Rio Ave
3/10Wins
0.6Goals / game
1.6Conceded / game
Keep in view: 6 losses in that sample. At home, 1 wins from 5 available matches.
Inspect Rio Ave’s results
Primeira LigaMatchweek 26THE MATCH CENTRERio Ave vs Estrela match centre
90′ · Live
2:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
J. Blesa27′
J. Blesa48′
Rodrigo Pinho66′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate96.3%Rio Ave
Draw3.7%at full time
Current result estimate0.1%Estrela
Another goal8.1%before full time
Next goal: Rio Ave 4.3% · no further goal 91.9% · Estrela 3.8%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.Rio AveEstrela
2.750Expected goals · API-Football1.340
6Shots on target3
17Total Shots11
45%Ball Possession55%
10Corner Kicks4
15Fouls10
4Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
2Goalkeeper Saves4
351Total passes441
294Passes accurate374
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Primeira LigaProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 34 | +48 | 88 | — |
| 2 |  Sporting CP | 34 | +65 | 82 | — |
| 3 |  Benfica | 34 | +49 | 80 | — |
| 4 |  SC Braga | 34 | +28 | 59 | — |
| 5 |  Famalicao | 34 | +13 | 56 | — |
| 6 |  GIL Vicente | 34 | +9 | 50 | — |
| 7 |  Moreirense | 34 | -12 | 43 | — |
| 8 |  Guimaraes | 34 | -12 | 42 | ↑ 1 |
| 9 |  Arouca | 34 | -17 | 42 | ↓ 1 |
| 10 |  Estoril | 34 | -3 | 39 | — |
| 11 |  Alverca | 34 | -17 | 39 | — |
| 12 | Rio Ave | 35 | -21 | 39 | — |
| 13 |  Santa Clara | 34 | -9 | 36 | — |
| 14 |  Nacional | 34 | -8 | 34 | — |
| 15 |  Estrela | 35 | -19 | 30 | — |
| 16 |  Casa Pia | 34 | -26 | 30 | — |
| 17 |  Tondela | 34 | -28 | 28 | — |
| 18 |  AVS | 34 | -40 | 21 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Rio Ave 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Estrela 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Estrela
1/10Wins
0.6Goals / game
2.0Conceded / game
Keep in view: 6 losses in that sample. At away venues, 0 wins from 5 available matches.
Inspect Estrela’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Rio Ave
10 matchesResults3 wins · 1 draws · 6 losses
Goals scored per game0.6
Goals conceded per game1.6
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored2 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
TondelaAway · Primeira Liga1–0FamalicaoHome · Primeira Liga0–0FC PortoAway · Primeira Liga0–1MoreirenseHome · Primeira Liga1–2SC BragaAway · Primeira Liga0–3AroucaHome · Primeira Liga0–3NacionalAway · Primeira Liga0–4BenficaHome · Primeira Liga0–2EstrelaAway · Primeira Liga2–1EstrelaHome · Primeira Liga2–0
Estrela
10 matchesResults1 wins · 3 draws · 6 losses
Goals scored per game0.6
Goals conceded per game2.0
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored4 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
GIL VicenteHome · Primeira Liga2–2AVSAway · Primeira Liga0–0TondelaHome · Primeira Liga0–2GuimaraesAway · Primeira Liga1–2Santa ClaraHome · Primeira Liga1–0AlvercaAway · Primeira Liga1–1BenficaAway · Primeira Liga0–4EstorilHome · Primeira Liga0–5Rio AveHome · Primeira Liga1–2Rio AveAway · Primeira Liga0–2
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Rio Ave at home with Estrela away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 09:32 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Primeira Liga · 2025/26 · all league matches
Rio AveEstrela
25Matches played25
24Points earned25
5Wins5
1.0Goals scored / match1.1
1.8Goals conceded / match1.7
4Clean sheets6
11Failed to score11
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Rio Ave at home with Estrela away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
5 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Rio Ave
2wins5MEETINGS
Estrela
1winsDec 2023 – Oct 2025 · Past results, not a forecast.
