Tondela
2/10Wins
0.8Goals / game
1.5Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At home, 0 wins from 8 available matches.
Inspect Tondela’s results
Primeira LigaMatchweek 33THE MATCH CENTRETondela vs Moreirense match centre
90′ · Live
2:0
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
M. Aiko18′
Rony Lopes60′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate99.9%Tondela
Draw0.1%at full time
Current result estimate0.0%Moreirense
Another goal8.1%before full time
Next goal: Tondela 3.9% · no further goal 91.9% · Moreirense 4.2%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.TondelaMoreirense
1.390Expected goals · API-Football0.290
3Shots on target2
14Total Shots10
41%Ball Possession59%
1Corner Kicks7
12Fouls8
0Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
2Goalkeeper Saves1
360Total passes516
285Passes accurate447
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Primeira LigaProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 34 | +48 | 88 | — |
| 2 |  Sporting CP | 34 | +65 | 82 | — |
| 3 |  Benfica | 34 | +49 | 80 | — |
| 4 |  SC Braga | 34 | +28 | 59 | — |
| 5 |  Famalicao | 34 | +13 | 56 | — |
| 6 |  GIL Vicente | 34 | +9 | 50 | — |
| 7 |  Moreirense | 35 | -14 | 43 | — |
| 8 |  Guimaraes | 34 | -12 | 42 | ↑ 1 |
| 9 |  Arouca | 34 | -17 | 42 | ↓ 1 |
| 10 |  Estoril | 34 | -3 | 39 | — |
| 11 |  Alverca | 34 | -17 | 39 | — |
| 12 |  Santa Clara | 34 | -9 | 36 | ↑ 1 |
| 13 |  Rio Ave | 34 | -22 | 36 | ↓ 1 |
| 14 |  Nacional | 34 | -8 | 34 | — |
| 15 | Tondela | 35 | -26 | 31 | ↑ 2 |
| 16 |  Estrela | 34 | -18 | 30 | ↓ 1 |
| 17 |  Casa Pia | 34 | -26 | 30 | ↓ 1 |
| 18 |  AVS | 34 | -40 | 21 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Tondela 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Moreirense 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Moreirense
2/10Wins
0.8Goals / game
1.7Conceded / game
Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 7 available matches.
Inspect Moreirense’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Tondela
10 matchesResults2 wins · 4 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game0.8
Goals conceded per game1.5
Games with 3+ goals3 of 10
Both teams scored3 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Casa PiaAway · Primeira Liga1–0NacionalHome · Primeira Liga0–2FC PortoAway · Primeira Liga0–2GIL VicenteHome · Primeira Liga2–2GuimaraesAway · Primeira Liga0–5AVSHome · Primeira Liga0–0Rio AveHome · Primeira Liga0–1Santa ClaraHome · Primeira Liga2–2EstrelaAway · Primeira Liga2–0AlvercaHome · Primeira Liga1–1
Moreirense
10 matchesResults2 wins · 3 draws · 5 losses
Goals scored per game0.8
Goals conceded per game1.7
Games with 3+ goals4 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
EstrelaHome · Primeira Liga3–2BenficaAway · Primeira Liga1–4EstorilHome · Primeira Liga1–0FamalicaoAway · Primeira Liga1–1SC BragaHome · Primeira Liga0–1AroucaHome · Primeira Liga0–1FC PortoAway · Primeira Liga0–3NacionalHome · Primeira Liga1–1Casa PiaAway · Primeira Liga1–1Sporting CPHome · Primeira Liga0–3
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Tondela at home with Moreirense away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 03:56 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Primeira Liga · 2025/26 · all league matches
TondelaMoreirense
31Matches played32
22Points earned42
4Wins12
0.7Goals scored / match1.2
1.7Goals conceded / match1.5
5Clean sheets8
18Failed to score9
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Tondela at home with Moreirense away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Tondela
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Goncalo Feio
- 31
BernardoG - 48
T. MansoD - 44
J. SilvaD - 4
C. MarquesD - 27
R. ConceicaoD - 97
CiceroM - 32
J. RodriguezM - 7
Pedro MaranhaoM - 79
H. FelixM - 90
M. AikoM - 16
Rony LopesF
Substitutes (9)
1 · G. Souza
5 · J. Afonso
15 · S. Sithole
2 · Bebeto
23 · B. Kimpioka
10 · J. Hodge
8 · H. Tavares
29 · J. Siebatcheu
26 · A. van der Heide
Moreirense
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Vasco Costa
- 22
CaioG - 70
FabianoD - 4
Kevyn MonteiroD - 26
MaracasD - 27
KikoD - 8
M. StjepanovicM - 25
A. AssisM - 2
TravassosM - 23
N. JohnM - 10
Kiko BondosoM - 11
AlanzinhoF
Substitutes (9)
16 · Mika
66 · G. Batista
7 · C. Teguia
9 · L. Semedo
30 · J. Gower
17 · A. Martinez
99 · Yan Maranhao
71 · L. Santos
78 · Landerson
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Tondela
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bernardo Fontes | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 33 | — |
| Tiago Manso | 90 | 7.5 | — | 1 | — | 29 | 4 |
| João Silva | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 58 | 4 |
| Christian Marques | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 44 | — |
| Rodrigo Conceição | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 24 | 1 |
| Cicero | 72 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 41 | 1 |
| Juan Rodríguez | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 35 | — |
| Maranhão | 89 | 7.0 | — | 1 | 3 | 18 | 1 |
| Hugo Félix | 83 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 32 | 1 |
| Makan Aïko | 72 | 8.5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 1 |
| Rony Lopes | 72 | 7.9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 1 |
| Hélder Tavares | 18 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 4 | — |
| Joe Hodge | 18 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 8 | — |
| Benjamin Mbunga-Kimpioka | 18 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 1 | — |
| Jordan Siebatcheu | 11 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | — | — |
| João Afonso | 1 | — | — | 0 | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Souza | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bebeto | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Siphephelo Sithole | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Arjen Van Der Heide | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Moreirense
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caio Secco | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 27 | — |
| Fabiano Souza | 83 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 34 | 3 |
| Kevyn Monteiro | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 72 | 2 |
| Maracás | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 83 | — |
| Kiko | 72 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 57 | 2 |
| Mateja Stjepanović | 45 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 19 | 1 |
| Afonso Assis | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 62 | 2 |
| Diogo Travassos | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 48 | 5 |
| Nile John | 90 | 6.0 | — | 0 | 2 | 31 | 1 |
| Kiko Bondoso | 45 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 21 | 1 |
| Alan | 72 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 41 | 1 |
| Cedric Teguia | 45 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 20 | 1 |
| Luís Semedo | 45 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 4 | — |
| Landerson | 18 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 2 | 6 | — |
| Yan Maranhão | 18 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 4 | — |
| Leandro Santos | 11 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 9 | 1 |
| Mika | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gilberto Batista | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Álvaro Martínez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jimi Gower | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Tondela | Draw | Moreirense |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.90 | 3.40 | 4.10 |
Snapshot from 9 May 2026, 20:42 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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