Lorient
3/10Wins
1.3Goals / game
1.1Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 5 wins from 8 available matches.
Inspect Lorient’s results
Ligue 1Matchweek 31THE MATCH CENTRELorient vs Strasbourg match centre
90′ · Live
2:3
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
N. Cadiou26′
P. Pagis54′ (pen)
S. Nanasi62′
N. Adjei90+2′ (og)
A. Omobamidele90+9′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate0.1%Lorient
Draw4.4%at full time
Current result estimate95.5%Strasbourg
Another goal8.2%before full time
Next goal: Lorient 4.6% · no further goal 91.8% · Strasbourg 3.5%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.LorientStrasbourg
2.160Expected goals · API-Football1.580
6Shots on target4
14Total Shots8
38%Ball Possession62%
9Corner Kicks6
9Fouls15
1Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
3Goalkeeper Saves4
322Total passes518
269Passes accurate466
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Ligue 1 Provisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 34 | +45 | 76 | — |
| 2 |  Lens | 34 | +31 | 70 | — |
| 3 |  Lille | 34 | +15 | 61 | — |
| 4 |  Lyon | 34 | +13 | 60 | — |
| 5 |  Marseille | 34 | +18 | 59 | — |
| 6 |  Rennes | 34 | +9 | 59 | — |
| 7 |  Strasbourg | 35 | +12 | 56 | ↑ 1 |
| 8 |  Monaco | 34 | +6 | 54 | ↓ 1 |
| 9 | Lorient | 35 | -4 | 45 | — |
| 10 |  Toulouse | 33 | +1 | 44 | — |
| 11 |  Paris FC | 34 | -3 | 44 | — |
| 12 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 34 | -12 | 39 | — |
| 13 |  Angers | 34 | -19 | 36 | — |
| 14 |  Le Havre | 34 | -12 | 35 | — |
| 15 |  Auxerre | 34 | -10 | 34 | — |
| 16 |  Nice | 34 | -23 | 32 | — |
| 17 |  Nantes | 33 | -23 | 23 | — |
| 18 |  Metz | 34 | -44 | 17 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Lorient 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Strasbourg 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Strasbourg
4/10Wins
1.3Goals / game
1.2Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 7 available matches.
Inspect Strasbourg’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Lorient
10 matchesResults3 wins · 5 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game1.3
Goals conceded per game1.1
Games with 3+ goals3 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
Strasbourg
10 matchesResults4 wins · 3 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.3
Goals conceded per game1.2
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored4 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
NiceHome · Coupe de France0–2RennesHome · Ligue 10–3FSV Mainz 05Home · UEFA Europa Conference League4–0FSV Mainz 05Away · UEFA Europa Conference League0–2NiceHome · Ligue 13–1NantesAway · Ligue 13–2HNK RijekaHome · UEFA Europa Conference League1–1Paris FCHome · Ligue 10–0HNK RijekaAway · UEFA Europa Conference League2–1AuxerreAway · Ligue 10–0
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Lorient at home with Strasbourg away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 02:45 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Ligue 1 · 2025/26 · all league matches
LorientStrasbourg
30Matches played29
41Points earned43
10Wins12
1.3Goals scored / match1.6
1.5Goals conceded / match1.3
6Clean sheets9
9Failed to score6
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Lorient at home with Strasbourg away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Lorient
Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Olivier Pantaloni
- 38
Y. MvogoG - 5
B. MeiteD - 32
N. AdjeiD - 25
A. FayeD - 77
P. KatserisM - 8
N. CadiouM - 6
L. AbergelM - 43
A. KouassiM - 17
J. MakengoF - 10
P. PagisF - 12
B. DiengF
Substitutes (9)
21 · B. Kamara
2 · Igor Silva
29 · D. Karim
62 · A. Avom
97 · S. Siba
15 · A. Tosin
44 · D. Yongwa
9 · M. Bamba
28 · S. Soumano
Strasbourg
Confirmed formation4-4-1-1Gary O'Neil
- 39
M. PendersG - 18
J. MwangaD - 24
L. HogsbergD - 6
I. DoukoureD - 8
M. OyedeleD - 27
S. Amo-AmeyawM - 83
R. LuisM - 29
S. El MourabetM - 80
G. YassineM - 11
S. NanasiF - 19
J. EncisoF
Substitutes (9)
1 · K. Johnsson
15 · D. D. Fofana
10 · E. Emegha
7 · D. Moreira
20 · M. Godo
42 · A. Ouattara
3 · B. Chilwell
2 · A. Omobamidele
28 · T. Noubissie
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Lorient
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yvon Mvogo | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 38 | — |
| Bamo Meïté | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 23 | 4 |
| Nathaniel Adjei | 90 | 5.9 | — | 0 | 3 | 29 | 1 |
| Abdoulaye Faye | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 45 | 1 |
| Panos Katseris | 85 | 7.9 | — | 1 | — | 15 | — |
| Noah Cadiou | 90 | 7.9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 47 | 2 |
| Laurent Abergel | 70 | 6.0 | — | 0 | — | 25 | 1 |
| Arsène Kouassi | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 25 | — |
| Jean-Victor Makengo | 82 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 19 | 1 |
| Pablo Pagis | 82 | 7.9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 3 |
| Ahmadou Bamba Dieng | 69 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 2 | 7 | — |
| Aiyegun Tosin | 21 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 5 | — |
| Arthur Avom Ebong | 20 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 16 | — |
| Karim Dermane | 8 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 7 | 1 |
| Sambou Soumano | 8 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 5 | — |
| Igor Silva | 16 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 5 | 1 |
| Bingourou Kamara | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Darlin Yongwa | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Stevan Siba | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohamed Bamba | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Strasbourg
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Penders | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 34 | — |
| Junior Mwanga | 76 | 5.9 | — | 0 | — | 34 | 2 |
| Lucas Høgsberg | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 79 | 1 |
| Ismael Doukouré | 65 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 42 | 1 |
| Maxi Oyedele | 90 | 6.0 | — | 0 | 1 | 48 | — |
| Samuel Amo-Ameyaw | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 36 | 1 |
| Rafael Luis | 90 | 6.7 | — | 1 | 2 | 56 | 3 |
| Samir El Mourabet | 67 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 57 | — |
| Gessime Yassine | 85 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 31 | 3 |
| Sebastian Nanasi | 90 | 6.9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 1 |
| Julio Enciso | 67 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 15 | — |
| Andrew Omobamidele | 25 | 7.6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 26 | — |
| Abdoul Ouattara | 23 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 2 | 14 | — |
| Martial Godo | 23 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 8 | — |
| Diego Moreira | 14 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 22 | 1 |
| Emmanuel Emegha | 16 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Karl-Johan Johnsson | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ben Chilwell | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tyrese Noubissie | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| David Datro Fofana | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Lorient | Draw | Strasbourg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2.10 | 3.60 | 3.20 |
Snapshot from 25 Apr 2026, 18:25 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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