Strasbourg
5/10Wins
1.5Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game
Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At home, 5 wins from 9 available matches.
Inspect Strasbourg’s results
UEFA Europa Conference LeagueQuarter-finalsTHE MATCH CENTREStrasbourg vs FSV Mainz 05 match centre
90′ · Live
4:0
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
S. Nanasi26′
A. Ouattara35′
J. Enciso69′
E. Emegha74′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate100.0%Strasbourg
Draw0.0%at full time
Current result estimate0.0%FSV Mainz 05
Another goal8.0%before full time
Next goal: Strasbourg 4.8% · no further goal 92.0% · FSV Mainz 05 3.2%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.StrasbourgFSV Mainz 05
2.890Expected goals · API-Football0.240
7Shots on target0
10Total Shots6
61%Ball Possession39%
5Corner Kicks4
11Fouls11
3Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
0Goalkeeper Saves3
461Total passes287
398Passes accurate217
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
UEFA Conference LeagueProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Strasbourg | 7 | +10 | 19 | — |
| 2 |  Raków Częstochowa | 6 | +7 | 14 | — |
| 3 |  AEK Athens FC | 6 | +7 | 13 | — |
| 4 |  Sparta Praha | 6 | +7 | 13 | — |
| 5 |  Rayo Vallecano | 6 | +6 | 13 | — |
| 6 |  Shakhtar Donetsk | 6 | +5 | 13 | — |
| 7 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 7 | 0 | 13 | — |
| 8 |  AEK Larnaca | 6 | +6 | 12 | — |
| 9 |  Lausanne | 6 | +3 | 11 | — |
| 10 |  Crystal Palace | 6 | +5 | 10 | — |
| 11 |  Lech Poznan | 6 | +4 | 10 | — |
| 12 |  Samsunspor | 6 | +4 | 10 | — |
| 13 |  Celje | 6 | +1 | 10 | — |
| 14 |  AZ Alkmaar | 6 | 0 | 10 | — |
| 15 |  Fiorentina | 6 | +3 | 9 | — |
| 16 |  HNK Rijeka | 6 | +3 | 9 | — |
| 17 |  Jagiellonia | 6 | +1 | 9 | — |
| 18 |  Omonia Nicosia | 6 | +1 | 8 | — |
| 19 |  FC Noah | 6 | -1 | 8 | — |
| 20 |  Drita | 6 | -4 | 8 | — |
| 21 |  KuPS | 6 | +1 | 7 | — |
| 22 |  Shkendija | 6 | -1 | 7 | — |
| 23 |  Zrinjski | 6 | -2 | 7 | — |
| 24 |  Sigma Olomouc | 6 | -2 | 7 | — |
| 25 |  Universitatea Craiova | 6 | -2 | 7 | — |
| 26 |  Lincoln Red Imps FC | 6 | -8 | 7 | — |
| 27 |  Dynamo Kyiv | 6 | 0 | 6 | — |
| 28 |  Legia Warszawa | 6 | 0 | 6 | — |
| 29 |  Slovan Bratislava | 6 | -4 | 6 | — |
| 30 |  Breidablik | 6 | -5 | 5 | — |
| 31 |  Shamrock Rovers | 6 | -6 | 4 | — |
| 32 |  BK Hacken | 6 | -3 | 3 | — |
| 33 |  Hamrun Spartans | 6 | -7 | 3 | — |
| 34 |  Shelbourne | 6 | -7 | 2 | — |
| 35 |  Aberdeen | 6 | -11 | 2 | — |
| 36 |  Rapid Vienna | 6 | -11 | 1 | — |
Quarter-finalsStrasbourg 4–0 FSV Mainz 05
→Current progressionStrasbourg
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Strasbourg 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
FSV Mainz 05 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
FSV Mainz 05
5/10Wins
1.4Goals / game
0.7Conceded / game
Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 7 available matches.
