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Sturm Graz vs Rapid Vienna match centre

Sturm Graz badgeSturm GrazHome · 2 in league
WDWDD
Momentum↘ Falling56/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
2:0
UK time · Europe/London
Rapid Vienna badgeRapid ViennaAway · 5 in league
WDWWW
Momentum↗ Rising89/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
G. Mamageishvili88′
S. Hierlander90+2′
Merkur-Arena · GrazSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate100.0%Sturm Graz
Draw0.0%at full time
Current result estimate0.0%Rapid Vienna
Another goal7.8%before full time

Next goal: Sturm Graz 5.9% · no further goal 92.2% · Rapid Vienna 1.8%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
Sturm GrazRapid Vienna
9Corner Kicks3
11Fouls5
—Yellow Cards—
0Red Cards1
1Goalkeeper Saves6
420Total passes208
364Passes accurate132

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

IF THE SCORE HOLDS

Provisional table

Bundesliga , Championship Round

Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.

#TeamPGDPtsMove
1Sturm Graz33+1840↑ 1
2Lask Linz32+1439↓ 1
3Red Bull Salzburg32+1529—
4Austria Vienna32-529—
5Rapid Vienna33-727—
6TSV Hartberg32025—
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Sturm Graz 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Rapid Vienna 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Sturm Graz

4/10Wins
1.8Goals / game
0.9Conceded / game

Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At home, 4 wins from 8 available matches.

Inspect Sturm Graz’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Rapid Vienna

4/10Wins
1.1Goals / game
1.4Conceded / game

Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 8 available matches.

Inspect Rapid Vienna’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Sturm Graz at home with Rapid Vienna away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 01:08 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Bundesliga · 2025/26 · all league matches

Sturm GrazRapid Vienna
30Matches played30
50Points earned44
14Wins12
1.5Goals scored / match1.2
1.1Goals conceded / match1.3
11Clean sheets8
3Failed to score6

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Sturm Graz at home with Rapid Vienna away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Sturm Graz

Confirmed formation3-4-1-2Fabio Ingolitsch
  1. 53D. KhudyakovG
  2. 5A. VallciD
  3. 2J. MitchellD
  4. 30P. KollerD
  5. 43J. HodlM
  6. 39L. WeinhandlM
  7. 4J. Gorenc StankovicM
  8. 17E. KaricM
  9. 10O. KiteishviliF
  10. 77M. MaloneF
  11. 20S. JattaF
Substitutes (9)

40 · M. Bignetti

15 · G. Mamageishvili

80 · R. Fosso

26 · B. Beganovic

8 · F. Rozga

25 · S. Hierlander

22 · J. Gazibegovic

11 · A. Kayombo

23 · A. Malic

Rapid Vienna

Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Johannes Thorup
  1. 1N. HedlG
  2. 4J. M. SchollerD
  3. 55N. CvetkovicD
  4. 6S. Raux YaoD
  5. 15N. WurmbrandM
  6. 29R. AmaneM
  7. 26A. WeimannM
  8. 77B. BollaM
  9. 22Y. DemirF
  10. 10P. DahlF
  11. 9E. KaraF
Substitutes (9)

25 · P. Gartler

21 · L. Schaub

16 · T. Borkeeiet

90 · J. Antiste

61 · F. Demir

8 · L. Grgic

7 · M. Tilio

17 · T. Gulliksen

20 · A. Ahoussou

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Sturm Graz

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Daniil Khudyakov907.2—0—24—
Albert Vallci906.9—02591
Jeyland Mitchell907.2—02542
Paul Koller907.2—0—60—
Jacob Hödl726.9—0225—
Luca Weinhandl626.3—0—19—
Jon Gorenc Stanković907.2—01552
Emir Karić847.3—02491
Otar Kiteishvili907.7—05423
Maurice Malone626.2—0—9—
Seedy Jatta726.6—02101
Gizo Mamageishvili287.610114—
Axel Kayombo286.3—011—
Jusuf Gazibegović187.2—1—10—
Belmin Beganović186.5—012—
Stefan Hierländer127.51025—
Matteo Bignetti———————
Arjan Malić———————
Filip Rózga———————
Ryan Fosso———————

Rapid Vienna

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Niklas Hedl907.9—0—45—
Jakob Schöller906.9—0—194
Nenad Cvetković906.2—01192
Serge-Philippe Raux-Yao906.3—0—28—
Nikolaus Wurmbrand606.9—018—
Romeo Amane906.9—0—224
Andreas Weimann866.3—0113—
Bendegúz Bolla906.9—0—221
Yusuf Demir223.9—0—4—
Petter Nosakhare Dahl606.7—0—111
Ercan Kara906.9—0—201
Kouadio Ange Ahoussou306.3—0—81
Lukas Grgić306.3—0—41
Tobias Fjeld Gulliksen106.2—0—2—
Paul Gartler———————
Furkan Demir———————
Louis Schaub———————
Tobias Borkeeiet———————
Marco Tilio———————
Janis Antiste———————
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerSturm GrazDrawRapid Vienna
Bet3651.913.703.70

Snapshot from 16 May 2026, 20:21 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

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