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Rio Ave vs AVS match centre

Rio Ave badgeRio AveHome · 12 in league
WWWLW
Momentum↘ Falling77/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
2:2
UK time · Europe/London
AVS badgeAVSAway · 18 in league
DLDLD
Momentum↓ Low20/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
O. Pohlmann18′
A. Ntoi79′
Tomane32′
Pedro Lima68′
Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube · Vila do CondeSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate4.0%Rio Ave
Draw92.5%at full time
Current result estimate3.6%AVS
Another goal7.7%before full time

Next goal: Rio Ave 4.0% · no further goal 92.3% · AVS 3.6%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
Rio AveAVS
3Corner Kicks9
8Fouls10
1Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
4Goalkeeper Saves6
479Total passes238
413Passes accurate167

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

IF THE SCORE HOLDS

Provisional table

Primeira Liga

Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.

#TeamPGDPtsMove
1FC Porto34+4888—
2Sporting CP34+6582—
3Benfica34+4980—
4SC Braga34+2859—
5Famalicao34+1356—
6GIL Vicente34+950—
7Moreirense34-1243—
8Guimaraes34-1242↑ 1
9Arouca34-1742↓ 1
10Estoril34-339—
11Alverca34-1739—
12Rio Ave35-2237—
13Santa Clara34-936—
14Nacional34-834—
15Estrela34-1830—
16Casa Pia34-2630—
17Tondela34-2828—
18AVS35-4022—
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Rio Ave 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

AVS 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Rio Ave

4/10Wins
0.9Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game

Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At home, 2 wins from 7 available matches.

Inspect Rio Ave’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

AVS

1/10Wins
0.7Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game

Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 8 available matches.

Inspect AVS’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Rio Ave at home with AVS away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 03:08 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Primeira Liga · 2025/26 · all league matches

Rio AveAVS
29Matches played29
33Points earned12
8Wins1
1.1Goals scored / match0.7
1.7Goals conceded / match2.1
5Clean sheets4
11Failed to score17

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Rio Ave at home with AVS away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Rio Ave

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Sotiris Sylaidopoulos
  1. 1C. MisztaG
  2. 17M. VrousaiD
  3. 32J. BrabecD
  4. 39Gustavo ManchaD
  5. 6N. AbbeyD
  6. 5A. NtoiM
  7. 8Ryan GuilhermeM
  8. 7Diogo Bezerra
  9. 80O. PohlmannM
  10. 18D. SpikicM
  11. 11J. BlesaF
Substitutes (9)

99 · E. van der Gouw

77 · O. Richards

54 · G. Liavas

44 · T. Nikitscher

20 · J. Tome

25 · Rafael Lobato

9 · T. Monteiro

23 · F. Petrasso

19 · A. Papakanellos

AVS

Confirmed formation4-3-3Joao Henriques
  1. 1AdrielG
  2. 97Mateus PivoD
  3. 42C. DevenishD
  4. 3Paulo VitorD
  5. 12D. RivasD
  6. 23G. MendoncaM
  7. 70RoniM
  8. 8Pedro LimaM
  9. 11T. AkinsolaF
  10. 7TomaneF
  11. 14O. PereaF
Substitutes (9)

88 · Trigueira

18 · Nene

24 · Kiki

20 · D. Duarte

21 · G. Neiva

33 · A. Santos

26 · Ponck

27 · A. Algobia

19 · T. Galletto

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Rio Ave

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Cezary Miszta907.7—0—33—
Marios Vrousai907.3—01614
Jakub Brabec906.5—0—661
Gustavo Mancha906.9—0—771
Nelson Abbey906.5—0—431
Andreas Ndoj907.3103622
Ryan Guilherme646.9—0—371
Diogo Bezerra857.5—13221
Ole Pohlmann857.3102201
Dario Špikić746.0—0231—
Jalen Blesa907.2—03152
Tamblé Monteiro266.7—015—
Antonis Papakanellos166.6—0—6—
Rafael Lobato116.2—0—2—
Tamás Nikitscher116.3—0—21
Ennio Van Der Gouw———————
Francisco Petrasso———————
Omar Richards———————
João Tomé———————
Georgios Liavas———————

AVS

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Adriel907.3—0—29—
Mateus Pivô906.3—0—154
Cristian Castro906.5—0—222
Paulo Vitor905.6—0—261
Leonardo Rivas646.6—0—93
Gustavo Mendonca866.5—0—203
Roni906.7—0—282
Pedro Lima907.6103223
Babatunde Akinsola897.3—04111
Tomane897.310125—
Óscar Perea647.5—01141
Kiki266.2—0—11—
Guilherme Neiva266.9—1—101
Ángel Algobia106.7—0—1—
Diego Duarte1——01——
Nenê1——0—3—
Pedro Trigueira———————
Carlos Ponck———————
Aderllan Santos———————
Tiago Galletto———————
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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