Scores shown with Rio Ave first; venues vary.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Rio Ave
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Sotiris Sylaidopoulos
- 99
E. van der GouwG - 17
M. VrousaiD - 32
J. BrabecD - 39
Gustavo ManchaD - 6
N. AbbeyD - 44
T. NikitscherM - 5
A. NtoiM - 7
Diogo Bezerra - 80
O. PohlmannM - 18
D. SpikicM - 11
J. BlesaF
Substitutes (9)
1 · C. Miszta
21 · J. Graca
54 · G. Liavas
8 · Ryan Guilherme
20 · J. Tome
24 · L. Buta
9 · T. Monteiro
23 · F. Petrasso
19 · A. Papakanellos
Estrela
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Joao Nuno
- 40
R. RibeiroG - 21
M. ScholzeD - 30
Luan PatrickD - 83
OtavioD - 24
B. LangaD - 6
K. JanssonM - 19
P. MoreiraM - 99
A. MarcusM - 11
JovaneM - 10
I. StoicaM - 9
Rodrigo PinhoF
Substitutes (9)
13 · Dudu
7 · L. Antonetti
2 · Y. Kalley
3 · Ni
28 · T. Moustier
63 · A. Sola
18 · J. Meireles
8 · Robinho
39 · G. Doue
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Rio Ave
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ennio Van Der Gouw | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 40 | — |
| Marios Vrousai | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 47 | 1 |
| Jakub Brabec | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 41 | — |
| Gustavo Mancha | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 46 | 1 |
| Nelson Abbey | 75 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 19 | 1 |
| Tamás Nikitscher | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 31 | 6 |
| Andreas Ndoj | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | 1 | 27 | 1 |
| Diogo Bezerra | 88 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 23 | — |
| Ole Pohlmann | 58 | 5.6 | — | 0 | — | 14 | 1 |
| Dario Špikić | 75 | 7.3 | — | 2 | 1 | 18 | 1 |
| Jalen Blesa | 89 | 8.9 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 1 |
| Ryan Guilherme | 32 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 13 | 1 |
| João Tomé | 15 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 9 | 1 |
| Tamblé Monteiro | 15 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 9 | — |
| Georgios Liavas | 2 | — | — | 0 | — | 1 | — |
| Francisco Petrasso | 1 | — | — | 0 | — | — | — |
| Cezary Miszta | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Leonardo Buta | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Antonis Papakanellos | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| João Graça | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Estrela
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Renan Ribeiro | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 21 | — |
| Max Scholze | 83 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 38 | 3 |
| Luan Patrick | 89 | 7.5 | — | 0 | — | 64 | 1 |
| Otavio | 54 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 35 | 3 |
| Bruno Langa | 89 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 34 | 1 |
| Kevin Höög Jansson | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 63 | 2 |
| Paulo Moreira | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 45 | 2 |
| Abraham Marcus | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | 2 | 39 | 2 |
| Jovane Cabral | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 2 | 35 | 2 |
| Ianis Stoica | 54 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 13 | 1 |
| Rodrigo Pinho | 90 | 7.2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | — |
| Robson Lucas Oliveira Botelho | 36 | 8.3 | — | 1 | 1 | 32 | — |
| Eddy Doué | 36 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 27 | 1 |
| Leandro Antonetti | 11 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 1 | — |
| Yahya Kalley | 1 | — | — | 0 | — | 2 | — |
| Tom Moustier | 1 | — | — | 0 | — | 3 | 1 |
| Eduardo Dos Santos Haesler | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ni | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alex Sola | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jorge Meireles | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
PUT YOUR VIEW TO THE TEST
Open practice slip +Try it with virtual funds
Start with £1,000 virtual funds. Choose a single or combine different matches in an accumulator, then track confirmed results. No real money. Record an actual bet in your manual journal ↗
Football data. A clearer perspective.Back to matches →