red Cards—
3Goalkeeper Saves2
405Total passes552
346Passes accurate494

— means unavailable.

Statistics snapshot: 341314 min old.

BEYOND THE SCORE

The quality of the chances.

See what the scoreline alone can’t tell you.

UNDERSTAT · RECORDED xG
Lazio0.54xG

1 goals +0.46 vs xG

CHANCE QUALITYxGFull-time analysis
AC Milan1.16xG

0 goals -1.16 vs xG

32%Share of total xG · not a win probability68%

Read the performance, then the result. Compare each team’s goals with its xG to see whether the score matched the chances. Explore individual shots below when available.

Every chance has a story.

Bigger circles mean higher-quality chances. Ringed circles are goals.

Lazio AC MilanBoth teams attack →
Lazio · Nuno Tavares · 1′ · Blocked Shot · 0.02 xGAC Milan · Christian Pulisic · 10′ · Blocked Shot · 0.07 xGAC Milan · Strahinja Pavlovic · 10′ · Blocked Shot · 0.22 xGLazio · Daniel Maldini · 12′ · Blocked Shot · 0.03 xGAC Milan · Estupiñán · 23′ · Missed Shots · 0.04 xGLazio · Kenneth Taylor · 25′ · Shot On Post · 0.08 xGLazio · Gustav Isaksen · 26′ · Goal · 0.28 xGAC Milan · Rafael Leão · 36′ · Missed Shots · 0.04 xGLazio · Daniel Maldini · 36′ · Saved Shot · 0.08 xGAC Milan · Christian Pulisic · 38′ · Blocked Shot · 0.06 xGAC Milan · Christian Pulisic · 51′ · Saved Shot · 0.04 xGAC Milan · Christian Pulisic · 52′ · Missed Shots · 0.06 xGAC Milan · Youssouf Fofana · 52′ · Saved Shot · 0.28 xGLazio · Gustav Isaksen · 60′ · Blocked Shot · 0.03 xGAC Milan · Rafael Leão · 62′ · Saved Shot · 0.06 xGAC Milan · Christian Pulisic · 62′ · Missed Shots · 0.02 xGAC Milan · Luka Modric · 65′ · Missed Shots · 0.05 xGAC Milan · Zachary Athekame · 71′ · Missed Shots · 0.06 xGLazio · Patric · 77′ · Missed Shots · 0.03 xGAC Milan · Davide Bartesaghi · 80′ · Blocked Shot · 0.02 xGAC Milan · Luka Modric · 82′ · Missed Shots · 0.02 xGAC Milan · Koni de Winter · 87′ · Blocked Shot · 0.05 xGAC Milan · Luka Modric · 93′ · Blocked Shot · 0.08 xGAC Milan · Ardon Jashari · 95′ · Missed Shots · 0.02 xG

24 recorded shots · select or tab to a circle · locations normalised to the same attacking direction

View recorded shots as a table 24 shots
Recorded shots · minute shown as elapsed minute + 1
MinuteTeam / playerOutcomexG
1′Nuno TavaresLazioBlocked Shot0.02
10′Christian PulisicAC MilanBlocked Shot0.07
10′Strahinja PavlovicAC MilanBlocked Shot0.22
12′Daniel MaldiniLazioBlocked Shot0.03
23′EstupiñánAC MilanMissed Shots0.04
25′Kenneth TaylorLazioShot On Post0.08
26′Gustav IsaksenLazioGoal0.28
36′Rafael LeãoAC MilanMissed Shots0.04
36′Daniel MaldiniLazioSaved Shot0.08
38′Christian PulisicAC MilanBlocked Shot0.06
51′Christian PulisicAC MilanSaved Shot0.04
52′Christian PulisicAC MilanMissed Shots0.06
52′Youssouf FofanaAC MilanSaved Shot0.28
60′Gustav IsaksenLazioBlocked Shot0.03
62′Rafael LeãoAC MilanSaved Shot0.06
62′Christian PulisicAC MilanMissed Shots0.02
65′Luka ModricAC MilanMissed Shots0.05
71′Zachary AthekameAC MilanMissed Shots0.06
77′PatricLazioMissed Shots0.03
80′Davide BartesaghiAC MilanBlocked Shot0.02
82′Luka ModricAC MilanMissed Shots0.02
87′Koni de WinterAC MilanBlocked Shot0.05
93′Luka ModricAC MilanBlocked Shot0.08
95′Ardon JashariAC MilanMissed Shots0.02

Verified source record refreshed 22 Sep 2026, 19:04 UTC. Post-match data, not a live feed.

How to use expected goals

xG measures chance quality. A shot worth 0.20 xG would be scored about 20 times in 100 comparable attempts. Add the shots together to describe the chances a team created.

Compare the performance with the result. Goals above xG means the team scored more than its chance total; goals below xG means it scored less. It does not prove luck, predict the next result or guarantee a correction.

Keep the context. Penalties, red cards, game state and opponents matter. Use several matches and the home/away filter. xG share is a share of chance quality, not a win probability. Different data providers can calculate different xG values.

CHANCE QUALITY, IN CONTEXT.Understat post-match evidence · separate from Kickoff Edge’s predictions
MODEL OUTLOOK

Match forecast

Model estimate unavailable.

Goals & BTTS

90 minutes

Total goals · 2.5

Over—
Under—

Both teams to score

Yes—
No—

Model estimates unavailable

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Season form /10 · Ability /99 (EA FC 27) · Prev = previous season.

Lazio

Home0 listed

Availability report unavailable.

AC Milan

Away0 listed

Availability report unavailable.

· Ability: EA FC 27 base ratings.

