Real Sociedad
6/10Wins
1.8Goals / game
1.5Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 6 wins from 7 available matches.
Inspect Real Sociedad’s results
La LigaMatchweek 31THE MATCH CENTREReal Sociedad vs Alaves match centre
90′ · Live
3:3
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
L. Sucic14′
A. Sivera27′ (og)
O. Oskarsson60′
D. Caleta-Car3′ (og)
I. Diabate24′
L. Boye90+7′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate2.3%Real Sociedad
Draw93.3%at full time
Current result estimate4.3%Alaves
Another goal6.8%before full time
Next goal: Real Sociedad 2.4% · no further goal 93.2% · Alaves 4.4%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.Real SociedadAlaves
0.940Expected goals · API-Football1.130
4Shots on target2
12Total Shots12
54%Ball Possession46%
8Corner Kicks5
11Fouls18
1Yellow Cards2
1Red Cards0
0Goalkeeper Saves2
502Total passes425
419Passes accurate341
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Primera DivisiónProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 38 | +59 | 94 | — |
| 2 |  Real Madrid | 38 | +42 | 86 | — |
| 3 |  Villarreal | 38 | +26 | 72 | — |
| 4 |  Atletico Madrid | 38 | +18 | 69 | — |
| 5 |  Real Betis | 38 | +11 | 60 | — |
| 6 |  Celta Vigo | 38 | +5 | 54 | — |
| 7 |  Getafe | 38 | -6 | 51 | — |
| 8 |  Rayo Vallecano | 38 | -3 | 50 | — |
| 9 |  Valencia | 38 | -9 | 49 | — |
| 10 | Real Sociedad | 39 | -2 | 47 | — |
| 11 |  Espanyol | 38 | -12 | 46 | — |
| 12 |  Athletic Club | 38 | -15 | 45 | — |
| 13 |  Alaves | 39 | -12 | 44 | ↑ 1 |
| 14 |  Elche | 38 | -8 | 43 | ↑ 1 |
| 15 |  Sevilla | 38 | -14 | 43 | ↓ 2 |
| 16 |  Osasuna | 38 | -6 | 42 | ↑ 1 |
| 17 |  Mallorca | 38 | -10 | 42 | ↑ 1 |
| 18 |  Levante | 38 | -14 | 42 | ↓ 2 |
| 19 |  Girona | 38 | -16 | 41 | — |
| 20 |  Oviedo | 38 | -34 | 29 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Real Sociedad 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Alaves 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Alaves
2/10Wins
1.6Goals / game
2.0Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 6 available matches.
Inspect Alaves’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Real Sociedad
10 matchesResults6 wins · 1 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.8
Goals conceded per game1.5
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
Alaves
10 matchesResults2 wins · 4 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game1.6
Goals conceded per game2.0
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored8 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Real Sociedad at home with Alaves away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 03:08 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
La Liga · 2025/26 · all league matches
Real SociedadAlaves
30Matches played30
41Points earned32
11Wins8
1.5Goals scored / match1.1
1.5Goals conceded / match1.5
3Clean sheets3
3Failed to score10
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Real Sociedad at home with Alaves away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Real Sociedad
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Pellegrino Matarazzo
- 1
A. RemiroG - 2
J. AramburuD - 6
A. ElustondoD - 16
D. Caleta-CarD - 17
S. GomezD - 8
B. TurrientesM - 18
C. SolerM - 24
L. SucicM - 23
B. MendezM - 7
A. BarrenetxeaM - 9
O. OskarssonF
Substitutes (12)
13 · U. Marrero
32 · A. Fraga
11 · G. Guedes
21 · A. Zakharyan
19 · J. Karrikaburu
38 · L. Beitia
10 · M. Oyarzabal
14 · T. Kubo
3 · A. Munoz
15 · P. Marin
22 · Wesley
46 · I. Aguirre
Alaves
Confirmed formation5-3-2Quique Sanchez Flores
- 1
A. SiveraG - 7
A. PerezD - 17
Jonny OttoD - 14
N. TenagliaD - 24
V. ParadaD - 21
A. RebbachD - 19
P. IbanezM - 8
A. BlancoM - 18
J. GuridiM - 11
T. MartinezF - 22
I. DiabateF
Substitutes (12)
13 · R. Fernandez
31 · G. Swiderski
4 · D. Suarez
16 · V. Koski
3 · Yusi
27 · E. Munoz
9 · M. Diaz
15 · L. Boye
10 · C. Alena
6 · A. Guevara
5 · J. Pacheco
20 · Calebe
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Real Sociedad
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Álex Remiro | 100 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 47 | — |
| Jon Aramburu | 100 | 6.7 | — | — | — | 42 | 2 |
| Aritz Elustondo | 86 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 50 | 1 |
| Duje Ćaleta-Car | 100 | 5.3 | — | — | 1 | 55 | — |
| Sergio Gómez | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 42 | 3 |
| Beñat Turrientes | 100 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | 67 | 2 |
| Carlos Soler | 100 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 66 | — |
| Luka Sučić | 86 | 8.0 | 1 | — | 2 | 39 | 3 |
| Brais Méndez | 54 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 3 |
| Ander Barrenetxea | 45 | 7.2 | — | 1 | — | 19 | 2 |
| Orri Steinn Óskarsson | 72 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 1 | 14 | — |
| Gonçalo Guedes | 55 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 10 | — |
| Takefusa Kubo | 46 | 8.0 | — | 1 | — | 14 | — |
| Pablo Marín | 28 | 6.5 | — | — | — | 5 | — |
| Aihen Muñoz | 14 | 6.2 | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Luken Beitia | 14 | 6.2 | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Unai Marrero | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jon Karrikaburu | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Arsen Zakharyan | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ibai Aguirre | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wesley | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aitor Fraga | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mikel Oyarzabal | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Alaves
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antonio Sivera | 100 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 32 | — |
| Ángel Pérez | 86 | 6.2 | — | — | — | 38 | 4 |
| Jonny Otto | 100 | 6.0 | — | — | — | 55 | — |
| Nahuel Tenaglia | 100 | 6.7 | — | — | — | 47 | 3 |
| Victor Parada | 100 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | 31 | — |
| Abderrahman Rebbach | 100 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 31 | 4 |
| Pablo Ibáñez | 66 | 5.9 | — | — | — | 25 | — |
| Antonio Blanco | 100 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | 56 | 2 |
| Jon Guridi | 66 | 6.2 | — | — | — | 21 | 2 |
| Toni Martínez | 100 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | 22 | — |
| Ibrahim Diabaté | 60 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 8 | — |
| Lucas Boyé | 40 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 3 | 4 | — |
| Ander Guevara | 34 | 6.7 | — | — | — | 31 | — |
| Carles Aleñá | 34 | 6.7 | — | — | — | 18 | — |
| Denis Suárez | 14 | 6.9 | — | 1 | — | 8 | — |
| Grégoire Swiderski | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Youssef Enriquez Lekhedim | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Calebe Gonçalves | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Egoitz Muñoz | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Raul Fernandez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jon Pacheco | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mariano Díaz | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ville Koski | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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