Lincoln
8/10Wins
2.4Goals / game
0.5Conceded / game
Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At home, 7 wins from 8 available matches.
Inspect Lincoln’s results
League OneMatchweek 43THE MATCH CENTRELincoln vs Leyton Orient match centre
90′ · Live
2:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
J. Moylan18′
W. Forrester45+5′ (og)
D. Ballard71′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate96.3%Lincoln
Draw3.6%at full time
Current result estimate0.1%Leyton Orient
Another goal8.1%before full time
Next goal: Lincoln 4.3% · no further goal 91.9% · Leyton Orient 3.8%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.LincolnLeyton Orient
2.120Expected goals · API-Football1.800
6Shots on target3
17Total Shots8
45%Ball Possession55%
4Corner Kicks4
9Fouls11
2Yellow Cards4
—Red Cards—
2Goalkeeper Saves5
304Total passes367
184Passes accurate265
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
League One: Regular seasonProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lincoln | 47 | +49 | 106 | — |
| 2 |  Cardiff | 46 | +40 | 91 | — |
| 3 |  Stockport County | 46 | +13 | 77 | — |
| 4 |  Bradford | 46 | +7 | 77 | — |
| 5 |  Bolton | 46 | +18 | 75 | — |
| 6 |  Stevenage | 46 | +3 | 75 | — |
| 7 |  Luton | 46 | +12 | 74 | — |
| 8 |  Plymouth | 46 | +12 | 73 | — |
| 9 |  Huddersfield | 46 | +10 | 67 | — |
| 10 |  Mansfield Town | 46 | +12 | 65 | — |
| 11 |  Wycombe | 46 | +11 | 63 | — |
| 12 |  Reading | 46 | +4 | 63 | — |
| 13 |  Blackpool | 46 | -11 | 60 | — |
| 14 |  Doncaster | 46 | -19 | 60 | — |
| 15 |  Barnsley | 46 | -5 | 59 | — |
| 16 |  Wigan | 46 | -9 | 56 | — |
| 17 |  Burton Albion | 46 | -10 | 54 | — |
| 18 |  Peterborough | 46 | -4 | 53 | — |
| 19 |  AFC Wimbledon | 46 | -21 | 53 | — |
| 20 |  Leyton Orient | 47 | -13 | 52 | — |
| 21 |  Exeter City | 46 | -9 | 49 | — |
| 22 |  Port Vale | 46 | -25 | 42 | — |
| 23 |  Rotherham | 46 | -30 | 41 | — |
| 24 |  Northampton | 46 | -35 | 35 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Lincoln 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Leyton Orient 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Leyton Orient
5/10Wins
1.5Goals / game
1.2Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Leyton Orient’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Lincoln
10 matchesResults8 wins · 2 draws · 0 losses
Goals scored per game2.4
Goals conceded per game0.5
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored4 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
ReadingAway · League One2–1AFC WimbledonHome · League One1–0RotherhamHome · League One3–0HuddersfieldAway · League One2–2Stockport CountyHome · League One3–1CardiffAway · League One2–0BlackpoolHome · League One4–0Mansfield TownAway · League One2–0NorthamptonHome · League One4–0BoltonHome · League One1–1
Leyton Orient
10 matchesResults5 wins · 2 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.5
Goals conceded per game1.2
Games with 3+ goals7 of 10
Both teams scored7 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Lincoln at home with Leyton Orient away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 03:40 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
League One · 2025/26 · all league matches
LincolnLeyton Orient
41Matches played41
90Points earned50
27Wins14
1.9Goals scored / match1.3
0.9Goals conceded / match1.6
17Clean sheets9
5Failed to score10
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Lincoln at home with Leyton Orient away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Lincoln
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Michael Skubala
- 1
G. WickensG - 2
T. DarikwaD - 22
T. HamerD - 15
S. BradleyD - 6
R. TowlerD - 8
T. BaylissM - 14
C. McGrandlesM - 7
R. Hackett-FairchildM - 10
J. MoylanM - 18
B. HouseM - 20
R. OneF
Substitutes (7)
13 · Z. Jeacock
28 · K. Conteh
17 · R. Street
16 · D. Jefferies
12 · E. Ring
19 · A. Lloyd
25 · D. Elerewe
Leyton Orient
Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Richie Wellens
- 12
W. DennisG - 6
W. ForresterD - 5
D. HappeD - 4
J. SimpsonD - 2
T. JamesM - 15
T. BakinsonM - 8
I. El MizouniM - 3
J. MorrisM - 22
A. AbdulaiF - 11
D. MitchellF - 32
D. BallardF
Substitutes (7)
21 · T. Oluwayemi
14 · M. Craig
16 · K. Casey
25 · C. Wellens
20 · S. Perkins
23 · L. Gordon
9 · A. Matthews
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Lincoln
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Wickens | 90 | 7.7 | — | 0 | — | 39 | — |
| Tendayi Darikwa | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 34 | 2 |
| Thomas Hamer | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 31 | — |
| Sonny Bradley | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 36 | — |
| Ryley Towler | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | 1 | 25 | — |
| Tom Bayliss | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 40 | 3 |
| Conor McGrandles | 90 | 7.7 | — | 1 | — | 30 | 9 |
| Reeco Hackett-Fairchild | 85 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 3 | 22 | — |
| Jack Moylan | 72 | 6.9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 1 |
| Ben House | 62 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 11 | 1 |
| Ryan One | 72 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 3 | 11 | — |
| Robert Street | 28 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 5 | 2 |
| Alfie Lloyd | 18 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 1 | — |
| Dom Jefferies | 18 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 4 | — |
| Deji Elerewe | 12 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | — | — |
| Zachary Jeacock | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Erik Ring | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kamil Conteh | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Leyton Orient
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Dennis | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 35 | — |
| William Forrester | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 3 | 45 | 2 |
| Daniel Happe | 85 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 42 | — |
| Jack Simpson | 54 | 6.0 | — | 0 | — | 34 | 1 |
| Thomas James | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 3 | 39 | 2 |
| Tyreeq Bakinson | 85 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 2 | 32 | 4 |
| Idris El Mizouni | 90 | 6.3 | — | 1 | 1 | 60 | 2 |
| James Morris | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 26 | 2 |
| Azeem Abdulai | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 31 | 3 |
| Demetri Mitchell | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 28 | 2 |
| Dominic Ballard | 90 | 6.7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 1 |
| Sonny Perkins | 36 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 12 | — |
| Kaelan Casey | 12 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 15 | — |
| Charlie Wellens | 12 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 1 | — |
| Ajay Matthews | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Toby Oluwayemi | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Michael Craig | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lemar Gordon | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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