Pachuca
5/9Wins
1.4Goals / game
0.8Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 4 wins from 6 available matches.
Inspect Pachuca’s results
Liga MXClausura - 10THE MATCH CENTREPachuca vs Puebla match centre
90′ · Live
2:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
V. Guzman74′
E. Valencia87′
J. R. Pachuca Martinez78′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate94.8%Pachuca
Draw5.1%at full time
Current result estimate0.1%Puebla
Another goal7.5%before full time
Next goal: Pachuca 2.2% · no further goal 92.5% · Puebla 5.3%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.PachucaPuebla
1.370Expected goals · API-Football0.410
3Shots on target5
19Total Shots8
40%Ball Possession60%
2Corner Kicks4
10Fouls9
3Yellow Cards4
1Red Cards0
4Goalkeeper Saves1
336Total passes519
285Passes accurate445
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Liga MX, Clausura 2026Provisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 17 | +17 | 36 | — |
| 2 |  Guadalajara Chivas | 17 | +16 | 36 | — |
| 3 | CF Pachuca | 18 | +7 | 34 | ↑ 1 |
| 4 |  Cruz Azul | 17 | +13 | 33 | ↓ 1 |
| 5 |  Toluca | 17 | +12 | 30 | — |
| 6 |  Atlas | 17 | -2 | 26 | — |
| 7 |  Tigres UANL | 17 | +10 | 25 | — |
| 8 |  Club America | 17 | +3 | 25 | — |
| 9 |  Club Tijuana | 17 | +2 | 23 | — |
| 10 |  Leon | 17 | -10 | 22 | — |
| 11 |  Club Queretaro | 17 | -4 | 20 | — |
| 12 |  FC Juarez | 17 | -6 | 19 | — |
| 13 |  Monterrey | 17 | -2 | 18 | — |
| 14 |  Atletico San Luis | 17 | -3 | 18 | — |
| 15 |  Necaxa | 17 | -6 | 18 | — |
| 16 |  Mazatlán | 17 | -15 | 15 | — |
| 17 |  Puebla | 18 | -14 | 13 | — |
| 18 |  Santos Laguna | 17 | -18 | 12 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Pachuca 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Puebla 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Puebla
2/9Wins
0.8Goals / game
1.7Conceded / game
Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 4 available matches.
Inspect Puebla’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Pachuca
9 matchesResults5 wins · 2 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game1.4
Goals conceded per game0.8
Games with 3+ goals4 of 9
Both teams scored4 of 9
Past results, not predictions.
Puebla
9 matchesResults2 wins · 2 draws · 5 losses
Goals scored per game0.8
Goals conceded per game1.7
Games with 3+ goals5 of 9
Both teams scored3 of 9
Past results, not predictions.
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Pachuca at home with Puebla away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 02:47 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Liga MX · 2025/26 · all league matches
PachucaPuebla
28Matches played26
42Points earned23
12Wins6
1.3Goals scored / match1.1
1.1Goals conceded / match2.1
7Clean sheets5
10Failed to score11
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Pachuca at home with Puebla away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Pachuca
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Jaime Lozano
- 25
C. MorenoG - 14
C. SanchezD - 4
Eduardo BauermannD - 2
S. D. BarretoD - 12
B. A. Garcia CaprizoD - 188
S. Rodriguez - 16
C. RiveraM - 29
KenedyM - 18
A. DominguezM - 11
O. IdrissiM - 23
S. RondonF
Substitutes (10)
31 · J. Eulogio
7 · L. Quinones
21 · R. Lopez
13 · J. Berlanga
10 · E. Valencia
8 · V. Guzman
5 · P. Pedraza
26 · A. Bautista
184 · C. Alfaro
267 · C. Hernandez
Puebla
Confirmed formation5-3-2Martin Bravo
- 28
D. GutierrezG - 12
I. MorenoD - 20
J. R. Pachuca MartinezD - 4
J. VargasD - 6
N. DiazD - 7
F. MonarrezD - 26
K. VelascoM - 3
L. ReyM - 16
A. RamirezM - 11
E. GomezF - 15
E. GuerraF
Substitutes (10)
33 · J. Rodriguez
25 · A. Canelo
27 · B. Garnica
32 · A. Araos
22 · C. Baltazar
24 · A. Organista
17 · E. Lozano
21 · O. Gonzalez
18 · A. Gamarra
192 · E. Navarro
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Pachuca
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Moreno | 90 | 7.5 | — | 0 | — | 30 | — |
| Carlos Sánchez | 20 | 3.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 11 | — |
| Eduardo Bauermann | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 31 | 1 |
| Sergio Barreto | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 42 | — |
| Brian García | 90 | 7.3 | — | 1 | — | 56 | — |
| Sergio Rodríguez | 69 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 23 | 7 |
| Christian Rivera | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 43 | 5 |
| Kenedy | 86 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 5 | 26 | 1 |
| Alexei Domínguez | 86 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 26 | 1 |
| Oussama Idrissi | 60 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 31 | 2 |
| Salomón Rondón | 69 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 2 | 15 | 1 |
| Víctor Guzmán | 30 | 7.2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 1 |
| René López | 21 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 2 | — |
| Enner Valencia | 21 | 7.7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | — |
| Alan Bautista | 14 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 3 | — |
| Luis Quiñones | 14 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 3 | 1 |
| Jose Eulogio | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cristobal Alfaro | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jorge Berlanga | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pedro Pedraza | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cristóbal Hernández | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Puebla
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ricardo Gutierrez | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 35 | — |
| Iker Moreno | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 54 | 2 |
| Jose Pachuca | 90 | 7.6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 83 | 2 |
| Juan Pablo Vargas | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 71 | 1 |
| Nicolás Díaz | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 91 | 3 |
| Fernando Monarrez | 90 | 5.9 | — | 0 | — | 26 | 1 |
| Kevin Velasco | 61 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 2 | 33 | 1 |
| Luis Gabriel Rey | 45 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 30 | 1 |
| Alonso Ramirez | 88 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 43 | 4 |
| Emiliano Gómez | 61 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 4 | — |
| Edgar Guerra | 76 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 18 | 2 |
| Alejandro Organista | 45 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 25 | — |
| Carlos Baltazar | 29 | 6.9 | — | 1 | 1 | 13 | 1 |
| Esteban Lozano | 29 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 6 | — |
| Alexis Canelo | 14 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 2 | — |
| Owen González | 12 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 1 | — |
| Jesús Rodríguez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Eduardo Navarro | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ángelo Araos | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bryan Garnica | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ariel Gamarra | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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