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BundesligaMatchweek 26THE MATCH CENTRE

Borussia Mönchengladbach vs FC St. Pauli match centre

Borussia Mönchengladbach badgeBorussia MönchengladbachHome · 12 in league
DLLWL
Momentum↗ Rising28/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
2:0
UK time · Europe/London
FC St. Pauli badgeFC St. PauliAway · 18 in league
WLWWD
Momentum→ Steady66/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
K. Stoger37′
F. Honorat63′
Borussia-Park · MonchengladbachSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate99.9%Borussia Mönchengladbach
Draw0.1%at full time
Current result estimate0.0%FC St. Pauli
Another goal8.1%before full time

Next goal: Borussia Mönchengladbach 4.1% · no further goal 91.9% · FC St. Pauli 4.0%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
Borussia MönchengladbachFC St. Pauli
1Corner Kicks2
8Fouls7
1Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
1Goalkeeper Saves1
456Total passes668
345Passes accurate547

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

IF THE SCORE HOLDS

Provisional table

Bundesliga

Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.

#TeamPGDPtsMove
1Bayern München34+8689—
2Borussia Dortmund34+3673—
3RB Leipzig34+1965—
4VfB Stuttgart34+2262—
51899 Hoffenheim34+1361—
6Bayer Leverkusen34+2159—
7SC Freiburg34-647—
8Eintracht Frankfurt34-444—
9FC Augsburg34-1643—
10Borussia Mönchengladbach35-941↑ 2
11FSV Mainz 0534-940↓ 1
12Union Berlin34-1439↓ 1
13Hamburger SV34-1438—
141. FC Köln34-1432—
15Werder Bremen34-2332—
16VfL Wolfsburg34-2429—
171. FC Heidenheim34-3126—
18FC St. Pauli35-3326—
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Borussia Mönchengladbach 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

FC St. Pauli 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

AWAY PERSPECTIVE

FC St. Pauli

3/9Wins
0.9Goals / game
1.6Conceded / game

Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 5 available matches.

Inspect FC St. Pauli’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Borussia Mönchengladbach at home with FC St. Pauli away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 02:20 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Bundesliga · 2025/26 · all league matches

Borussia MönchengladbachFC St. Pauli
25Matches played25
25Points earned24
6Wins6
1.1Goals scored / match0.9
1.7Goals conceded / match1.6
9Clean sheets5
10Failed to score10

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Borussia Mönchengladbach at home with FC St. Pauli away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Eugen Polanski
  1. 33M. NicolasG
  2. 16P. SanderD
  3. 30N. ElvediD
  4. 4K. DiksD
  5. 29J. ScallyM
  6. 7K. StogerM
  7. 6Y. EngelhardtM
  8. 17J. CastropM
  9. 36W. MohyaF
  10. 38H. BolinF
  11. 15H. TabakovicF
Substitutes (9)

23 · J. Olschowsky

18 · S. Machino

13 · G. Reyna

26 · L. Ullrich

2 · F. C. Chiarodia

8 · A. Sarco

9 · F. Honorat

10 · F. Neuhaus

39 · N. Swider

FC St. Pauli

Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Alexander Blessin
  1. 22N. VasiljG
  2. 25A. DzwigalaD
  3. 5H. WahlD
  4. 15T. AndoD
  5. 11A. PyrkaM
  6. 8E. SmithM
  7. 7J. IrvineM
  8. 21L. RitzkaM
  9. 16J. FujitaF
  10. 28M. Pereira LageF
  11. 10D. SinaniF
Substitutes (9)

1 · B. A. Voll

20 · M. Rasmussen

4 · D. Nemeth

27 · A. Hountondji

19 · M. Kaars

18 · T. Hara

24 · C. Metcalfe

23 · L. Oppie

9 · A. Ceesay

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Borussia Mönchengladbach

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Moritz Nicolas907.2—0—42—
Philipp Sander907.2—0—561
Nico Elvedi877.3—0—684
Kevin Diks907.0—01591
Joseph Scally906.9—1—322
Kevin Stöger907.6103662
Yannik Engelhardt906.9—0—38—
Jens Castrop576.5—0—211
Wael Mohya576.7—0—14—
Hugo Bolin756.5—0—16—
Haris Tabaković756.2—0—18—
Lukas Ullrich336.6—0172
Franck Honorat338.2101121
Florian Neuhaus156.7—013—
Shuto Machino156.5—014—
Fabio Chiarodia96.6—0—3—
Jan Olschowsky———————
Giovanni Reyna———————
Niklas Swider———————
Alejo Sarco———————

FC St. Pauli

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Nikola Vasilj906.2—0—33—
Adam Dźwigała676.5—01472
Hauke Wahl906.0—0—89—
Tomoya Ando906.7—0—95—
Arkadiusz Pyrka886.3—0—432
Eric Smith906.9—01962
Jackson Irvine906.0—02771
Lars Ritzka676.2—0—361
Joel Chima Fujita906.3—01571
Mathias Pereira Lage676.3—0—13—
Danel Sinani906.7—02594
Louis Oppie236.9—0—242
Martijn Kaars236.6—0—61
Andreas Hountondji236.3—0—5—
Connor Metcalfe86.7—0—3—
Ben Voll———————
David Nemeth———————
Mathias Rasmussen———————
Abdoulie Ceesay———————
Taichi Hara———————
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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