Inspect FSV Mainz 05’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Strasbourg
10 matchesResults5 wins · 4 draws · 1 losses
Goals scored per game1.5
Goals conceded per game1.0
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored7 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
FSV Mainz 05Away · UEFA Europa Conference League0–2NiceHome · Ligue 13–1NantesAway · Ligue 13–2HNK RijekaHome · UEFA Europa Conference League1–1Paris FCHome · Ligue 10–0HNK RijekaAway · UEFA Europa Conference League2–1AuxerreAway · Ligue 10–0ReimsHome · Coupe de France2–1LensHome · Ligue 11–1LyonHome · Ligue 13–1
FSV Mainz 05
10 matchesResults5 wins · 4 draws · 1 losses
Goals scored per game1.4
Goals conceded per game0.7
Games with 3+ goals3 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
SC FreiburgHome · Bundesliga0–1StrasbourgHome · UEFA Europa Conference League2–01899 HoffenheimAway · Bundesliga2–1Eintracht FrankfurtHome · Bundesliga2–1Sigma OlomoucHome · UEFA Europa Conference League2–0Werder BremenAway · Bundesliga2–0Sigma OlomoucAway · UEFA Europa Conference League0–0VfB StuttgartHome · Bundesliga2–2Bayer LeverkusenAway · Bundesliga1–1Hamburger SVHome · Bundesliga1–1
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Strasbourg at home with FSV Mainz 05 away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 01:52 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
UEFA Europa Conference League · 2025/26 · all league matches
StrasbourgFSV Mainz 05
11Matches played11
24Points earned23
7Wins7
1.6Goals scored / match1.5
1.0Goals conceded / match0.5
2Clean sheets6
2Failed to score2
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Strasbourg at home with FSV Mainz 05 away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Strasbourg
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Gary O'Neil
- 39
M. PendersG - 42
A. OuattaraD - 2
A. OmobamideleD - 6
I. DoukoureD - 3
B. ChilwellD - 32
V. BarcoM - 29
S. El MourabetM - 7
D. MoreiraM - 11
S. NanasiM - 20
M. GodoM - 19
J. EncisoF
Substitutes (12)
1 · K. Johnsson
60 · G. Kerckaert
15 · D. D. Fofana
10 · E. Emegha
8 · M. Oyedele
17 · M. Amougou
80 · G. Yassine
27 · S. Amo-Ameyaw
83 · R. Luis
24 · L. Hogsberg
43 · Y. Becker
38 · J. Bosey
FSV Mainz 05
Confirmed formation3-5-2Urs Fischer
- 33
D. BatzG - 21
D. da CostaD - 4
S. PoschD - 31
D. KohrD - 30
S. WidmerM - 24
S. KawasakiM - 6
K. SanoM - 8
P. NebelM - 2
P. MweneM - 20
P. TietzF - 44
N. WeiperF
Substitutes (12)
27 · R. Zentner
1 · L. Riess
10 · N. Amiri
19 · A. Caci
15 · L. Maloney
11 · A. Sieb
14 · W. Boving
42 · D. Gleiber
16 · S. Bell
25 · A. Hanche-Olsen
22 · N. Veratschnig
48 · K. Potulski
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Strasbourg
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Penders | 96 | 7.3 | — | — | — | 30 | — |
| Abdoul Ouattara | 79 | 7.7 | 1 | — | 3 | 49 | — |
| Andrew Omobamidele | 96 | 7.3 | — | — | — | 67 | 1 |
| Ismael Doukouré | 96 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 45 | 2 |
| Ben Chilwell | 78 | 7.0 | — | — | — | 43 | — |
| Valentín Barco | 96 | 8.2 | — | — | — | 57 | 3 |
| Samir El Mourabet | 96 | 7.0 | — | — | — | 69 | 2 |
| Diego Moreira | 96 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 2 |
| Sebastian Nanasi | 58 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 1 | 22 | — |
| Martial Godo | 96 | 7.6 | — | 1 | — | 24 | 2 |
| Julio Enciso | 88 | 9.3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 1 |
| Emmanuel Emegha | 38 | 6.2 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Lucas Høgsberg | 18 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 3 | — |
| Gessime Yassine | 17 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Maxi Oyedele | 8 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Kerckaert | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Karl-Johan Johnsson | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yoann Becker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rafael Luis | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mathis Amougou | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| David Datro Fofana | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Samuel Amo-Ameyaw | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jean-Baptiste Bosey | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
FSV Mainz 05
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Batz | 96 | 6.6 | — | — | — | 26 | — |
| Danny da Costa | 96 | 5.5 | — | — | — | 26 | 1 |
| Stefan Posch | 96 | 6.3 | — | — | 3 | 33 | 1 |
| Dominik Kohr | 82 | 5.5 | — | — | — | 39 | 1 |
| Silvan Widmer | 72 | 6.7 | — | — | — | 11 | 2 |
| Sota Kawasaki | 72 | 6.5 | — | — | — | 14 | — |
| Kaishu Sano | 96 | 6.7 | — | — | — | 28 | 1 |
| Paul Nebel | 96 | 6.2 | — | — | — | 37 | 1 |
| Phillipp Mwene | 82 | 6.0 | — | — | — | 21 | 4 |
| Phillip Tietz | 96 | 6.7 | — | — | — | 12 | 2 |
| Nelson Weiper | 45 | 6.7 | — | — | — | 8 | — |
| Nadiem Amiri | 51 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 1 |
| Anthony Caci | 24 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 10 | 1 |
| Armindo Sieb | 24 | 6.2 | — | — | — | 4 | — |
| Nikolas Veratschnig | 14 | 6.7 | — | — | — | 8 | — |
| William Bøving | 14 | 6.5 | — | — | — | 5 | — |
| Robin Zentner | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lasse Riess | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Stefan Bell | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Andreas Hanche-Olsen | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kacper Potulski | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lennard Maloney | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Gleiber | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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