Fortuna Sittard
4/10Wins
1.5Goals / game
2.1Conceded / game
Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At home, 2 wins from 6 available matches.
Inspect Fortuna Sittard’s results
EredivisieMatchweek 30THE MATCH CENTREFortuna Sittard vs NAC Breda match centre
45′ · Live
0:0
UK time · Europe/LondonTHE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
45′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate25.5%Fortuna Sittard
Draw37.8%at full time
Current result estimate36.8%NAC Breda
Another goal75.7%before full time
Next goal: Fortuna Sittard 32.8% · no further goal 24.3% · NAC Breda 42.9%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.Fortuna SittardNAC Breda
1.590Expected goals · API-Football0.750
0Shots on target2
6Total Shots6
39%Ball Possession61%
3Corner Kicks4
4Fouls5
2Yellow Cards0
—Red Cards—
2Goalkeeper Saves0
140Total passes223
109Passes accurate187
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
EredivisieProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  PSV Eindhoven | 33 | +52 | 81 | — |
| 2 |  Feyenoord | 33 | +24 | 62 | — |
| 3 |  Twente | 33 | +23 | 58 | — |
| 4 |  NEC Nijmegen | 33 | +23 | 56 | — |
| 5 |  Ajax | 33 | +21 | 55 | — |
| 6 |  AZ Alkmaar | 33 | +7 | 51 | — |
| 7 |  Utrecht | 33 | +11 | 50 | — |
| 8 |  Heerenveen | 33 | +4 | 50 | — |
| 9 |  Groningen | 33 | +3 | 45 | — |
| 10 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 33 | -21 | 43 | — |
| 11 | Fortuna Sittard | 34 | -12 | 40 | — |
| 12 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 33 | +2 | 38 | — |
| 13 |  PEC Zwolle | 33 | -25 | 37 | — |
| 14 |  Excelsior | 33 | -14 | 35 | — |
| 15 |  Telstar | 33 | -7 | 34 | — |
| 16 |  FC Volendam | 33 | -19 | 32 | — |
| 17 |  NAC Breda | 34 | -23 | 29 | — |
| 18 |  Heracles | 33 | -49 | 19 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Fortuna Sittard 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
NAC Breda 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
NAC Breda
2/10Wins
1.0Goals / game
2.0Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 5 available matches.
Inspect NAC Breda’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Fortuna Sittard
10 matchesResults4 wins · 1 draws · 5 losses
Goals scored per game1.5
Goals conceded per game2.1
Games with 3+ goals9 of 10
Both teams scored9 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
NAC Breda
10 matchesResults2 wins · 4 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game1.0
Goals conceded per game2.0
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored4 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Sparta RotterdamHome · Eredivisie0–0PEC ZwolleAway · Eredivisie1–2GO Ahead EaglesAway · Eredivisie0–6FeyenoordHome · Eredivisie3–3TelstarAway · Eredivisie0–3FC VolendamHome · Eredivisie1–0HeraclesAway · Eredivisie1–0ExcelsiorHome · Eredivisie0–2TwenteHome · Eredivisie2–2PSV EindhovenAway · Eredivisie2–2
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Fortuna Sittard at home with NAC Breda away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 01:53 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Eredivisie · 2025/26 · all league matches
Fortuna SittardNAC Breda
29Matches played29
35Points earned24
10Wins5
1.4Goals scored / match1.0
1.9Goals conceded / match1.7
3Clean sheets5
4Failed to score12
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Fortuna Sittard at home with NAC Breda away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Fortuna Sittard
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Danny Buijs
- 1
L. KoopmansG - 21
N. KasanwirjoD - 4
S. AdewoyeD - 28
J. HubnerD - 8
J. DahlhausD - 6
S. van OtteleM - 23
P. BrittijnM - 18
D. LimniosM - 70
L. DuijvestijnM - 7
K. PetersonM - 9
K. SierhuisF
Substitutes (9)
48 · L. van Parys
25 · N. Martens
52 · M. Ihattaren
45 · O. Johnson
36 · H. Korkmazyurek
19 · P. Gladon
44 · I. Marquez
5 · Y. Oukili
38 · T. Schenkhuizen
NAC Breda
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Carl Hoefkens
- 99
D. BielicaG - 3
D. OdoiD - 12
L. GreimlD - 8
C. LeemansD - 4
B. KemperD - 20
F. JensenM - 14
K. SowahM - 32
J. TalvitieM - 90
L. HoltbyM - 11
R. PaulaM - 24
A. AyewF
Substitutes (12)
31 · K. Lamprou
15 · E. Mahmutovic
22 · R. Hillen
10 · M. Nassoh
2 · B. Lucassen
7 · C. Brym
16 · M. Balard
55 · B. Ghalidi
19 · A. Salama
9 · M. Soumano
25 · C. Valerius
26 · P. Reulen
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Fortuna Sittard
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luuk Koopmans | 90 | 8.2 | — | 0 | — | 35 | — |
| Neraysho Kasanwirjo | 90 | 7.0 | — | 1 | — | 35 | 3 |
| Shawn Adewoye | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 37 | 1 |
| Justin Hubner | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 35 | — |
| Jasper Dahlhaus | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 23 | 2 |
| Syb van Ottele | 86 | 7.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 34 | 5 |
| Philip Brittijn | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 28 | 2 |
| Dimitris Limnios | 68 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 2 | 13 | 1 |
| Lance Duijvestijn | 86 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 41 | 1 |
| Kristoffer Peterson | 68 | 7.5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | — |
| Kaj Sierhuis | 69 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 19 | 1 |
| Mohamed Ihattaren | 22 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 13 | — |
| Yassin Oukili | 22 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 10 | 2 |
| Paul Gladon | 21 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 2 | — |
| Owen Johnson | 9 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 2 | — |
| Iván Márquez | 9 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 1 | — |
| Lars Van Parys | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hasip Korkmazyürek | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Niels Martens | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tristan Schenkhuizen | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
NAC Breda
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Bielica | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 26 | — |
| Denis Odoi | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 46 | 1 |
| Leo Greiml | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 49 | — |
| Clint Leemans | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 61 | 1 |
| Boy Kemper | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | 1 | 53 | 3 |
| Fredrik Jensen | 65 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 2 | 39 | 2 |
| Kamal Sowah | 78 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 25 | 2 |
| Juho Talvitie | 65 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 20 | 1 |
| Lewis Holtby | 38 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 14 | — |
| Raul Paula | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 27 | — |
| Andre Ayew | 78 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 3 | 15 | — |
| Mohamed Nassoh | 52 | 8.5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 2 |
| Brahim Ghalidi | 25 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 13 | — |
| Amine Salama | 25 | 6.2 | — | 1 | — | 12 | — |
| Pepijn Reulen | 12 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | — | — |
| Moussa Soumano | 12 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 2 | 1 | — |
| Kostas Lamprou | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cherrion Valerius | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rio Hillen | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Charles-Andreas Brym | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Maximilien Balard | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Boyd Lucassen | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Enes Mahmutović | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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