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World CupGroup Stage - 3THE MATCH CENTRE

Tunisia vs Netherlands match centre

Tunisia badgeTunisiaHome · 4 in league
DLLLL
Momentum↓ Low5/100OlderLatest
Full time
1:3
UK time · Europe/London
Netherlands badgeNetherlandsAway · 1 in league
DLWDW
Momentum↗ Rising58/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
H. Mastouri54′
E. Skhiri3′ (og)
B. Brobbey7′
J. P. van Hecke62′
Arrowhead Stadium · Kansas CitySeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
TunisiaNetherlands
4Corner Kicks6
11Fouls10
0Yellow Cards0
0Red Cards0
4Goalkeeper Saves3
—Total passes—
—Passes accurate—

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Tunisia 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Netherlands 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Tunisia

3/10Wins
1.2Goals / game
2.1Conceded / game

Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At home, 3 wins from 6 available matches.

Inspect Tunisia’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Netherlands

7/10Wins
2.7Goals / game
0.9Conceded / game

Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 3 available matches.

Inspect Netherlands’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Tunisia at home with Netherlands away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 00:22 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

World Cup · 2026/27 · all league matches

TunisiaNetherlands
1Matches played1
0Points earned1
0Wins0
1.0Goals scored / match2.0
5.0Goals conceded / match2.0
0Clean sheets0
0Failed to score0

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Tunisia at home with Netherlands away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Tunisia

Confirmed formationPending
  1. 16A. DahmenG
  2. 20Y. ValeryD
  3. 3M. TalbiD
  4. 17E. SkhiriD
  5. 21M. Ben HamidaD
  6. 2A. AbdiD
  7. 25A. SlimaneM
  8. 11I. GharbiM
  9. 13R. KhediraM
  10. 10H. MejbriM
  11. 9H. MastouriF
Substitutes (13)

22 · S. Ben Hessen

1 · A. Chamakh

19 · F. Chaouat

26 · S. Tounekti

7 · E. Achouri

8 · E. Saad

15 · M. Belhadj

14 · K. Ayari

24 · R. Chikhaoui

18 · R. Elloumi

12 · M. Ben Ouanes

6 · D. Bronn

4 · O. Rekik

Netherlands

Confirmed formation4-3-3Ronald Koeman
  1. 1B. VerbruggenG
  2. 22D. DumfriesD
  3. 6J. P. van HeckeD
  4. 4V. van DijkD
  5. 5N. AkeD
  6. 8R. GravenberchM
  7. 21F. de JongM
  8. 14T. ReijndersM
  9. 18D. MalenF
  10. 19B. BrobbeyF
  11. 11C. GakpoF
Substitutes (15)

23 · M. Flekken

13 · R. Roefs

10 · M. Depay

9 · W. Weghorst

26 · Q. Timber

24 · C. Summerville

12 · M. Wieffer

15 · M. van de Ven

3 · M. De Roon

20 · T. Koopmeiners

7 · J. Kluivert

16 · G. Til

17 · N. Lang

2 · L. Geertruida

25 · J. Hato

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Tunisia

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Aymen Dahmen907.3—0—24—
Yan Valery906.2—0—291
Montassar Talbi906.0—0—271
Ellyes Skhiri907.2—0—37—
Amine Ben Hmida686.2—0—174
Ali Abdi906.5—01203
Anis Ben Slimane686.2—018—
Ismael Gharbi757.0—02244
Rani Khedira676.2—0—131
Hannibal Mejbri907.0—11321
Hazem Mastouri897.91039—
Mohamed Belhadj Mahmoud236.7—0—5—
Mortadha Ben Ouanes226.6—0—51
Elias Achouri226.7—0141
Firas Chaouat156.5—0—1—
Sebastian Tounekti1——0—3—
Sabri Ben Hessen———————
Abdelmouhib Chamakh———————
Dylan Bronn———————
Raed Chikhaoui———————
Omar Rekik———————
Rayan Elloumi———————
Elias Saad———————
Khalil Ayari———————

Netherlands

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Bart Verbruggen906.3—0—18—
Denzel Dumfries905.9—03681
Jan Paul van Hecke909.21021332
Virgil van Dijk908.0—111061
Nathan Aké906.7—01721
Ryan Gravenberch906.9—01491
Frenkie de Jong726.9—0—651
Tijjani Reijnders727.3—1328—
Donyell Malen726.6—0220—
Brian Brobbey777.310171
Cody Gakpo846.2—0128—
Teun Koopmeiners186.9—0—20—
Justin Kluivert186.7—0—6—
Crysencio Summerville186.3—0—10—
Memphis Depay136.3—0—5—
Noa Lang126.7—0—12—
Robin Roefs———————
Mark Flekken———————
Jorrel Hato———————
Mats Wieffer———————
Micky van de Ven———————
Lutsharel Geertruida———————
Quinten Timber———————
Guus Til———————
Marten de Roon———————
Wout Weghorst———————
2026/27 STANDINGS

World Cup table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Group F. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Netherlands321010467
LWWD
2Japan31207345
LDWD
3Sweden31117704
LDLW
4Tunisia3003212-100
LLL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerTunisiaDrawNetherlands
Bet36526.009.501.09

Snapshot from 24 Jun 2026, 20:04 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

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