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Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Dynamo Dresden match centre

Fortuna Düsseldorf badgeFortuna DüsseldorfHome · 17 in league
WWLLL
Momentum↘ Falling31/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
3:1
UK time · Europe/London
Dynamo Dresden badgeDynamo DresdenAway · 11 in league
WDWLL
Momentum↘ Falling40/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
C. Itten11′
E. Iyoha17′
L. Raimund58′
J. Lemmer90′
Merkur Spiel-Arena · DüsseldorfSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate99.9%Fortuna Düsseldorf
Draw0.1%at full time
Current result estimate0.0%Dynamo Dresden
Another goal8.1%before full time

Next goal: Fortuna Düsseldorf 4.1% · no further goal 91.9% · Dynamo Dresden 4.0%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
Fortuna DüsseldorfDynamo Dresden
3Corner Kicks6
11Fouls6
—Yellow Cards—
—Red Cards—
4Goalkeeper Saves3
260Total passes503
174Passes accurate413

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

IF THE SCORE HOLDS

Provisional table

2. Bundesliga

Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.

#TeamPGDPtsMove
1FC Schalke 0434+1970—
2SV Elversberg34+2562—
3SC Paderborn 0734+1462—
4Hannover 9634+1660—
5SV Darmstadt 9834+1252—
61. FC Kaiserslautern34+552—
7Hertha BSC34+351—
81. FC Nürnberg34+246—
9VfL Bochum34+244—
10Karlsruher SC34-1144—
11Dynamo Dresden35-141—
12Holstein Kiel34-441—
13Fortuna Düsseldorf35-1840↑ 4
14Arminia Bielefeld34+239↓ 1
151. FC Magdeburg34-639↓ 1
16Eintracht Braunschweig34-1837↓ 1
17SpVgg Greuther Fürth34-1937↓ 1
18Preußen Münster34-2330—
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Fortuna Düsseldorf 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Dynamo Dresden 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Dynamo Dresden

4/10Wins
2.0Goals / game
1.1Conceded / game

Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 7 available matches.

Inspect Dynamo Dresden’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Fortuna Düsseldorf at home with Dynamo Dresden away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 01:52 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

2. Bundesliga · 2025/26 · all league matches

Fortuna DüsseldorfDynamo Dresden
30Matches played30
31Points earned35
9Wins9
0.9Goals scored / match1.7
1.6Goals conceded / match1.6
5Clean sheets5
11Failed to score5

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Fortuna Düsseldorf at home with Dynamo Dresden away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Fortuna Düsseldorf

Confirmed formation4-1-4-1Alexander Ende
  1. 33F. KastenmeierG
  2. 25M. ZimmermannD
  3. 15T. OberdorfD
  4. 44E. EgouliD
  5. 3C. LenzD
  6. 8A. El AzzouziM
  7. 19E. IyohaM
  8. 14S. AlexandropoulosM
  9. 23S. AppelkampM
  10. 20M. LjubicicM
  11. 13C. IttenF
Substitutes (9)

1 · M. Lotka

11 · J. Hettwer

27 · J. Paulina

9 · Z. Celar

2 · J. Daland

6 · T. Breithaupt

7 · L. Raimund

29 · K. Sauck

39 · B. Eze

Dynamo Dresden

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Thomas Stamm
  1. 1T. SchreiberG
  2. 32J. SternerD
  3. 13J. PauliD
  4. 39T. KellerD
  5. 19A. RossipalD
  6. 18R. WagnerM
  7. 6K. AmoakoM
  8. 7J. CekaM
  9. 27N. HauptmannM
  10. 20B. BobzienM
  11. 9V. VermeijF
Substitutes (9)

37 · D. Mesenholer

30 · S. Kutschke

29 · L. Boeder

33 · C. Daferner

8 · L. Herrmann

16 · N. Froling

2 · K. Faber

10 · J. Lemmer

42 · F. Muller

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Fortuna Düsseldorf

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Florian Kastenmeier907.0—1—40—
Matthias Zimmermann647.3—01194
Tim Christopher Oberdorf907.2—0—294
Elias Egouli906.7—0—221
Christopher Lenz446.9—0—15—
Anouar El Azzouzi906.7—0—332
Emmanuel Iyoha737.610118—
Sotiris Alexandropoulos906.7—01203
Shinta Karl Appelkamp906.6—11221
Marin Ljubičić906.3—0—15—
Cedric Itten908.3113222
Luca Raimund467.5101122
Jesper Daland266.6—0—102
Julian Hettwer176.6—0—31
Marcel Lotka———————
Ben Eze———————
Kilian Sauck———————
Tim Breithaupt———————
Jordi Paulina———————
Žan Celar———————

Dynamo Dresden

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Tim Schreiber906.5—0—56—
Jonas Sterner906.3—0—492
Julian Pauli906.3—0—831
Thomas Keller906.5—0—85—
Alexander Rossipal735.9—0—49—
Robert Wagner906.3—02623
Kofi Jeremy Amoako626.6—0—351
Jason Ceka626.7—01203
Niklas Hauptmann736.2—0—19—
Ben Justus Bobzien906.5—12311
Vincent Vermeij786.5—0121—
Luca Herrmann286.7—0—122
Jakob Lemmer287.310111—
Konrad Faber177.0—0—8—
Stefan Kutschke176.3—017—
Christoph Daferner126.2—0—2—
Daniel Mesenholer———————
Lukas Boeder———————
Friedrich Muller———————
Nils Fröling———————
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerFortuna DüsseldorfDrawDynamo Dresden
Bet3652.353.602.88

Snapshot from 23 Apr 2026, 21:20 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

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