Burton Albion
4/10Wins
1.1Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At home, 5 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Burton Albion’s results
League OneMatchweek 41THE MATCH CENTREBurton Albion vs Barnsley match centre
90′ · Live
1:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
C. Webster60′
D. McGoldrick90′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate4.2%Burton Albion
Draw92.5%at full time
Current result estimate3.3%Barnsley
Another goal7.7%before full time
Next goal: Burton Albion 4.3% · no further goal 92.3% · Barnsley 3.4%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.Burton AlbionBarnsley
—Expected goals · API-Football—
4Shots on target2
10Total Shots9
53%Ball Possession47%
8Corner Kicks0
8Fouls9
2Yellow Cards1
—Red Cards—
3Goalkeeper Saves3
255Total passes249
158Passes accurate155
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
League One: Regular seasonProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lincoln | 46 | +48 | 103 | — |
| 2 |  Cardiff | 46 | +40 | 91 | — |
| 3 |  Stockport County | 46 | +13 | 77 | — |
| 4 |  Bradford | 46 | +7 | 77 | — |
| 5 |  Bolton | 46 | +18 | 75 | — |
| 6 |  Stevenage | 46 | +3 | 75 | — |
| 7 |  Luton | 46 | +12 | 74 | — |
| 8 |  Plymouth | 46 | +12 | 73 | — |
| 9 |  Huddersfield | 46 | +10 | 67 | — |
| 10 |  Mansfield Town | 46 | +12 | 65 | — |
| 11 |  Wycombe | 46 | +11 | 63 | — |
| 12 |  Reading | 46 | +4 | 63 | — |
| 13 |  Barnsley | 47 | -5 | 60 | ↑ 2 |
| 14 |  Blackpool | 46 | -11 | 60 | ↓ 1 |
| 15 |  Doncaster | 46 | -19 | 60 | ↓ 1 |
| 16 |  Wigan | 46 | -9 | 56 | — |
| 17 | Burton Albion | 47 | -10 | 55 | — |
| 18 |  Peterborough | 46 | -4 | 53 | — |
| 19 |  AFC Wimbledon | 46 | -21 | 53 | — |
| 20 |  Leyton Orient | 46 | -12 | 52 | — |
| 21 |  Exeter City | 46 | -9 | 49 | — |
| 22 |  Port Vale | 46 | -25 | 42 | — |
| 23 |  Rotherham | 46 | -30 | 41 | — |
| 24 |  Northampton | 46 | -35 | 35 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Burton Albion 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Barnsley 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Barnsley
3/10Wins
1.5Goals / game
1.4Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 9 available matches.
Inspect Barnsley’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Burton Albion
10 matchesResults4 wins · 2 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game1.1
Goals conceded per game1.0
Games with 3+ goals4 of 10
Both teams scored4 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Barnsley
10 matchesResults3 wins · 4 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.5
Goals conceded per game1.4
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored8 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
DoncasterHome · League One0–1WiganHome · League One1–1Mansfield TownAway · League One2–2CardiffHome · League One1–1Exeter CityHome · League One2–1WycombeHome · League One0–1Leyton OrientAway · League One3–1HuddersfieldAway · League One1–2PeterboroughHome · League One2–1AFC WimbledonHome · League One3–3
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Burton Albion at home with Barnsley away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 03:44 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
League One · 2025/26 · all league matches
Burton AlbionBarnsley
40Matches played37
46Points earned50
12Wins13
1.1Goals scored / match1.6
1.4Goals conceded / match1.6
10Clean sheets2
15Failed to score9
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Burton Albion at home with Barnsley away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Burton Albion
Confirmed formation3-4-1-2Gary Bowyer
- 24
B. CollinsG - 2
U. Godwin-MalifeD - 18
J. MoonD - 16
A. HartridgeD - 15
K. LofthouseM - 41
S. KruballyM - 19
D. WilliamsM - 3
J. ArmerM - 42
A. CannonF - 9
J. BeesleyF - 10
T. ShadeF
Substitutes (7)
27 · K. Dudek
5 · T. Vancooten
6 · T. Sibbick
22 · J. Larsson
8 · C. Webster
7 · J. J. McKiernan
29 · K. Adom
Barnsley
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Conor Hourihane
- 51
K. Flavell - 27
T. WatsonD - 6
M. de GevigneyD - 15
E. O'ConnellD - 5
J. ShepherdD - 48
L. ConnellM - 45
V. YoganathanM - 22
P. KellyM - 10
D. McGoldrickM - 18
S. BanksM - 9
T. BradshawF
Substitutes (7)
37 · S. Flinders
4 · M. Roberts
20 · C. Lennon
30 · J. Bland
8 · A. Phillips
19 · R. Cleary
39 · L. Farrell
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Burton Albion
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley Collins | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 28 | — |
| Udoka Godwin-Malife | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 35 | — |
| Jasper Moon | 90 | 6.0 | — | 0 | 1 | 21 | — |
| Alex Hartridge | 90 | 7.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 41 | 2 |
| Kyran Lofthouse | 90 | 7.9 | — | 1 | — | 27 | — |
| Sulyman Krubally | 45 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 10 | — |
| Dylan Williams | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 24 | — |
| Jack Armer | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 22 | 1 |
| Andy Cannon | 81 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 28 | 1 |
| Jake Beesley | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 3 | 15 | 2 |
| Tyrese Shade | 80 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 10 | 2 |
| Charlie Webster | 45 | 7.5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | — |
| Kain Adom | 10 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 2 | 1 |
| John Joshua Mckiernan | 9 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 7 | — |
| Terence Vancooten | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kamil Dudek | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Toby Sibbick | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Julian Larsson | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Barnsley
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kieran Flavell | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 29 | — |
| Tennai Watson | 74 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 17 | 2 |
| Maël de Gevigney | 74 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 24 | 2 |
| Eoghan O'Connell | 7 | — | — | 0 | — | 2 | — |
| Jack Shepherd | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 22 | — |
| Luca Connell | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 2 | 38 | 1 |
| Vimal Yoganathan | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 32 | 4 |
| Patrick Kelly | 64 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 11 | 2 |
| David McGoldrick | 90 | 8.2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 3 |
| Scott Banks | 63 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 9 | — |
| Tom Bradshaw | 90 | 6.0 | — | 0 | 2 | 17 | — |
| Jonathan Bland | 83 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 26 | — |
| Reyes Cleary | 27 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 3 | — |
| Adam Phillips | 26 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 2 | 9 | — |
| Leo Farrell | 16 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 2 | — |
| Marc Roberts | 16 | 6.6 | — | 1 | — | 5 | — |
| Scott Flinders | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Charlie Lennon | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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