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First LeagueMatchweek 30THE MATCH CENTRE

Cherno More Varna vs CSKA 1948 match centre

Cherno More Varna badgeCherno More VarnaHome · 6 in league
DWWLL
Momentum↘ Falling42/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
0:4
UK time · Europe/London
CSKA 1948 badgeCSKA 1948Away · 3 in league
WDWWL
Momentum↘ Falling63/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
E. Franco7′
B. Sobrero24′
M. Diallo42′ (pen)
A. Iliev81′
Ticha · VarnaSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate0.0%Cherno More Varna
Draw0.0%at full time
Current result estimate100.0%CSKA 1948
Another goal8.1%before full time

Next goal: Cherno More Varna 3.7% · no further goal 91.9% · CSKA 1948 4.4%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
Cherno More VarnaCSKA 1948
2Corner Kicks4
16Fouls7
4Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards0
1Goalkeeper Saves2
459Total passes468
368Passes accurate383

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

IF THE SCORE HOLDS

Provisional table

A PFG: Regular season

Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.

#TeamPGDPtsMove
1Levski Sofia30+4270—
2CSKA 194831+2362↑ 1
3Ludogorets30+3760↓ 1
4CSKA Sofia30+2056—
5Lokomotiv Plovdiv30-346—
6Arda Kardzhali30+644↑ 1
7Cherno More Varna31+344↓ 1
8Botev Plovdiv30+340—
9Slavia Sofia30+339—
10Botev Vratsa30-238—
11Lokomotiv Sofia30+137—
12Spartak Varna30-2527—
13Dobrudzha30-2026—
14Septemvri Sofia30-3326—
15Beroe30-2523—
16Montana30-3017—
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Cherno More Varna 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

CSKA 1948 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

AWAY PERSPECTIVE

CSKA 1948

5/10Wins
1.4Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game

Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At away venues, 5 wins from 8 available matches.

Inspect CSKA 1948’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Cherno More Varna at home with CSKA 1948 away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 03:33 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

First League · 2025/26 · all league matches

Cherno More VarnaCSKA 1948
29Matches played29
44Points earned56
11Wins17
1.2Goals scored / match1.6
0.8Goals conceded / match1.1
14Clean sheets11
9Failed to score7

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Cherno More Varna at home with CSKA 1948 away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Cherno More Varna

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Ilian Iliev
  1. 81K. TomovG
  2. 2T. PanovD
  3. 3Z. AtanasovD
  4. 4R. StefanovD
  5. 15D. Martin
  6. 10A. ChandarovM
  7. 24D. TelesM
  8. 9J. PadillaM
  9. 71V. PanayotovM
  10. 23D. TonevM
  11. 77C. SidneyF
Substitutes (9)

70 · A. Manasiev

16 · A. Calcan

8 · A. Donchev

29 · B. Beyhan

28 · V. Drobarov

50 · E. Tombak

26 · Joao Bandaro

39 · N. Zlatev

22 · N. Kostadinov

CSKA 1948

Confirmed formation4-4-2Aleksandar Aleksandrov
  1. 13D. SheytanovG
  2. 96D. GrivicD
  3. 6E. ParkhomenkoD
  4. 21L. DvaliD
  5. 22O. GasevicD
  6. 23F. KrebsM
  7. 8Y. MagninM
  8. 34P. VitanovM
  9. 20B. Sobrero
  10. 93M. Diallo
  11. 77E. FrancoF
Substitutes (8)

1 · P. Marinov

4 · A. Hoffmann

9 · A. Iliev

87 · A. David

14 · K. Strinski

19 · M. Boychev

67 · Frederic

3 · J. Carrion

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Cherno More Varna

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Kristian Tomov905.600—180
Tsvetomir Panov906.300—381
Zhivko Atanasov906.600—661
Rosen Stefanov905.600—690
Dani Martín906.000—540
Asen Chandarov496.300—250
David Teles496.2001230
Jorge Padilla906.2001360
Vasil Panayotov906.2001300
Dimitar Tonev496.000—180
Celso Sidney495.900—90
Asen Donchev487.2002220
Andreas Calcan486.000—80
Nikolay Zlatev487.0001190
Berk Beyhan486.200—211
Nikolay Petrov Kostadinov3—00—00

CSKA 1948

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Dimitar Sheytanov907.200—380
Dragan Grivić906.900—420
Egor Parkhomenko907.600—631
Lasha Dvali907.301—580
Ognjen Gašević907.9001460
Florian Krebs647.000—281
Yohann Magnin416.500—200
Petar Vitanov756.300—270
Brian Sobrero908.5101571
Mamadou Diallo758.5103131
Elias Franco757.7104191
Marto Boychev566.700—150
Jean David Aka336.900—180
Andre Hoffmann226.600—110
Frederic Maciel227.301—80
Atanas Iliev227.510150
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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