Moreirense
2/10Wins
0.8Goals / game
1.6Conceded / game
Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At home, 4 wins from 9 available matches.
Inspect Moreirense’s results
Primeira LigaMatchweek 34THE MATCH CENTREMoreirense vs AVS match centre
88′ · Live
0:0
UK time · Europe/LondonTHE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
88′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate4.4%Moreirense
Draw92.5%at full time
Current result estimate3.2%AVS
Another goal7.7%before full time
Next goal: Moreirense 4.4% · no further goal 92.3% · AVS 3.2%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.MoreirenseAVS
0.880Expected goals · API-Football2.030
4Shots on target1
11Total Shots7
63%Ball Possession37%
5Corner Kicks3
8Fouls11
2Yellow Cards3
—Red Cards—
0Goalkeeper Saves4
480Total passes283
423Passes accurate214
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Primeira LigaProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 34 | +48 | 88 | — |
| 2 |  Sporting CP | 34 | +65 | 82 | — |
| 3 |  Benfica | 34 | +49 | 80 | — |
| 4 |  SC Braga | 34 | +28 | 59 | — |
| 5 |  Famalicao | 34 | +13 | 56 | — |
| 6 |  GIL Vicente | 34 | +9 | 50 | — |
| 7 | Moreirense | 35 | -12 | 44 | — |
| 8 |  Guimaraes | 34 | -12 | 42 | ↑ 1 |
| 9 |  Arouca | 34 | -17 | 42 | ↓ 1 |
| 10 |  Estoril | 34 | -3 | 39 | — |
| 11 |  Alverca | 34 | -17 | 39 | — |
| 12 |  Santa Clara | 34 | -9 | 36 | ↑ 1 |
| 13 |  Rio Ave | 34 | -22 | 36 | ↓ 1 |
| 14 |  Nacional | 34 | -8 | 34 | — |
| 15 |  Estrela | 34 | -18 | 30 | — |
| 16 |  Casa Pia | 34 | -26 | 30 | — |
| 17 |  Tondela | 34 | -28 | 28 | — |
| 18 |  AVS | 35 | -40 | 22 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Moreirense 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
AVS 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
AVS
2/10Wins
0.9Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect AVS’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Moreirense
10 matchesResults2 wins · 3 draws · 5 losses
Goals scored per game0.8
Goals conceded per game1.6
Games with 3+ goals3 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
TondelaAway · Primeira Liga0–2EstrelaHome · Primeira Liga3–2BenficaAway · Primeira Liga1–4EstorilHome · Primeira Liga1–0FamalicaoAway · Primeira Liga1–1SC BragaHome · Primeira Liga0–1AroucaHome · Primeira Liga0–1FC PortoAway · Primeira Liga0–3NacionalHome · Primeira Liga1–1Casa PiaAway · Primeira Liga1–1
AVS
10 matchesResults2 wins · 6 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game0.9
Goals conceded per game1.0
Games with 3+ goals4 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
FC PortoHome · Primeira Liga3–1NacionalAway · Primeira Liga2–1Sporting CPHome · Primeira Liga1–1Rio AveAway · Primeira Liga2–2GuimaraesHome · Primeira Liga1–1GIL VicenteAway · Primeira Liga0–3TondelaAway · Primeira Liga0–0Santa ClaraHome · Primeira Liga0–1AlvercaAway · Primeira Liga0–0EstrelaHome · Primeira Liga0–0
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Moreirense at home with AVS away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 06:44 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Primeira Liga · 2025/26 · all league matches
MoreirenseAVS
32Matches played32
42Points earned17
12Wins2
1.2Goals scored / match0.8
1.5Goals conceded / match2.1
8Clean sheets4
9Failed to score17
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Moreirense at home with AVS away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Moreirense
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Vasco Costa
- 16
MikaG - 70
FabianoD - 4
Kevyn MonteiroD - 66
G. BatistaD - 27
KikoD - 23
N. JohnM - 21
RodriM - 2
TravassosM - 30
J. GowerM - 10
Kiko BondosoM - 99
Yan MaranhaoF
Substitutes (9)
13 · A. Ferreira
25 · A. Assis
7 · C. Teguia
11 · Alanzinho
9 · L. Semedo
8 · M. Stjepanovic
17 · A. Martinez
71 · L. Santos
78 · Landerson
AVS
Confirmed formation4-1-4-1Joao Henriques
- 93
SimaoG - 97
Mateus PivoD - 42
C. DevenishD - 3
Paulo VitorD - 12
D. RivasD - 70
RoniM - 11
T. AkinsolaM - 23
G. MendoncaM - 27
A. AlgobiaM - 21
G. NeivaM - 20
D. DuarteF
Substitutes (9)
1 · Adriel
88 · Trigueira
7 · Tomane
24 · Kiki
25 · A. Green
33 · A. Santos
26 · Ponck
19 · T. Galletto
14 · O. Perea
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Moreirense
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mika | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 31 | — |
| Fabiano Souza | 62 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 23 | — |
| Kevyn Monteiro | 90 | 7.5 | — | 0 | — | 84 | 1 |
| Gilberto Batista | 90 | 7.9 | — | 0 | — | 84 | 2 |
| Kiko | 62 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 25 | 1 |
| Nile John | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | 3 | 32 | 4 |
| Rodrigo Alonso | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 67 | 1 |
| Diogo Travassos | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 3 | 52 | — |
| Jimi Gower | 62 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 36 | 1 |
| Kiko Bondoso | 75 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 37 | — |
| Yan Maranhão | 76 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 17 | — |
| Leandro Santos | 28 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 18 | 1 |
| Álvaro Martínez | 28 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 12 | — |
| Alan | 28 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 9 | — |
| Cedric Teguia | 15 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 7 | — |
| Luís Semedo | 14 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 2 | — |
| André Ferreira | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mateja Stjepanović | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Afonso Assis | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Landerson | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
AVS
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Simão | 83 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 30 | — |
| Mateus Pivô | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 23 | 2 |
| Cristian Castro | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 34 | — |
| Paulo Vitor | 90 | 8.0 | — | 0 | — | 46 | 4 |
| Daniel Rivas | 90 | 7.7 | — | 0 | — | 31 | 1 |
| Roni | 85 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 27 | 3 |
| Tunde Akinsola | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 16 | 2 |
| Gustavo Mendonca | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 29 | 1 |
| Ángel Algobia | 73 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 28 | 3 |
| Guilherme Neiva | 83 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 13 | 1 |
| Diego Duarte | 73 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 12 | 1 |
| Tiago Galletto | 17 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 4 | 2 |
| Tomané | 17 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 7 | — |
| Pedro Trigueira | 13 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 2 | — |
| Andre Green | 13 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 1 | — |
| Kiki | 11 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 5 | — |
| Adriel | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ponck | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aderllan Santos | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Óscar Perea | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Moreirense | Draw | AVS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2.10 | 3.50 | 3.20 |
Snapshot from 16 May 2026, 12:40 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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