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Santa Clara vs Rio Ave match centre

Santa Clara badgeSanta ClaraHome · 13 in league
DWWWL
Momentum↘ Falling65/100OlderLatest
60′ · Live
0:1
UK time · Europe/London
Rio Ave badgeRio AveAway · 12 in league
DWWWL
Momentum↘ Falling65/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
T. Nikitscher50′
Estádio de São Miguel · Ponta DelgadaSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

60′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate5.7%Santa Clara
Draw21.6%at full time
Current result estimate72.6%Rio Ave
Another goal57.5%before full time

Next goal: Santa Clara 31.3% · no further goal 42.5% · Rio Ave 26.3%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
Santa ClaraRio Ave
2Corner Kicks3
10Fouls6
0Yellow Cards1
—Red Cards—
2Goalkeeper Saves3
222Total passes223
170Passes accurate174

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

IF THE SCORE HOLDS

Provisional table

Primeira Liga

Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.

#TeamPGDPtsMove
1FC Porto34+4888—
2Sporting CP34+6582—
3Benfica34+4980—
4SC Braga34+2859—
5Famalicao34+1356—
6GIL Vicente34+950—
7Moreirense34-1243—
8Guimaraes34-1242↑ 1
9Arouca34-1742↓ 1
10Estoril34-339—
11Alverca34-1739—
12Rio Ave35-2139—
13Santa Clara35-1036—
14Nacional34-834—
15Estrela34-1830—
16Casa Pia34-2630—
17Tondela34-2828—
18AVS34-4021—
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Santa Clara 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Rio Ave 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Santa Clara

3/10Wins
1.2Goals / game
1.5Conceded / game

Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At home, 2 wins from 5 available matches.

Inspect Santa Clara’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Rio Ave

3/10Wins
0.7Goals / game
1.7Conceded / game

Keep in view: 6 losses in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 6 available matches.

Inspect Rio Ave’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Santa Clara at home with Rio Ave away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 03:08 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Primeira Liga · 2025/26 · all league matches

Santa ClaraRio Ave
28Matches played28
28Points earned30
7Wins7
0.9Goals scored / match1.1
1.3Goals conceded / match1.7
8Clean sheets4
10Failed to score11

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Santa Clara at home with Rio Ave away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Santa Clara

Confirmed formation4-4-2Vasco Matos
  1. 1Gabriel BatistaG
  2. 42Lucas SoaresD
  3. 23Sidney LimaD
  4. 94Henrique SilvaD
  5. 5Guilherme RomãoD
  6. 10Gabriel SilvaM
  7. 8Pedro FerreiraM
  8. 35SerginhoM
  9. 49WelintonM
  10. 77Gustavo KlismahnF
  11. 26Luis FernandoF
Substitutes (9)

64 · Paulo Victor

12 · Neneca

65 · José Tavares

39 · Gonçalo Paciência

21 · Frederico Venâncio

37 · Darlan

70 · Vinícius Lopes

2 · Diogo Calila

11 · Brenner

Rio Ave

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Sotiris Sylaidopoulos
  1. 99Ennio Van Der GouwG
  2. 17Marios VrousaiD
  3. 32Jakub BrabecD
  4. 39Gustavo ManchaD
  5. 6Nelson AbbeyD
  6. 44Tamás NikitscherM
  7. 5Andreas NdojM
  8. 7Diogo BezerraM
  9. 80Ole PohlmannM
  10. 18Dario ŠpikićM
  11. 9Tamblé MonteiroF
Substitutes (9)

8 · Ryan Guilherme

54 · Georgios Liavas

1 · Cezary Miszta

20 · João Tomé

77 · Omar Richards

19 · Antonis Papakanellos

11 · Jalen Blesa

23 · Francisco Petrasso

63 · Julien Lomboto

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Santa Clara

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Gabriel Batista906.9—0—32—
Lucas Soares695.9—0—23—
Sidney Lima905.2—0—45—
Henrique Silva905.9—0—48—
Guilherme Romão906.3—01531
Gabriel Silva906.3—01241
Pedro Ferreira816.3—0—294
Serginho907.2—01517
Welinton456.7—0—16—
Gustavo Klismahn576.3—02161
Luis Fernando576.7—0215—
Vinícius Lopes456.3—0212—
Gonçalo Paciência336.6—0162
Brenner336.3—0—7—
Diogo Calila216.9—0—161
José Tavares97.0—0—82
Paulo Victor———————
Neneca———————
Frederico Venâncio———————
Darlan———————

Rio Ave

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Ennio Van Der Gouw908.0—0—43—
Marios Vrousai897.7—1—392
Jakub Brabec907.2—0—421
Gustavo Mancha907.5—0—45—
Nelson Abbey906.9—0—233
Tamás Nikitscher907.9101293
Andreas Ndoj907.7—0—375
Diogo Bezerra896.7—01171
Ole Pohlmann766.9—0—201
Dario Špikić866.3—0—182
Tamblé Monteiro867.0—0214—
Ryan Guilherme146.7—0—71
Antonis Papakanellos96.5—0—2—
Francisco Petrasso96.6—0—2—
Georgios Liavas1——0———
João Tomé1——0—1—
Cezary Miszta———————
Omar Richards———————
Jalen Blesa———————
Julien Lomboto———————
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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