Tondela
1/7Wins
1.0Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 0 wins from 4 available matches.
Inspect Tondela’s results
Primeira LigaMatchweek 25THE MATCH CENTRETondela vs Rio Ave match centre
90′ · Live
0:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
J. Blesa70′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate0.1%Tondela
Draw4.0%at full time
Current result estimate95.9%Rio Ave
Another goal8.1%before full time
Next goal: Tondela 4.2% · no further goal 91.9% · Rio Ave 3.9%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.TondelaRio Ave
0.500Expected goals · API-Football1.230
2Shots on target2
6Total Shots9
47%Ball Possession53%
2Corner Kicks2
14Fouls14
0Yellow Cards4
—Red Cards—
1Goalkeeper Saves2
401Total passes449
315Passes accurate379
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Primeira LigaProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 34 | +48 | 88 | — |
| 2 |  Sporting CP | 34 | +65 | 82 | — |
| 3 |  Benfica | 34 | +49 | 80 | — |
| 4 |  SC Braga | 34 | +28 | 59 | — |
| 5 |  Famalicao | 34 | +13 | 56 | — |
| 6 |  GIL Vicente | 34 | +9 | 50 | — |
| 7 |  Moreirense | 34 | -12 | 43 | — |
| 8 |  Guimaraes | 34 | -12 | 42 | ↑ 1 |
| 9 |  Arouca | 34 | -17 | 42 | ↓ 1 |
| 10 |  Estoril | 34 | -3 | 39 | — |
| 11 |  Alverca | 34 | -17 | 39 | — |
| 12 |  Rio Ave | 35 | -21 | 39 | — |
| 13 |  Santa Clara | 34 | -9 | 36 | — |
| 14 |  Nacional | 34 | -8 | 34 | — |
| 15 |  Estrela | 34 | -18 | 30 | — |
| 16 |  Casa Pia | 34 | -26 | 30 | — |
| 17 | Tondela | 35 | -29 | 28 | — |
| 18 |  AVS | 34 | -40 | 21 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Tondela 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Rio Ave 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Rio Ave
2/9Wins
0.6Goals / game
1.8Conceded / game
Keep in view: 6 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 4 available matches.
Inspect Rio Ave’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Tondela
7 matchesResults1 wins · 4 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game1.0
Goals conceded per game1.3
Games with 3+ goals3 of 7
Both teams scored3 of 7
Past results, not predictions.
Rio Ave
9 matchesResults2 wins · 1 draws · 6 losses
Goals scored per game0.6
Goals conceded per game1.8
Games with 3+ goals5 of 9
Both teams scored2 of 9
Past results, not predictions.
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Tondela at home with Rio Ave away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 07:04 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Primeira Liga · 2025/26 · all league matches
TondelaRio Ave
24Matches played24
19Points earned21
4Wins4
0.8Goals scored / match1.0
1.6Goals conceded / match1.9
4Clean sheets3
13Failed to score11
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Tondela at home with Rio Ave away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Tondela
Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Cristiano Bacci
- 31
BernardoG - 44
J. SilvaD - 4
C. MarquesD - 20
B. MedinaD - 2
BebetoM - 10
J. HodgeM - 32
J. RodriguezM - 27
R. ConceicaoM - 7
Pedro MaranhaoF - 90
M. AikoF - 23
B. KimpiokaF
Substitutes (9)
30 · L. Canizares
5 · J. Afonso
15 · S. Sithole
48 · T. Manso
8 · H. Tavares
29 · J. Siebatcheu
26 · A. van der Heide
14 · X. Huarte
70 · M. Ouattara
Rio Ave
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Sotiris Sylaidopoulos
- 99
E. van der GouwG - 17
M. VrousaiD - 32
J. BrabecD - 39
Gustavo ManchaD - 6
N. AbbeyD - 44
T. NikitscherM - 5
A. NtoiM - 7
Diogo Bezerra - 80
O. PohlmannM - 18
D. SpikicM - 11
J. BlesaF
Substitutes (9)
1 · C. Miszta
21 · J. Graca
54 · G. Liavas
8 · Ryan Guilherme
20 · J. Tome
24 · L. Buta
9 · T. Monteiro
23 · F. Petrasso
19 · A. Papakanellos
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Tondela
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bernardo Fontes | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 41 | — |
| João Silva | 90 | 5.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 47 | 1 |
| Christian Marques | 75 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 33 | 1 |
| Brayan Medina | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 49 | 3 |
| Bebeto | 81 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 32 | 3 |
| Joe Hodge | 74 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 45 | 3 |
| Juan Rodríguez | 62 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 19 | 3 |
| Rodrigo Conceição | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 41 | 3 |
| Maranhão | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 25 | 1 |
| Makan Aïko | 81 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 22 | 1 |
| Benjamin Mbunga-Kimpioka | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 13 | 1 |
| Siphephelo Sithole | 28 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 23 | — |
| Jordan Siebatcheu | 16 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 2 | 1 |
| Hélder Tavares | 15 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 5 | — |
| Tiago Manso | 9 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 4 | 2 |
| Moudjatovic | 9 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 4 | — |
| Lucas Cañizares | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| João Afonso | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Arjen Van Der Heide | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Xabi Huarte | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rio Ave
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ennio Van Der Gouw | 90 | 7.6 | — | 0 | — | 32 | — |
| Marios Vrousai | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 79 | 4 |
| Jakub Brabec | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 64 | — |
| Gustavo Mancha | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 53 | 1 |
| Nelson Abbey | 89 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 38 | 1 |
| Tamás Nikitscher | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 48 | 4 |
| Andreas Ndoj | 60 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 32 | — |
| Diogo Bezerra | 90 | 6.0 | — | 0 | 1 | 21 | 1 |
| Ole Pohlmann | 72 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 17 | — |
| Dario Špikić | 72 | 6.5 | — | 1 | 2 | 26 | — |
| Jalen Blesa | 89 | 7.3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 1 |
| Ryan Guilherme | 30 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 20 | — |
| João Tomé | 18 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 2 | 2 |
| Tamblé Monteiro | 18 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 6 | — |
| Francisco Petrasso | 9 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | — | — |
| Leonardo Buta | 9 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 3 | 1 |
| Cezary Miszta | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Georgios Liavas | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Antonis Papakanellos | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| João Graça | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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