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USA vs Belgium match centre

USA badgeUSAHome
WDWWW
Momentum↗ Rising89/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
2:5
UK time · Europe/London
Belgium badgeBelgiumAway
WDWDW
Momentum↑ Strong73/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
W. McKennie39′
P. Agyemang87′
Z. Debast45′
A. Onana53′
C. De Ketelaere59′ (pen)
D. Lukebakio68′
D. Lukebakio82′
Mercedes-Benz Stadium · AtlantaSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate0.0%USA
Draw0.0%at full time
Current result estimate100.0%Belgium
Another goal8.1%before full time

Next goal: USA 3.8% · no further goal 91.9% · Belgium 4.3%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
USABelgium
5Corner Kicks6
11Fouls20
2Yellow Cards0
—Red Cards—
5Goalkeeper Saves3
425Total passes373
365Passes accurate315

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

USA 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Belgium 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

USA

3/4Wins
2.8Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game

Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At home, 3 wins from 4 available matches.

Inspect USA’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Belgium

5/8Wins
3.6Goals / game
0.9Conceded / game

Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 4 available matches.

Inspect Belgium’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • At least one team has fewer than five usable recent results.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare USA at home with Belgium away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 01:06 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Friendlies · 2026/27 · all league matches

USABelgium
0Matches played0
0Points earned0
0Wins0
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
0Clean sheets0
0Failed to score0

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares USA at home with Belgium away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

1 recorded meetings

USA

0wins
0 draws

Belgium

1wins

Jul 2014 – Jul 2014 · Historical meetings. Squads and team strength have changed.

Scores shown with USA first; venues vary.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

USA

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Mauricio Pochettino
  1. 1M. TurnerG
  2. 21T. WeahD
  3. 22M. McKenzieD
  4. 13T. ReamD
  5. 5A. RobinsonD
  6. 15J. CardosoM
  7. 6T. TessmannM
  8. 8W. McKennieM
  9. 17M. TillmanM
  10. 10C. PulisicM
  11. 20F. BalogunF
Substitutes (14)

26 · C. Brady

24 · M. Freese

27 · P. Schulte

16 · A. Freeman

19 · J. Scally

2 · A. Trusty

11 · B. Aaronson

14 · S. Berhalter

23 · A. Morris

7 · G. Reyna

4 · C. Roldan

25 · P. Agyemang

18 · M. Arfsten

9 · R. Pepi

Belgium

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Rudi Garcia
  1. 1S. LammensG
  2. 15T. MeunierD
  3. 2Z. DebastD
  4. 4B. MecheleD
  5. 5M. De CuyperD
  6. 23N. RaskinM
  7. 24A. OnanaM
  8. 22A. SaelemaekersM
  9. 7K. De BruyneM
  10. 11J. DokuM
  11. 17C. De KetelaereF
Substitutes (14)

13 · M. Sels

12 · M. Vandevoordt

21 · T. Castagne

16 · K. De Winter

6 · A. Witsel

20 · N. Ngoy

18 · J. Seys

3 · A. Theate

25 · N. De Cat

8 · Y. Tielemans

26 · M. Godts

14 · D. Lukebakio

9 · L. Openda

19 · L. Stassin

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

USA

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Matt Turner906.3—0—23—
Timothy Weah646.2—01153
Mark McKenzie906.2—0—651
Tim Ream906.2—0—78—
Antonee Robinson646.9—11321
Johnny Cardoso456.6—0—131
Tanner Tessmann646.9—01222
Weston McKennie706.710222—
Malik Tillman717.0—0—272
Christian Pulišić716.7—0329—
Folarin Balogun716.3—0111—
Cristian Roldán456.9—0—232
Alexander Freeman266.2—0—161
Sebastian Berhalter266.3—0—181
Maximilian Arfsten266.6—0—151
Giovanni Reyna206.2—0—14—
Joseph Scally196.2—0—26—
Patrick Agyemang197.510210—
Ricardo Pepi196.9—1—2—
Chris Brady———————
Patrick Schulte———————
Matthew Freese———————
Auston Trusty———————
Aidan Morris———————
Brenden Aaronson———————

Belgium

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Senne Lammens906.6—0—36—
Thomas Meunier707.5—1—303
Zeno Debast627.710228—
Brandon Mechele626.9—0—33—
Maxim De Cuyper616.9—0—311
Nicolas Raskin706.6—0136—
Amadou Onana707.210126—
Alexis Saelemaekers627.6—13301
Kevin De Bruyne707.0—01241
Jérémy Doku707.2—02331
Charles De Ketelaere627.310114—
Joaquin Seys296.3—0—191
Nathan Ngoy286.7—0—221
Koni De Winter286.7—0—181
Dodi Lukebakio288.52029—
Loïs Openda286.3—013—
Timothy Castagne206.6—0—12—
Nathan De Cat206.5—0—8—
Axel Witsel206.5—0—141
Youri Tielemans204.9—0—111
Mika Godts207.3—0—82
Maarten Vandevoordt———————
Matz Sels———————
Arthur Theate———————
Lucas Stassin———————
2026/27 STANDINGS

Friendlies table

League centre ↗

Current standings. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

Standings are not available for this competition and season.

THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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