Puebla
2/10Wins
0.9Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At home, 1 wins from 6 available matches.
Inspect Puebla’s results
Liga MXClausura - 14THE MATCH CENTREPuebla vs Leon match centre
90′ · Live
0:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
I. Diaz72′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate0.0%Puebla
Draw2.3%at full time
Current result estimate97.7%Leon
Another goal7.3%before full time
Next goal: Puebla 2.4% · no further goal 92.7% · Leon 4.9%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.PueblaLeon
0.600Expected goals · API-Football1.310
1Shots on target3
16Total Shots13
46%Ball Possession54%
7Corner Kicks8
15Fouls15
3Yellow Cards1
1Red Cards0
2Goalkeeper Saves1
360Total passes425
297Passes accurate366
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Liga MX, Clausura 2026Provisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 17 | +17 | 36 | — |
| 2 |  Guadalajara Chivas | 17 | +16 | 36 | — |
| 3 |  Cruz Azul | 17 | +13 | 33 | — |
| 4 |  CF Pachuca | 17 | +6 | 31 | — |
| 5 |  Toluca | 17 | +12 | 30 | — |
| 6 |  Atlas | 17 | -2 | 26 | — |
| 7 |  Tigres UANL | 17 | +10 | 25 | — |
| 8 |  Club America | 17 | +3 | 25 | — |
| 9 |  Leon | 18 | -9 | 25 | ↑ 1 |
| 10 |  Club Tijuana | 17 | +2 | 23 | ↓ 1 |
| 11 |  Club Queretaro | 17 | -4 | 20 | — |
| 12 |  FC Juarez | 17 | -6 | 19 | — |
| 13 |  Monterrey | 17 | -2 | 18 | — |
| 14 |  Atletico San Luis | 17 | -3 | 18 | — |
| 15 |  Necaxa | 17 | -6 | 18 | — |
| 16 |  Mazatlán | 17 | -15 | 15 | — |
| 17 | Puebla | 18 | -14 | 13 | — |
| 18 |  Santos Laguna | 17 | -18 | 12 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Puebla 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Leon 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Leon
4/10Wins
1.1Goals / game
2.0Conceded / game
Keep in view: 6 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 6 available matches.
Inspect Leon’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Puebla
10 matchesResults2 wins · 4 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game0.9
Goals conceded per game1.3
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
Leon
10 matchesResults4 wins · 0 draws · 6 losses
Goals scored per game1.1
Goals conceded per game2.0
Games with 3+ goals7 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Puebla at home with Leon away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 02:46 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Liga MX · 2025/26 · all league matches
PueblaLeon
30Matches played30
25Points earned29
6Wins8
1.1Goals scored / match1.0
1.9Goals conceded / match1.9
6Clean sheets5
12Failed to score11
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Puebla at home with Leon away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Puebla
Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Martin Bravo
- 28
D. GutierrezG - 20
J. R. Pachuca MartinezD - 4
J. VargasD - 192
E. NavarroD - 12
I. MorenoM - 16
A. RamirezM - 24
A. OrganistaM - 7
F. MonarrezM - 26
K. VelascoF - 11
E. GomezF - 25
A. CaneloF
Substitutes (10)
33 · J. Rodriguez
27 · B. Garnica
32 · A. Araos
17 · E. Lozano
21 · O. Gonzalez
18 · A. Gamarra
29 · E. Mustre
8 · M. Ramirez
3 · L. Rey
195 · A. de la Rosa
Leon
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Ignacio Ambriz
- 23
O. GarciaG - 7
I. MorenoD - 2
V. GauthierD - 21
S. BarreiroD - 26
S. ReyesD - 20
R. EcheverriaM - 29
I. RodriguezM - 8
J. P. Dominguez ChontecoM - 6
F. Beltran Cruz - 11
I. DiazM - 27
D. CambindoF
Substitutes (10)
1 · Garcia Jordan
18 · R. Funes Mori
16 · J. Cortizo
28 · D. Ramirez
4 · B. Colula
25 · P. Bellon
19 · A. Alvarado
22 · N. Vallejo
13 · D. Arcila
99 · E. Rodriguez
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Puebla
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ricardo Gutierrez | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 25 | — |
| Jose Pachuca | 84 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 38 | — |
| Juan Pablo Vargas | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 37 | — |
| Eduardo Navarro | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 43 | 4 |
| Iker Moreno | 78 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 31 | — |
| Alonso Ramirez | 70 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 31 | 4 |
| Alejandro Organista | 79 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 26 | 2 |
| Fernando Monarrez | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 44 | 3 |
| Kevin Velasco | 70 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 24 | — |
| Emiliano Gómez | 64 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 2 | 17 | 1 |
| Alexis Canelo | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 3 | 24 | — |
| Esteban Lozano | 26 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 2 | 3 | — |
| Luis Gabriel Rey | 20 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 12 | — |
| Owen González | 20 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 |
| Bryan Garnica | 12 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 9 | 2 |
| Ángelo Araos | 11 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 4 | — |
| Jesús Rodríguez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alvaro Burgos | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Eduardo Mustre | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Miguel Ramírez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ariel Gamarra | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Leon
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oscar García | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 32 | — |
| Iván Moreno | 77 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 44 | — |
| Valentin Gauthier | 90 | 7.5 | — | 0 | — | 53 | — |
| Stiven Barreiro | 45 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 39 | — |
| Salvador Reyes | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 33 | — |
| Rodrigo Echeverría | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 57 | 2 |
| José Rodríguez | 90 | 7.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 32 | 5 |
| Juan Dominguez | 60 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 25 | 1 |
| Fernando Beltrán | 60 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 28 | 1 |
| Ismael Díaz | 90 | 6.6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 30 | — |
| Diber Cambindo | 89 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 13 | — |
| Paul Bellón | 45 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 17 | — |
| Daniel Arcila | 30 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 20 | — |
| Emilio Rodriguez | 30 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 13 | 1 |
| Bryan Colula | 13 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 4 | — |
| Rogelio Funes Mori | 9 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 5 | — |
| Nicolás Vallejo | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jordan García | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| David Ramírez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jordi Cortizo | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| José Alvarado | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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