Red Bull Salzburg
3/10Wins
1.1Goals / game
1.1Conceded / game
Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At home, 3 wins from 8 available matches.
Inspect Red Bull Salzburg’s results
BundesligaChampionship Group - 30THE MATCH CENTRERed Bull Salzburg vs Sturm Graz match centre
83′ · Live
1:0
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
Y. Vertessen22′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
83′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate90.1%Red Bull Salzburg
Draw9.3%at full time
Current result estimate0.6%Sturm Graz
Another goal23.6%before full time
Next goal: Red Bull Salzburg 12.9% · no further goal 76.4% · Sturm Graz 10.6%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.Red Bull SalzburgSturm Graz
1.750Expected goals · API-Football1.320
8Shots on target1
14Total Shots12
44%Ball Possession56%
3Corner Kicks8
4Fouls7
0Yellow Cards1
—Red Cards—
1Goalkeeper Saves7
251Total passes321
175Passes accurate227
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Bundesliga , Championship RoundProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lask Linz | 32 | +14 | 39 | — |
| 2 |  Sturm Graz | 33 | +15 | 37 | — |
| 3 | Red Bull Salzburg | 33 | +16 | 32 | — |
| 4 |  Austria Vienna | 32 | -5 | 29 | — |
| 5 |  Rapid Vienna | 32 | -5 | 27 | — |
| 6 |  TSV Hartberg | 32 | 0 | 25 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Red Bull Salzburg 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Sturm Graz 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Sturm Graz
4/10Wins
1.6Goals / game
0.8Conceded / game
Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 7 available matches.
Inspect Sturm Graz’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Red Bull Salzburg
10 matchesResults3 wins · 2 draws · 5 losses
Goals scored per game1.1
Goals conceded per game1.1
Games with 3+ goals4 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Rapid ViennaAway · Bundesliga0–1Austria ViennaHome · Bundesliga3–1Austria ViennaAway · Bundesliga3–1Lask LinzHome · Bundesliga2–3TSV HartbergAway · Bundesliga2–1Sturm GrazAway · Bundesliga1–1Rapid ViennaHome · Bundesliga0–1Rapid ViennaAway · Bundesliga0–1SCR AltachHome · Cup0–1TSV HartbergHome · Bundesliga0–0
Sturm Graz
10 matchesResults4 wins · 6 draws · 0 losses
Goals scored per game1.6
Goals conceded per game0.8
Games with 3+ goals2 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Austria ViennaHome · Bundesliga1–1Lask LinzHome · Bundesliga1–1Lask LinzAway · Bundesliga1–1TSV HartbergHome · Bundesliga0–0Rapid ViennaAway · Bundesliga2–0Red Bull SalzburgHome · Bundesliga1–1Austria ViennaAway · Bundesliga5–2SCR AltachHome · Bundesliga2–0Wolfsberger ACAway · Bundesliga2–2FC BW LinzHome · Bundesliga1–0
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Red Bull Salzburg at home with Sturm Graz away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 02:21 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Bundesliga · 2025/26 · all league matches
Red Bull SalzburgSturm Graz
29Matches played29
47Points earned49
13Wins14
1.8Goals scored / match1.5
1.2Goals conceded / match1.1
5Clean sheets11
6Failed to score3
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Red Bull Salzburg at home with Sturm Graz away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
5 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Red Bull Salzburg
0wins5MEETINGS
Sturm Graz
3winsApr 2025 – Mar 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.
Scores shown with Red Bull Salzburg first; venues vary.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Red Bull Salzburg
Confirmed formation4-2-2-2Daniel Beichler
- 1
A. SchlagerG - 22
S. LainerD - 44
J. SchusterD - 21
T. DrexlerD - 13
F. KratzigD - 5
S. DiabateM - 14
M. KjaergaardM - 11
Y. VertessenM - 27
K. AlajbegovicM - 8
S. KitanoF - 9
K. OnisiwoF
Substitutes (9)
52 · C. Zawieschitzky
3 · A. Terzic
91 · A. Chase
24 · D. Redzic
19 · K. Konate
15 · M. Diambou
49 · M. K. Yeo
43 · E. Aguilar
20 · E. Baidoo
Sturm Graz
Confirmed formation4-1-3-2Fabio Ingolitsch
- 53
D. KhudyakovG - 22
J. GazibegovicD - 2
J. MitchellD - 5
A. VallciD - 17
E. KaricD - 4
J. Gorenc StankovicM - 43
J. HodlM - 15
G. MamageishviliM - 80
R. FossoM - 20
S. JattaF - 77
M. MaloneF
Substitutes (9)
40 · M. Bignetti
10 · O. Kiteishvili
39 · L. Weinhandl
25 · S. Hierlander
35 · N. Geyrhofer
30 · P. Koller
27 · G. Haider
9 · R. Wilson
11 · A. Kayombo
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Red Bull Salzburg
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Schlager | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 26 | — |
| Stefan Lainer | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 33 | 1 |
| Jannik Schuster | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 39 | 1 |
| Tim Drexler | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 21 | — |
| Frans Krätzig | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | 1 | 37 | 3 |
| Soumaïla Diabaté | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 31 | 3 |
| Yorbe Vertessen | 74 | 7.7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 1 |
| Sota Kitano | 87 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 5 | 22 | 1 |
| Maurits Kjaergaard | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 25 | 2 |
| Kerim Alajbegović | 80 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 2 | 16 | 2 |
| Karim Onisiwo | 80 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 10 | — |
| Edmund Baidoo | 16 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 4 | — |
| Moussa Kounfolo Yeo | 10 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 4 | — |
| Karim Konaté | 10 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 4 | — |
| Aleksa Terzić | 13 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 6 | — |
| Christian Zawieschitzky | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Anrie Chase | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Damir Redzic | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mamady Diambou | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Enrique Aguilar | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Sturm Graz
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniil Khudyakov | 90 | 8.6 | — | 0 | — | 26 | — |
| Jusuf Gazibegović | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 25 | 3 |
| Jeyland Mitchell | 59 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 22 | 2 |
| Albert Vallci | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 2 | 51 | 1 |
| Emir Karić | 73 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 36 | 4 |
| Jon Gorenc Stanković | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 46 | 2 |
| Jacob Hödl | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 17 | 3 |
| Gizo Mamageishvili | 73 | 6.0 | — | 0 | 1 | 12 | — |
| Ryan Fosso | 73 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 32 | 2 |
| Seedy Jatta | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 21 | 1 |
| Maurice Malone | 88 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 2 | 14 | — |
| Paul Koller | 31 | 7.0 | — | 0 | 1 | 24 | — |
| Niklas Geyrhofer | 17 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 14 | — |
| Otar Kiteishvili | 17 | 7.0 | — | 1 | — | 13 | — |
| Luca Weinhandl | 17 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 9 | 1 |
| Axel Kayombo | 12 | 7.3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | — | — |
| Matteo Bignetti | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Haider | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Stefan Hierländer | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rory Wilson | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
PUT YOUR VIEW TO THE TEST
Open practice slip +Try it with virtual funds
Start with £1,000 virtual funds. Choose a single or combine different matches in an accumulator, then track confirmed results. No real money. Record an actual bet in your manual journal ↗
Football data. A clearer perspective.Back to matches →