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Liga MXClausura - 15THE MATCH CENTRE

Guadalajara Chivas vs Puebla match centre

Guadalajara Chivas badgeGuadalajara ChivasHome · 2 in league
WWWDL
Momentum↘ Falling59/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
5:0
UK time · Europe/London
Puebla badgePueblaAway · 17 in league
LDLDL
Momentum↓ Low13/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
B. Gonzalez19′
R. Marin27′
B. Gutierrez51′
B. Gonzalez82′
H. Camberos84′
Estadio Akron · ZapopanSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate100.0%Guadalajara Chivas
Draw0.0%at full time
Current result estimate0.0%Puebla
Another goal8.0%before full time

Next goal: Guadalajara Chivas 4.9% · no further goal 92.0% · Puebla 3.1%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
Guadalajara ChivasPuebla
9Corner Kicks0
8Fouls10
0Yellow Cards1
—Red Cards—
1Goalkeeper Saves3
628Total passes308
571Passes accurate248

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

IF THE SCORE HOLDS

Provisional table

Liga MX, Clausura 2026

Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.

#TeamPGDPtsMove
1Guadalajara Chivas18+2139↑ 1
2U.N.A.M. - Pumas17+1736↓ 1
3Cruz Azul17+1333—
4CF Pachuca17+631—
5Toluca17+1230—
6Atlas17-226—
7Tigres UANL17+1025—
8Club America17+325—
9Club Tijuana17+223—
10Leon17-1022—
11Club Queretaro17-420—
12FC Juarez17-619—
13Monterrey17-218—
14Atletico San Luis17-318—
15Necaxa17-618—
16Mazatlán17-1515—
17Puebla18-1813—
18Santos Laguna17-1812—
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Guadalajara Chivas 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Puebla 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Puebla

2/10Wins
0.9Goals / game
1.4Conceded / game

Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 6 available matches.

Inspect Puebla’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Guadalajara Chivas at home with Puebla away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 02:04 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Liga MX · 2025/26 · all league matches

Guadalajara ChivasPuebla
33Matches played31
61Points earned25
19Wins6
1.8Goals scored / match1.1
1.3Goals conceded / match1.9
10Clean sheets6
7Failed to score13

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Guadalajara Chivas at home with Puebla away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Guadalajara Chivas

Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Gabriel Milito
  1. 1R. RangelG
  2. 23D. AguirreD
  3. 19D. Campillo Del CampoD
  4. 2J. CastilloD
  5. 10E. AlvarezM
  6. 7L. RomoM
  7. 11B. GutierrezM
  8. 5B. GonzalezM
  9. 25R. AlvaradoF
  10. 34A. GonzalezF
  11. 17R. MarinF
Substitutes (10)

13 · O. Whalley

4 · M. Tapias

28 · F. Gonzalez

24 · M. Gomez

31 · Y. Padilla

3 · G. Sepulveda

18 · J. Perez

26 · H. Camberos

67 · S. Aguayo

226 · S. Sandoval

Puebla

Confirmed formation5-4-1Martin Bravo
  1. 28D. GutierrezG
  2. 12I. MorenoD
  3. 192E. NavarroD
  4. 4J. VargasD
  5. 6N. DiazD
  6. 7F. MonarrezD
  7. 26K. VelascoM
  8. 16A. RamirezM
  9. 24A. OrganistaM
  10. 11E. GomezM
  11. 25A. CaneloF
Substitutes (10)

33 · J. Rodriguez

27 · B. Garnica

32 · A. Araos

22 · C. Baltazar

17 · E. Lozano

21 · O. Gonzalez

18 · A. Gamarra

5 · U. Torres

8 · M. Ramirez

3 · L. Rey

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Guadalajara Chivas

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Raúl Rangel906.9—0—34—
Daniel Aguirre906.6—01601
Diego Campillo907.5—0—992
José Castillo777.0—0—73—
Efrain Alvarez788.5—1269—
Luis Romo907.3—01914
Brian Gutierrez659.2112441
Bryan González908.9203401
Roberto Alvarado786.9—01542
Armando González907.2—1112—
Ricardo Marín567.010110—
Santiago Sandoval347.0—1—161
Fernando González256.6—0—26—
Hugo Camberos137.61016—
Jonathan Perez126.3—012—
Yael Padilla127.3—0191
Oscar Whalley———————
Miguel Gómez———————
Miguel Tapias———————
Gilberto Sepúlveda———————
Sergio Armando Aguayo Castillo———————

Puebla

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Ricardo Gutierrez906.3—0—36—
Iker Moreno605.6—0—25—
Eduardo Navarro795.6—0—201
Juan Pablo Vargas905.9—0—371
Nicolás Díaz905.3—0—30—
Fernando Monarrez905.0—0—18—
Kevin Velasco156.3—0—6—
Alonso Ramirez906.2—0—28—
Alejandro Organista606.7—01291
Emiliano Gómez906.2—01191
Alexis Canelo456.3—0—8—
Owen González756.0—0—221
Ariel Gamarra456.9—0—152
Luis Gabriel Rey306.3—0—151
Esteban Lozano306.3—014—
Bryan Garnica116.5—0—3—
Jesús Rodríguez———————
Ulises Torres———————
Carlos Baltazar———————
Miguel Ramírez———————
Ángelo Araos———————
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerGuadalajara ChivasDrawPuebla
Bet3651.256.0011.00

Snapshot from 18 Apr 2026, 21:04 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

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