Skip to content
Liga MXClausura - 11THE MATCH CENTRE

Puebla vs Necaxa match centre

Puebla badgePueblaHome · 17 in league
DLWWL
Momentum→ Steady48/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
0:0
UK time · Europe/London
Necaxa badgeNecaxaAway · 15 in league
WLLLL
Momentum↘ Falling14/100OlderLatest
Estadio Cuauhtemoc · PueblaSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate5.4%Puebla
Draw92.8%at full time
Current result estimate1.8%Necaxa
Another goal7.3%before full time

Next goal: Puebla 5.5% · no further goal 92.7% · Necaxa 1.9%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
PueblaNecaxa
6Corner Kicks4
15Fouls17
4Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards1
1Goalkeeper Saves3
472Total passes302
412Passes accurate231

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

IF THE SCORE HOLDS

Provisional table

Liga MX, Clausura 2026

Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.

#TeamPGDPtsMove
1U.N.A.M. - Pumas17+1736—
2Guadalajara Chivas17+1636—
3Cruz Azul17+1333—
4CF Pachuca17+631—
5Toluca17+1230—
6Atlas17-226—
7Tigres UANL17+1025—
8Club America17+325—
9Club Tijuana17+223—
10Leon17-1022—
11Club Queretaro17-420—
12FC Juarez17-619—
13Necaxa18-619↑ 2
14Monterrey17-218↓ 1
15Atletico San Luis17-318↓ 1
16Mazatlán17-1515—
17Puebla18-1314—
18Santos Laguna17-1812—
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Puebla 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Necaxa 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Puebla

2/10Wins
0.8Goals / game
1.7Conceded / game

Keep in view: 6 losses in that sample. At home, 1 wins from 5 available matches.

Inspect Puebla’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Necaxa

4/10Wins
1.4Goals / game
1.6Conceded / game

Keep in view: 6 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 5 available matches.

Inspect Necaxa’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Puebla at home with Necaxa away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 04:19 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Liga MX · 2025/26 · all league matches

PueblaNecaxa
27Matches played27
23Points earned26
6Wins7
1.1Goals scored / match1.3
2.0Goals conceded / match1.8
5Clean sheets1
11Failed to score9

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Puebla at home with Necaxa away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Puebla

Confirmed formation5-3-2Martin Bravo
  1. 28D. GutierrezG
  2. 12I. MorenoD
  3. 20J. R. Pachuca MartinezD
  4. 4J. VargasD
  5. 192E. NavarroD
  6. 6N. DiazD
  7. 26K. VelascoM
  8. 3L. ReyM
  9. 16A. RamirezM
  10. 11E. GomezF
  11. 15E. GuerraF
Substitutes (10)

33 · J. Rodriguez

25 · A. Canelo

27 · B. Garnica

32 · A. Araos

22 · C. Baltazar

24 · A. Organista

17 · E. Lozano

21 · O. Gonzalez

18 · A. Gamarra

7 · F. Monarrez

Necaxa

Confirmed formation3-1-4-2Martin Varini
  1. 22E. UnsainG
  2. 26E. LaraD
  3. 33R. MartinezD
  4. 3A. OliverosD
  5. 5K. GutierrezM
  6. 7K. RoseroM
  7. 6D. LeyvaM
  8. 8L. FaravelliM
  9. 24F. RossanoM
  10. 35J. RuizF
  11. 9T. BadaloniF
Substitutes (10)

12 · L. Jimenez

188 · I. Tello

17 · R. Cortez

16 · C. Calderon

30 · R. Monreal

2 · E. Martinez

189 · B. Casas

197 · A. Moreno

20 · F. Mendez

232 · R. Alonso

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Puebla

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Ricardo Gutierrez907.2—0—29—
Iker Moreno716.9—0—35—
Jose Pachuca457.0—01253
Juan Pablo Vargas907.5—01562
Eduardo Navarro707.6—01303
Nicolás Díaz907.6—0—483
Kevin Velasco716.3—0—37—
Luis Gabriel Rey908.3—02752
Alonso Ramirez907.3—02392
Emiliano Gómez906.0—03261
Edgar Guerra856.9—0329—
Alejandro Organista456.9—0—292
Carlos Baltazar206.6—0—12—
Bryan Garnica196.9—0—11—
Esteban Lozano196.2—021—
Ángelo Araos126.6—0—61
Jesús Rodríguez———————
Fernando Monarrez———————
Ariel Gamarra———————
Owen González———————
Alexis Canelo———————

Necaxa

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Ezequiel Unsaín908.2—0—41—
Emilio Lara906.9—0—301
Raúl Martínez907.2—0133—
Agustín Oliveros907.0—0134—
Kevin Gutiérrez906.9—01474
Kevin Rosero605.6—0—151
Danny Leyva906.3—0128—
Lorenzo Faravelli906.6—0—301
Franco Rossano857.3—0—135
Javier Ruiz726.7—0117—
Tomás Badaloni905.6—0114—
Ricardo Monreal187.0—0—6—
Cristian Calderón126.6—0—1—
Luis Jimenez———————
Ricardo Alonso———————
Francisco Méndez———————
Emilio Martinez———————
Arath Moreno Martinez———————
Bryan Roque———————
Israel Tello———————
Rogelio Cortéz Pineda———————
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

PUT YOUR VIEW TO THE TEST

Try it with virtual funds

Open practice slip +

Start with £1,000 virtual funds. Choose a single or combine different matches in an accumulator, then track confirmed results. No real money. Record an actual bet in your manual journal ↗

Football data. A clearer perspective.Back to matches →