Valencia
4/8Wins
1.6Goals / game
0.9Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 1 wins from 2 available matches.
Inspect Valencia’s results
La LigaMatchweek 23THE MATCH CENTREValencia vs Real Madrid match centre
Full time
0:2
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
A. Carreras65′
K. Mbappe90′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
ValenciaReal Madrid
0.440Expected goals · API-Football1.030
0Shots on target6
7Total Shots11
40%Ball Possession60%
5Corner Kicks8
10Fouls13
1Yellow Cards1
Red Cards
4Goalkeeper Saves0
359Total passes558
283Passes accurate495
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Valencia 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Real Madrid 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Real Madrid
4/6Wins
2.7Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game
Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 3 available matches.
Inspect Real Madrid’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Valencia
8 matchesResults4 wins · 1 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.6
Goals conceded per game0.9
Games with 3+ goals4 of 8
Both teams scored3 of 8
Past results, not predictions.
Real Madrid
6 matchesResults4 wins · 1 draws · 1 losses
Goals scored per game2.7
Goals conceded per game1.3
Games with 3+ goals4 of 6
Both teams scored4 of 6
Past results, not predictions.
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Valencia at home with Real Madrid away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 09:32 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
La Liga · 2025/26 · all league matches
ValenciaReal Madrid
22Matches played22
23Points earned54
5Wins17
1.1Goals scored / match2.2
1.6Goals conceded / match0.8
5Clean sheets10
5Failed to score2
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Valencia at home with Real Madrid away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Valencia
Confirmed formation4-4-2Carlos Corberan
- 1
S. DimitrievskiG - 4
U. NunezD - 24
E. ComertD - 3
J. CopeteD - 14
J. GayaD - 11
L. RiojaM - 18
PepeluM - 23
F. UgrinicM - 7
A. DanjumaM - 15
L. BeltranF - 9
H. DuroF
Substitutes (12)
13 · C. Rivero
12 · T. Rendall
5 · C. Tarrega
21 · J. Vazquez
8 · J. Guerra
10 · A. Almeida
2 · G. Rodriguez
22 · B. Santamaria
16 · D. Lopez
19 · D. Raba
17 · L. Ramazani
6 · U. Sadiq
Real Madrid
Confirmed formation4-4-2Alvaro Arbeloa
- 1
T. CourtoisG - 35
D. JimenezD - 17
R. AsencioD - 24
D. HuijsenD - 18
A. CarrerasD - 15
A. GulerM - 8
F. ValverdeM - 14
A. TchouameniM - 6
E. CamavingaM - 10
K. MbappeF - 16
G. GarciaF
Substitutes (11)
13 · A. Lunin
43 · S. Mestre
2 · D. Carvajal
4 · D. Alaba
12 · T. Alexander-Arnold
20 · F. Garcia
21 · B. Diaz
22 · A. Rudiger
30 · F. Mastantuono
28 · J. Cestero Sancho
19 · D. Ceballos
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Valencia
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stole Dimitrievski | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 37 | — |
| Unai Núñez | 72 | 7.0 | — | 0 | 1 | 26 | 3 |
| Eray Cömert | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 40 | 1 |
| José Copete | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 36 | — |
| José Luis Gayà | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 30 | 4 |
| Luis Rioja | 81 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 24 | 1 |
| Pepelu | 72 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 35 | 1 |
| Filip Ugrinić | 81 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 34 | 1 |
| Arnaut Danjuma | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 19 | 1 |
| Lucas Beltrán | 82 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 2 | 24 | 3 |
| Hugo Duro | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 10 | — |
| Thierry Correia | 18 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 10 | 1 |
| Guido Rodríguez | 18 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 21 | 2 |
| Javier Guerra | 9 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 6 | — |
| Largie Ramazani | 9 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 4 | — |
| Umar Sadiq | 8 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 3 | — |
| Cristian Rivero | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| César Tárrega | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jesús Vázquez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| André Almeida | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Baptiste Santamaria | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Diego López | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dani Raba | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Real Madrid
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thibaut Courtois | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 21 | — |
| David Jiménez | 76 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 35 | 1 |
| Raúl Asencio | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 55 | 1 |
| Dean Huijsen | 90 | 7.9 | — | 1 | — | 66 | 1 |
| Álvaro Carreras | 90 | 7.9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 51 | 1 |
| Arda Güler | 82 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 57 | 2 |
| Federico Valverde | 89 | 7.5 | — | 0 | 2 | 75 | 2 |
| Aurélien Tchouaméni | 90 | 7.9 | — | 0 | — | 67 | 5 |
| Eduardo Camavinga | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 55 | 4 |
| Kylian Mbappé | 90 | 6.9 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 35 | — |
| Gonzalo García | 76 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 16 | — |
| Trent Alexander-Arnold | 14 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 14 | — |
| Brahim Díaz | 14 | 6.6 | — | 1 | — | 7 | — |
| Franco Mastantuono | 8 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 3 | — |
| Jorge Cestero | 1 | — | — | 0 | — | 1 | — |
| Andriy Lunin | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sergio Mestre | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Carvajal | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fran García | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Antonio Rüdiger | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| David Alaba | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dani Ceballos | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
2025/26 STANDINGS
League centre ↗La Liga table
Current standings · Primera División. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 38 | 31 | 1 | 6 | 95 | 36 | 59 | 94 | LWLWW |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 38 | 27 | 5 | 6 | 77 | 35 | 42 | 86 | WWWLW |
| 3 |  Villarreal | 38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | 72 | 46 | 26 | 72 | WLLDW |
| 4 |  Atletico Madrid | 38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 62 | 44 | 18 | 69 | LWWLW |
| 5 |  Real Betis | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 59 | 48 | 11 | 60 | WLWDW |
| 6 |  Celta Vigo | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 53 | 48 | 5 | 54 | WDLWW |
| 7 |  Getafe | 38 | 15 | 6 | 17 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 51 | WLWDL |
| 8 |  Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 50 | WWDDW |
| 9 | Valencia | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 46 | 55 | -9 | 49 | WWDWL |
| 10 |  Real Sociedad | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 59 | 61 | -2 | 46 | DLDDL |
| 11 |  Espanyol | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 43 | 55 | -12 | 46 | DWWLL |
| 12 |  Athletic Club | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 43 | 58 | -15 | 45 | LDLLW |
| 13 |  Sevilla | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 46 | 60 | -14 | 43 | LLWWW |
| 14 |  Alaves | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 43 | LWWDL |
| 15 |  Elche | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 49 | 57 | -8 | 43 | DWLDL |
| 16 |  Levante | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 47 | 61 | -14 | 42 | LWWWL |
| 17 |  Osasuna | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 44 | 50 | -6 | 42 | LLLLL |
| 18 |  Mallorca | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 47 | 57 | -10 | 42 | WLLDW |
| 19 |  Girona | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 39 | 55 | -16 | 41 | DLDDL |
| 20 |  Oviedo | 38 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 26 | 60 | -34 | 29 | LLLDL |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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