Season overview

Serie A · 2025/26

League season · all league matches

Lazio

28 league matches

37 pts9W10D9L

AC Milan

28 league matches

60 pts17W9D2L
1.0Goals scored / match1.6
1.0Goals conceded / match0.7
12Clean sheets13
14Failed to score2
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions · previous 365 days.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Starting XIs

Season form /10 · Ability /99 (EA FC 27) · — unavailable.

Lazio

Formation4-3-3Maurizio Sarri
  1. 40E. MottaForm 6.9Ability 69G
  2. 77A. MarusicForm 6.7Ability 78D
  3. 34M. GilaForm 7.2Ability 81D
  4. 25O. ProvstgaardForm 6.9Ability —D
  5. 17N. TavaresForm 6.9Ability 76D
  6. 7F. Dele-BashiruForm 6.5Ability —M
  7. 4PatricForm 6.8Ability 74M
  8. 24K. TaylorForm 6.9Ability 78M
  9. 18G. IsaksenForm 6.8Ability —F
  10. 27D. MaldiniForm 6.7Ability 74F
  11. 10M. ZaccagniForm 7.0Ability 82F
Substitutes (12)

55 · A. FurlanettoForm 7.0Ability 61

99 · G. GiacomoneForm —Ability —

9 · PedroForm 6.8Ability —

23 · E. HysajForm 6.5Ability —

29 · M. LazzariForm 6.6Ability 75

3 · L. PellegriniForm 6.7Ability 74

22 · M. CancellieriForm 6.9Ability 74

14 · T. NoslinForm 6.8Ability 74

19 · B. DiaForm 6.5Ability 78

20 · P. RatkovForm 6.4Ability 68

21 · R. BelahyaneForm 6.7Ability —

28 · A. PrzyborekForm 6.7Ability 66

AC Milan

Formation3-5-2Massimiliano Allegri
  1. 16M. MaignanForm 7.2Ability —G
  2. 23F. TomoriForm 6.9Ability —D
  3. 5K. De WinterForm 6.9Ability 75D
  4. 31S. PavlovicForm 7.1Ability 78D
  5. 56A. SaelemaekersForm 7.2Ability —M
  6. 19Y. FofanaForm 6.6Ability 80M
  7. 14L. ModricForm 7.6Ability 85M
  8. 30A. JashariForm 6.7Ability 76M
  9. 2P. EstupinanForm 6.7Ability —M
  10. 10R. LeaoForm 6.9Ability 83F
  11. 11C. PulisicForm 7.0Ability —F
Substitutes (8)

1 · P. TerraccianoForm 7.1Ability 76

37 · M. PittarellaForm —Ability —

18 · C. NkunkuForm 6.7Ability —

4 · S. RicciForm 6.9Ability 78

33 · D. BartesaghiForm 6.9Ability 74

24 · Z. AthekameForm 6.7Ability 68

9 · N. FullkrugForm 6.5Ability 76

27 · D. OdoguForm 6.6Ability —

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Lazio

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Edoardo Motta906.9—0—28—
Adam Marušić907.0—1—441
Mario Gila Fuentes908.3—0—622
Oliver Provstgaard907.6—0—421
Nuno Tavares907.6—0—433
Fisayo Dele-Bashiru906.6—0—181
Patric907.9—0163—
Kenneth Taylor897.2—01322
Gustav Isaksen677.910122—
Daniel Maldini676.9—01122
Mattia Zaccagni837.2—0—212
Pedro236.6—0—91
Boulaye Dia236.3—0—3—
Matteo Cancellieri157.2—0—51
Reda Belahyane86.7—0—2—
Alessio Furlanetto———————
Giacomo Giacomone———————
Elseid Hysaj———————
Luca Pellegrini———————
Manuel Lazzari———————
Adrian Przyborek———————
Petar Ratkov———————
Tijjani Noslin———————

AC Milan

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Mike Maignan907.0—0—35—
Fikayo Tomori576.5—0—342
Koni De Winter906.7—0—812
Strahinja Pavlović907.5—0—635
Alexis Saelemaekers847.2—0—521
Youssouf Fofana676.6—0125—
Luka Modrić906.9—02781
Ardon Jashari906.3—01571
Pervis Estupiñán576.3—0135—
Rafael Leão676.3—0213—
Christian Pulišić906.5—03491
Davide Bartesaghi337.0—0—181
Zachary Athekame337.3—01101
Christopher Nkunku236.5—0—7—
Niclas Füllkrug236.5—0———
Samuele Ricci146.9—0—4—
Matteo Pittarella———————
Pietro Terracciano———————
David Odogu———————
2025/26 STANDINGS

Serie A table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Serie A. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Inter38276589355487
DDWWD
2Napoli38237858362276
WWLDW
3AS Roma382341159312873
WWWWW
4Como382011765293671
WWWDW
5AC Milan382010853351870
LWLLD
6Juventus381912761342769
DLWDD
7Atalanta381514951361559
DLWDL
8Bologna38168144946356
DWWDL
9Lazio381412124140154
WLLWD
10Udinese38148164548-350
LLWWD
11Sassuolo38147174650-449
LLLWD
12Torino38129174463-1945
DLWLD
13Parma381112152846-1845
WLLLW
14Cagliari381110174053-1343
WWLDW
15Fiorentina38915144150-942
DWDLD
16Genoa381011174151-1041
LLDDL
17Lecce38108202850-2238
WWLWD
18Cremonese38810203257-2534
LWWLL
19Hellas Verona38312232561-3621
LDLDD
20Pisa38212242671-4518
LLLLL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

Match-winner odds unavailable.

AT A GLANCE

Match details

Competition
Serie A
Round
Matchweek 29
Venue
Stadio Olimpico
Referee
Marco Guida, Italy
Kickoff
15 Mar · 19:45 UK
Match data by API-Football
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