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First LeagueMatchweek 29THE MATCH CENTRE

Spartak Varna vs Dobrudzha match centre

Spartak Varna badgeSpartak VarnaHome · 12 in league
WLLLL
Momentum↘ Falling14/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
1:0
UK time · Europe/London
Dobrudzha badgeDobrudzhaAway · 13 in league
LWLLD
Momentum→ Steady26/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
G. Stojanovski34′
Stadion Spartak · VarnaSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate95.4%Spartak Varna
Draw4.5%at full time
Current result estimate0.1%Dobrudzha
Another goal8.2%before full time

Next goal: Spartak Varna 3.5% · no further goal 91.8% · Dobrudzha 4.6%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
Spartak VarnaDobrudzha
4Corner Kicks3
17Fouls12
3Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards0
4Goalkeeper Saves1
272Total passes414
205Passes accurate333

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

IF THE SCORE HOLDS

Provisional table

A PFG: Regular season

Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.

#TeamPGDPtsMove
1Levski Sofia30+4270—
2Ludogorets30+3760—
3CSKA 194830+1959—
4CSKA Sofia30+2056—
5Lokomotiv Plovdiv30-346—
6Cherno More Varna30+744—
7Arda Kardzhali30+644—
8Botev Plovdiv30+340—
9Slavia Sofia30+339—
10Botev Vratsa30-238—
11Lokomotiv Sofia30+137—
12Spartak Varna31-2430—
13Dobrudzha31-2126—
14Septemvri Sofia30-3326—
15Beroe30-2523—
16Montana30-3017—
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Spartak Varna 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Dobrudzha 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Spartak Varna

2/10Wins
0.8Goals / game
2.1Conceded / game

Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At home, 2 wins from 5 available matches.

Inspect Spartak Varna’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Dobrudzha

4/10Wins
1.0Goals / game
1.2Conceded / game

Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 6 available matches.

Inspect Dobrudzha’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Spartak Varna at home with Dobrudzha away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 02:37 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

First League · 2025/26 · all league matches

Spartak VarnaDobrudzha
28Matches played28
23Points earned26
4Wins7
0.9Goals scored / match0.9
1.8Goals conceded / match1.4
6Clean sheets6
10Failed to score13

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Spartak Varna at home with Dobrudzha away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

5 recorded meetings

Spartak Varna

3wins
0 draws

Dobrudzha

2wins

Jul 2023 – Nov 2025 · Past results, not a forecast.

Scores shown with Spartak Varna first; venues vary.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Spartak Varna

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Gjoko Hadzievski
  1. 1P. RibeiroG
  2. 20D. LozevD
  3. 44A. GranchovD
  4. 5D. KrastevD
  5. 2B. IvanovD
  6. 88D. YordanovM
  7. 29TailsonM
  8. 10Jota LopesM
  9. 90G. StojanovskiM
  10. 21Xande
  11. 9T. ChunchukovF
Substitutes (9)

89 · V. Dimitrov

3 · M. Juric-Petrasilo

6 · E. John

7 · P. Prindzhev

8 · D. Ivanov

13 · Tales

17 · T. Marinov

18 · S. Moukachar

50 · M. Georgiev

Dobrudzha

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Yasen Petrov
  1. 13G. GrigorovG
  2. 15B. KostovD
  3. 98I. MihaylovD
  4. 72V. OliveiraD
  5. 37V. KerchevD
  6. 35D. LovricM
  7. 88D. MadalenoM
  8. 8A. AngelovM
  9. 10T. Costa SilvaM
  10. 7A. IvanovM
  11. 9Valdumar
Substitutes (9)

69 · P. Pepelyashev

3 · D. Pirgov

20 · A. Ramadan

27 · M. Triki

30 · G. Carvalho

45 · D. Hasan

77 · Matheus Leoni

82 · D. Ressurreicao

99 · G. Trifonov

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Spartak Varna

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Pedro Victor907.600—60
Deyan Lozev676.700—200
Angel Granchov907.200—401
Dimo Krastev907.000—280
Boris Ivanov906.900—300
Damyan Yordanov786.900—240
Tailson906.700—240
Jota Lopes907.300—270
Georg Stojanovski906.7101170
Xandy907.2001310
Tsvetelin Chunchukov676.901290
Martin Georgiev286.600—50
Emmanuel John286.600—40
Tsvetoslav Marinov176.700—30
Petar Prindzhev5—00—10
Mateo Jurić-Petrašilo5—00—30

Dobrudzha

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Galin Grigorov907.200—220
Bogdan Kostov906.7001350
Ivaylo Mihaylov816.600—370
Vasco Oliveira907.900—610
Ventsislav Kerchev907.000—410
Di Mateo Lovrić906.9002580
Diogo Madaleno466.500—140
Angel Angelov626.7001180
Tomás Silva786.9001350
Anton Ivanov626.6001160
Valdu Te906.9001180
Montassar Triki496.300—300
Diogo Ressurreição336.9001110
Matheus Leoni336.600—120
Aykut Ramadan176.700—30
Georgi Trifonov146.700—30
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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