F. AmuzuInactive
Reported out
Serie AMatchweek 28THE MATCH CENTREGremio vs Palmeiras match centre
Full time
0:0
UK time · Europe/LondonTHE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Out of date · Calculated 20 Sep 13:12 UK.
Odds updated 20 Sep 13:01 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 9 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
GremioPalmeiras
—Expected goals · API-Football—
4Shots on target8
7Total Shots29
28%Ball Possession72%
2Corner Kicks9
19Fouls13
5Yellow Cards5
0Red Cards0
8Goalkeeper Saves4
235Total passes609
170Passes accurate534
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Gremio 3 reported
DodiKnee Injury
Reported out
MarlonInactive
Reported out
Palmeiras 3 reported
JefteKnee Injury
Reported out
MuriloYellow Cards
Reported out
PaulinhoMuscle Injury
Reported outFetched 20 Sep, 10:20 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Gremio
4/10Wins
1.2Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game
Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At home, 5 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Gremio’s resultsPalmeiras
5/10Wins
1.6Goals / game
0.8Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 4 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Palmeiras’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Gremio
10 matchesResults4 wins · 1 draws · 5 losses
Goals scored per game1.2
Goals conceded per game1.3
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
BotafogoAway · Serie A2–3Vasco DA GamaHome · Serie A1–2VitoriaAway · Serie A0–1InternacionalHome · Copa Do Brasil3–1Chapecoense-scHome · Serie A3–1InternacionalAway · Copa Do Brasil0–0RB BragantinoAway · Serie A0–1Atletico-MGAway · Serie A0–3Sao PauloHome · Serie A2–1MirassolHome · Copa Do Brasil1–0
Palmeiras
10 matchesResults5 wins · 3 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game1.6
Goals conceded per game0.8
Games with 3+ goals4 of 10
Both teams scored4 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
LDU de QuitoAway · CONMEBOL Libertadores2–3Sao PauloHome · Serie A2–0LDU de QuitoHome · CONMEBOL Libertadores1–0BotafogoAway · Serie A0–0SantosAway · Copa Do Brasil0–0MirassolAway · Serie A1–1SantosHome · Copa Do Brasil3–0Vasco DA GamaHome · Serie A4–1Cerro PortenoAway · CONMEBOL Libertadores1–0FluminenseAway · Serie A2–3
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Gremio at home with Palmeiras away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 09:48 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Serie A · 2026/27 · all league matches
GremioPalmeiras
26Matches played27
28Points earned56
7Wins16
1.1Goals scored / match1.7
1.4Goals conceded / match0.8
5Clean sheets11
9Failed to score3
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Gremio at home with Palmeiras away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
4 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Gremio
1wins4MEETINGS
Palmeiras
3winsNov 2024 – Apr 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.
Scores shown with Gremio first; venues vary.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Gremio
Confirmed formation3-4-3Renato Gaúcho
- 1
WevertonG - 6
Gustavo MartinsD - 2
F. BalbuenaD - 82
WallaceD - 18
João PedroM - 20
M. VillasantiM - 8
E. NoriegaM - 54
Pedro GabrielM - 7
C. PavónF - 95
Carlos ViníciusF - 9
F. AmuzuF
Substitutes (12)
77 · Jovane Cabral
22 · M. Braithwaite
50 · Bernardo Zortea
15 · Danilo Barbosa
99 · J. Enamorado
12 · Gabriel Grando
10 · F. Krovinović
43 · Luis Eduardo
14 · Marcos Rocha
30 · Matheus Nascimento
11 · Tetê
3 · Wagner Leonardo
Palmeiras
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Abel Ferreira
- 1
Carlos MiguelG - 4
A. GiayD - 15
G. GómezD - 2
A. BarbozaD - 22
J. PiquerezD - 30
Lucas EvangelistaM - 17
Marlon FreitasM - 11
J. AriasM - 8
Andreas PereiraM - 42
J. LópezM - 9
Vitor RoqueF
Substitutes (12)
3 · Bruno Fuchs
7 · Felipe Anderson
39 · Heittor
12 · Khellven
48 · Larson
50 · Luis Felipe
14 · Marcelo Lomba
32 · E. Martínez
18 · Maurício
19 · R. Sosa
56 · Arthur
43 · Benedetti
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Gremio
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Amuzu | 69 | 6.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 1 |
| Weverton | 90 | 8.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 0 |
| Wagner Leonardo | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tetê | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Matheus Nascimento | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Marcos Rocha | 9 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| Luis Eduardo | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| F. Krovinović | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Gabriel Grando | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| J. Enamorado | 22 | 6.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| Danilo Barbosa | 45 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 0 |
| Jovane Cabral | 21 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
