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League OneMatchweek 32THE MATCH CENTRE

Doncaster vs Port Vale match centre

Doncaster badgeDoncasterHome · 14 in league
LLWDW
Momentum↗ Rising53/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
1:0
UK time · Europe/London
Port Vale badgePort ValeAway · 22 in league
WLDLW
Momentum→ Steady47/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
E. Campbell22′ (og)
Eco-Power Stadium · DoncasterSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Market chance —See match research Draw—Market chance —See match research Away win—Market chance —See match research No stored odds · open the match for form and team context Chances are estimates for 90 minutes. Stored prices can change; likelihood alone does not establish value.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate95.9%Doncaster
Draw4.0%at full time
Current result estimate0.1%Port Vale
Another goal8.1%before full time

Next goal: Doncaster 4.0% · no further goal 91.9% · Port Vale 4.2%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
DoncasterPort Vale
4Corner Kicks1
16Fouls10
2Yellow Cards0
—Red Cards—
3Goalkeeper Saves2
334Total passes330
236Passes accurate226

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

IF THE SCORE HOLDS

Provisional table

League One: Regular season

Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.

#TeamPGDPtsMove
1Lincoln46+48103—
2Cardiff46+4091—
3Stockport County46+1377—
4Bradford46+777—
5Bolton46+1875—
6Stevenage46+375—
7Luton46+1274—
8Plymouth46+1273—
9Huddersfield46+1067—
10Mansfield Town46+1265—
11Wycombe46+1163—
12Reading46+463—
13Doncaster47-1863↑ 1
14Blackpool46-1160↓ 1
15Barnsley46-559—
16Wigan46-956—
17Burton Albion46-1054—
18Peterborough46-453—
19AFC Wimbledon46-2153—
20Leyton Orient46-1252—
21Exeter City46-949—
22Port Vale47-2642—
23Rotherham46-3041—
24Northampton46-3535—
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Doncaster 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Port Vale 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Doncaster

4/10Wins
0.8Goals / game
1.4Conceded / game

Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At home, 4 wins from 7 available matches.

Inspect Doncaster’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Port Vale

3/10Wins
0.8Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game

Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At away venues, 4 wins from 7 available matches.

Inspect Port Vale’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Doncaster at home with Port Vale away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 6 Oct, 08:10 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

League One · 2025/26 · all league matches

DoncasterPort Vale
38Matches played36
47Points earned31
13Wins7
1.1Goals scored / match0.8
1.6Goals conceded / match1.3
9Clean sheets10
11Failed to score18

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Doncaster at home with Port Vale away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Doncaster

Confirmed formation4-1-4-1Grant McCann
  1. 29T. Lo-TutalaG
  2. 2J. SterryD
  3. 12N. ByrneD
  4. 5M. PearsonD
  5. 23J. SeniorD
  6. 22R. GottsM
  7. 11J. GibsonM
  8. 4O. BaileyM
  9. 18E. LeeM
  10. 47H. AdelakunM
  11. 9B. HanlanF
Substitutes (7)

1 · Z. Clark

33 · B. Close

17 · G. Middleton

15 · H. Clifton

8 · G. Broadbent

3 · J. Maxwell

6 · J. McGrath

Port Vale

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Jon Brady
  1. 46J. GauciG
  2. 6J. Lawrence-GabrielD
  3. 25C. HumphreysD
  4. 5C. HallD
  5. 27E. CampbellD
  6. 12R. WaltersM
  7. 14F. OjoM
  8. 33G. HallM
  9. 26J. ShipleyM
  10. 3J. HeadleyM
  11. 21M. Sherif
Substitutes (7)

13 · B. Amos

50 · O. Hernandez

10 · D. Brown

11 · E. Archer

45 · A. Gray

35 · T. Magloire

8 · B. Garrity

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Doncaster

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Thimothee Lo-Tutala907.2—0—25—
Jamie Sterry906.9—02272
Neill Byrne807.2—0—312
Matthew Pearson907.7—0—302
Jack Senior906.9—0—333
Robbie Gotts906.9—0—402
Jordan Gibson686.5—01201
Owen Bailey906.9—01294
Elliot Lee807.2—02351
Hakeeb Adelakun896.9—02283
Brandon Hanlan906.9—0—223
Glenn Middleton226.3—0—10—
George Broadbent106.7—014—
Harry Clifton106.7—0—61
Ben Close1——0———
Zander Clark———————
Jay McGrath———————
James Maxwell———————

Port Vale

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Joe Gauci907.3—0—32—
Jordan Lawrence-Gabriel546.3—0—151
Cameron Humphreys906.3—01332
Connor Hall906.3—0—432
Elijah Campbell796.2—0—251
Rhys Walters547.0—0—102
Funso Ojo546.5—0—211
George Hall906.9—0—133
Jordan Shipley906.9—01452
Jaheim Headley907.0—01352
Martin Sherif546.0—0—5—
Ethon Archer367.0—0—112
Ben Garrity366.6—0—241
Onel Hernández366.9—0—211
Dajaune Brown366.5—0—9—
Andre Gray116.3—0—2—
Ben Amos———————
Tyler Magloire———————
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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