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FC Porto vs Famalicao match centre

FC Porto badgeFC PortoHome · 1 in league
LDWWW
Momentum↗ Rising74/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
2:1
UK time · Europe/London
Famalicao badgeFamalicaoAway · 5 in league
WDWWW
Momentum↗ Rising89/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
A. Costa35′
S. Fofana90+1′
Sorriso54′
Estádio Do Dragão · PortoSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate95.5%FC Porto
Draw4.4%at full time
Current result estimate0.1%Famalicao
Another goal8.2%before full time

Next goal: FC Porto 3.6% · no further goal 91.8% · Famalicao 4.5%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
FC PortoFamalicao
4Corner Kicks3
20Fouls14
5Yellow Cards3
—Red Cards—
4Goalkeeper Saves1
414Total passes403
349Passes accurate329

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

IF THE SCORE HOLDS

Provisional table

Primeira Liga

Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.

#TeamPGDPtsMove
1FC Porto35+4991—
2Sporting CP34+6582—
3Benfica34+4980—
4SC Braga34+2859—
5Famalicao35+1256—
6GIL Vicente34+950—
7Moreirense34-1243—
8Guimaraes34-1242↑ 1
9Arouca34-1742↓ 1
10Estoril34-339—
11Alverca34-1739—
12Santa Clara34-936↑ 1
13Rio Ave34-2236↓ 1
14Nacional34-834—
15Estrela34-1830—
16Casa Pia34-2630—
17Tondela34-2828—
18AVS34-4021—
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

FC Porto 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Famalicao 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

FC Porto

7/10Wins
1.7Goals / game
0.7Conceded / game

Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At home, 7 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect FC Porto’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Famalicao

7/10Wins
1.3Goals / game
0.8Conceded / game

Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 5 available matches.

Inspect Famalicao’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare FC Porto at home with Famalicao away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 06:05 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Primeira Liga · 2025/26 · all league matches

FC PortoFamalicao
27Matches played27
72Points earned45
23Wins13
2.0Goals scored / match1.2
0.4Goals conceded / match0.8
18Clean sheets14
1Failed to score8

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares FC Porto at home with Famalicao away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

FC Porto

Confirmed formation4-3-3Francesco Farioli
  1. 99D. CostaG
  2. 20A. CostaD
  3. 5J. BednarekD
  4. 4J. KiwiorD
  5. 12ZaiduD
  6. 8V. FroholdtM
  7. 22A. VarelaM
  8. 86R. MoraM
  9. 11PepêF
  10. 29T. MoffiF
  11. 77O. PietuszewskiF
Substitutes (9)

14 · Claudio Ramos

3 · Thiago Silva

52 · M. Fernandes

27 · D. Gul

42 · S. Fofana

13 · P. Rosario

74 · F. Moura

17 · B. Sainz

7 · William Gomes

Famalicao

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Hugo Oliveira
  1. 25L. CarevicG
  2. 17R. PinheiroD
  3. 55I. BaD
  4. 16J. De HaasD
  5. 5Rafa SoaresD
  6. 6T. Van de LooiM
  7. 14M. De AmorimM
  8. 23Gil DiasM
  9. 20G. SaM
  10. 7SorrisoM
  11. 12S. ElisorF
Substitutes (9)

1 · I. Zlobin

28 · Pedro Bondo

80 · P. Santos

77 · A. Joujou

8 · M. Pena

3 · L. Realpe

2 · Garcia

18 · R. Beney

9 · U. Abubakar

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

FC Porto

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Diogo Costa1016.6———21—
Alberto Costa1017.71—1362
Jan Bednarek1016.7———91—
Jakub Kiwior1017.0———93—
Zaidu Sanusi456.9———171
Victor Froholdt1015.9———18—
Alan Varela1017.2———47—
Rodrigo Mora446.5———6—
Pepê747.2——1191
Terem Moffi616.7—115—
Oskar Pietuszewski456.5———11—
Seko Fofana577.61—2221
Martim Fernandes566.2—1—141
William Gomes566.3———14—
Deniz Gül406.3———2—
Borja Sainz276.3———5—
Pablo Rosario———————
Thiago Silva———————
Francisco Moura———————
Cláudio Ramos———————

Famalicao

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Lazar Carević1016.3———33—
Rodrigo Pinheiro1017.71—1453
Ibrahima Ba1016.5———64—
Justin De Haas1016.7——1511
Rafa Soares1016.9——1415
Tom Van De Looi1016.3——1372
Mathias De Amorim616.6——1173
Gil Dias1016.9———373
Gustavo Sá796.9——2333
Sorriso907.31—2181
Simon Elisor1016.2——114—
Marcos Peña406.5———11—
Pedro Santos226.3———51
Romeo Beney116.3———4—
Pedro Bondo———————
Léo Realpe———————
Ivan Zlobin———————
Antoine Joujou———————
Gustavo García———————
Umar Abubakar———————
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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