| Bernardo Zortea | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Wallace | 90 | 7.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 3 |
| M. Villasanti | 90 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 2 |
| Pedro Gabriel | 90 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 3 |
| C. Pavón | 68 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 0 |
| E. Noriega | 45 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 0 |
| João Pedro | 81 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 0 |
| Gustavo Martins | 90 | 5.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 1 |
| F. Balbuena | 90 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 0 |
| Carlos Vinícius | 74 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 0 |
| M. Braithwaite | 16 | 6.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Palmeiras
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benedetti | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Bruno Fuchs | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Felipe Anderson | 18 | 6.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 |
| Heittor | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Khellven | 2 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 |
| Larson | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Luis Felipe | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Marcelo Lomba | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| E. Martínez | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Maurício | 11 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 1 |
| R. Sosa | 18 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
| Arthur | 11 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 |
| Vitor Roque | 72 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 1 |
| J. Piquerez | 79 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 2 |
| Marlon Freitas | 90 | 7.2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 126 | 3 |
| Lucas Evangelista | 90 | 7.1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 89 | 2 |
| J. López | 90 | 7.2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 1 |
| G. Gómez | 90 | 7.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 58 | 1 |
| A. Giay | 88 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 60 | 0 |
| A. Barboza | 90 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 55 | 0 |
| J. Arias | 72 | 7.3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 53 | 0 |
| Andreas Pereira | 79 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 42 | 1 |
| Carlos Miguel | 90 | 7.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 0 |
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Serie A table
Current standings · Serie A. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 55 | 23 | 32 | 60 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 28 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 47 | 21 | 26 | 57 | DWDDW |
| 3 |  Atletico Paranaense | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 49 | WDLDW |
| 4 |  Fluminense | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 44 | 36 | 8 | 48 | WLWDW |
| 5 |  Bahia | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 46 | LWWWW |
| 6 |  Cruzeiro | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 45 | WLWLW |
| 7 |  Atletico-MG | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 40 | DWLWD |
| 8 |  Santos | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 38 | WWWWD |
| 9 |  Coritiba | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 37 | 43 | -6 | 38 | LDLWW |
| 10 |  RB Bragantino | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 36 | LDLLW |
| 11 |  Sao Paulo | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 36 | WLWWL |
| 12 |  Botafogo | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 35 | LWDDL |
| 13 |  Vitoria | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 28 | 42 | -14 | 33 | LDWLL |
| 14 |  Corinthians | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 29 | 32 | -3 | 32 | LLLLL |
| 15 |  Mirassol | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 32 | WDWLD |
| 16 |  Vasco DA Gama | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 31 | WWLWL |
| 17 | Gremio | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 29 | DLLLW |
| 18 |  Internacional | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 30 | 36 | -6 | 28 | LWLLD |
| 19 |  Remo | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 32 | 47 | -15 | 23 | LLLLL |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 29 | 53 | -24 | 18 | DLWLW |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Gremio | Draw | Palmeiras |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 3.80 | 3.40 | 1.85 |
| Bet365 | 4.10 | 3.60 | 1.85 |
| Marathonbet | 3.92 | 3.54 | 1.86 |
| Betfair | 4.20 | 3.50 | 1.85 |
| BetVictor | 4.00 | 3.60 | 1.87 |
Snapshot from 20 Sep 2026, 13:01 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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