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League OneMatchweek 16THE MATCH CENTRE

AFC Wimbledon vs Stockport County match centre

AFC Wimbledon badgeAFC WimbledonHome · 19 in league
LDLLL
Momentum↓ Low6/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
0:2
UK time · Europe/London
Stockport County badgeStockport CountyAway · 3 in league
DWWDL
Momentum↘ Falling49/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
J. Stokes59′
T. Edun72′
The Cherry Red Records Stadium · LondonSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate0.0%AFC Wimbledon
Draw0.1%at full time
Current result estimate99.9%Stockport County
Another goal8.1%before full time

Next goal: AFC Wimbledon 4.2% · no further goal 91.9% · Stockport County 4.0%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
AFC WimbledonStockport County
6Corner Kicks3
4Fouls10
1Yellow Cards4
—Red Cards—
4Goalkeeper Saves5
270Total passes542
169Passes accurate440

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

IF THE SCORE HOLDS

Provisional table

League One: Regular season

Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.

#TeamPGDPtsMove
1Lincoln46+48103—
2Cardiff46+4091—
3Stockport County47+1580—
4Bradford46+777—
5Bolton46+1875—
6Stevenage46+375—
7Luton46+1274—
8Plymouth46+1273—
9Huddersfield46+1067—
10Mansfield Town46+1265—
11Wycombe46+1163—
12Reading46+463—
13Blackpool46-1160—
14Doncaster46-1960—
15Barnsley46-559—
16Wigan46-956—
17Burton Albion46-1054—
18Peterborough46-453—
19AFC Wimbledon47-2353—
20Leyton Orient46-1252—
21Exeter City46-949—
22Port Vale46-2542—
23Rotherham46-3041—
24Northampton46-3535—
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

AFC Wimbledon 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Stockport County 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

AFC Wimbledon

2/10Wins
1.0Goals / game
1.7Conceded / game

Keep in view: 6 losses in that sample. At home, 4 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect AFC Wimbledon’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Stockport County

4/10Wins
1.5Goals / game
1.5Conceded / game

Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Stockport County’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare AFC Wimbledon at home with Stockport County away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 02:47 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

League One · 2025/26 · all league matches

AFC WimbledonStockport County
42Matches played40
50Points earned67
14Wins19
1.1Goals scored / match1.5
1.5Goals conceded / match1.3
7Clean sheets11
17Failed to score7

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares AFC Wimbledon at home with Stockport County away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

AFC Wimbledon

Confirmed formation4-4-2Johnnie Jackson
  1. 1N. BishopG
  2. 2N. AsiimweD
  3. 33I. OgundereD
  4. 15P. BauerD
  5. 3S. SeddonD
  6. 7J. TilleyM
  7. 4J. ReevesM
  8. 12A. SmithM
  9. 8C. MaycockM
  10. 16A. HackfordF
  11. 29A. SasuF
Substitutes (7)

20 · J. McDonnell

32 · K. Jennings

30 · R. Nkeng

36 · L. Stewart

19 · O. Foyo

37 · Z. Nelson

22 · R. Horan

Stockport County

Confirmed formation4-2-2-2Dave Challinor
  1. 34C. AddaiG
  2. 12R. Dixon
  3. 19K. WoottonD
  4. 15E. PyeD
  5. 14T. EdunD
  6. 27O. BaileyM
  7. 26O. NorwoodM
  8. 48C. GardnerM
  9. 11M. MothersilleM
  10. 29A. SidibehF
  11. 9T. OlaofeF
Substitutes (7)

1 · B. Hinchliffe

23 · B. Osborn

7 · J. Diamond

3 · O. Dodgson

28 · J. Stokes

18 · L. Fiorini

45 · C. Grogan

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

AFC Wimbledon

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Nathan Bishop906.9—0—34—
Nathan Asiimwe696.3—0—173
Isaac Ogundere906.2—0—291
Patrick Bauer846.3—0—14—
Steve Seddon907.2—0—441
James Tilley906.6—03223
Jake Reeves696.5—0—301
Alistair Smith907.0—02402
Callum Maycock906.6—0—241
Antwoine Hackford786.2—0110—
Aron Sasu696.2—0261
Junior Nkeng216.5—0—5—
Zack Nelson216.5—018—
Layton Stewart216.7—0—42
Osman Foyo126.3—0—12
Kai Jennings126.3—0—4—
Joe McDonnell———————
Riley Moran———————

Stockport County

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Corey Addai907.3—0—37—
Roman Dixon906.6—0—441
Kyle Wootton907.7—0—631
Ethan Pye907.3—0—762
Adetayo Edun908.2101623
Odin Bailey707.0—01503
Oliver Norwood908.7—211042
Che Gardner456.6—0113—
Malik Mothersille706.3—03254
Adama Sidibeh456.6—019—
Isaac Olaofe826.7—0219—
Josh Stokes457.010117—
Jack Diamond457.0—0—121
Lewis Fiorini206.9—0—82
Ben Osborn206.9—0—92
Owen Dodgson86.9—0—23
Ben Hinchliffe———————
Christy Grogan———————
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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