Apoel Nicosia
5/10Wins
1.4Goals / game
1.5Conceded / game
Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At home, 2 wins from 5 available matches.
Inspect Apoel Nicosia’s results
1. DivisionChampionship Group - 28THE MATCH CENTREApoel Nicosia vs Aris match centre
90′ · Live
2:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
N. Koutsakos20′
S. Drazic80′
D. Gaustad58′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate95.0%Apoel Nicosia
Draw4.8%at full time
Current result estimate0.1%Aris
Another goal8.2%before full time
Next goal: Apoel Nicosia 3.2% · no further goal 91.8% · Aris 5.0%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.Apoel NicosiaAris
1.350Expected goals · API-Football2.020
3Shots on target8
8Total Shots17
46%Ball Possession54%
1Corner Kicks8
8Fouls17
2Yellow Cards3
0Red Cards0
7Goalkeeper Saves1
359Total passes403
287Passes accurate335
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
1-division: Regular seasonProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Omonia Nicosia | 26 | +46 | 61 | — |
| 2 |  AEK Larnaca | 26 | +27 | 53 | — |
| 3 |  Apollon Limassol | 26 | +14 | 53 | — |
| 4 |  Pafos | 26 | +29 | 51 | — |
| 5 | Apoel Nicosia | 27 | +19 | 48 | — |
| 6 |  Aris | 27 | +21 | 43 | — |
| 7 |  Omonia Aradippou | 26 | -8 | 34 | — |
| 8 |  AEL | 26 | -7 | 33 | — |
| 9 |  Anorthosis | 26 | -10 | 32 | — |
| 10 |  Krasava Ypsonas | 26 | -10 | 28 | — |
| 11 |  Olympiakos | 26 | -15 | 28 | — |
| 12 |  Akritas | 26 | -25 | 26 | — |
| 13 |  Ethnikos Achna | 26 | -19 | 23 | — |
| 14 |  Enosis | 26 | -62 | 1 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Apoel Nicosia 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Aris 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Aris
1/10Wins
1.5Goals / game
1.7Conceded / game
Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 5 available matches.
Inspect Aris’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Apoel Nicosia
10 matchesResults5 wins · 0 draws · 5 losses
Goals scored per game1.4
Goals conceded per game1.5
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Aris
10 matchesResults1 wins · 4 draws · 5 losses
Goals scored per game1.5
Goals conceded per game1.7
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored7 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Apoel Nicosia at home with Aris away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 10:14 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
1. Division · 2025/26 · all league matches
Apoel NicosiaAris
27Matches played27
45Points earned44
13Wins12
1.7Goals scored / match1.9
1.0Goals conceded / match1.0
9Clean sheets12
5Failed to score4
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Apoel Nicosia at home with Aris away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Apoel Nicosia
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Pablo Garcia
- 27
V. BelecG - 21
C. PoursaitidisD - 31
F. BrorssonD - 2
E. AntoniouD - 14
NanuD - 7
M. MeyerM - 29
Diego RosaM - 77
D. ManciniM - 15
M. TomasM - 99
P. OlayinkaM - 89
N. KoutsakosF
Substitutes (11)
1 · Gabriel Pereira
22 · A. Christodoulou
3 · K. Stafylidis
5 · M. Degenek
9 · S. Drazic
10 · Marquinhos
11 · Gabriel Maioli
20 · Dalcio
23 · P. Kattirtzis
36 · C. Appiah
45 · K. Yiannacou
Aris
Confirmed formation4-3-3Liasos Louka
- 1
Vana AlvesG - 20
S. YagoD - 27
L. BalogunD - 4
D. LelleD - 7
Anderson CorreiaD - 28
G. KastanosM - 88
C. Fi AkambaM - 76
C. CharalampousM - 29
D. GaustadF - 99
R. EffagheF - 66
J. MontnorF
Substitutes (12)
25 · W. Foderingham
90 · E. Sofroniou
6 · C. Goldson
9 · A. Kokorin
14 · Y. Gomis
18 · Y. Bourhane
19 · M. Sane
30 · Gustavo Paje
45 · R. McCausland
70 · E. Semedo
75 · M. Theodosiou
80 · A. Kakoullis
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Apoel Nicosia
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vid Belec | 90 | 8.2 | 0 | 0 | — | 13 | 0 |
| Constantinos Poursaitides | 75 | 7.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 0 |
| Franz Brorsson | 90 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | — | 32 | 0 |
| Evagoras Antoniou | 90 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | — | 30 | 0 |
| Nanú | 46 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | — | 15 | 0 |
| Max Meyer | 67 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | — | 36 | 0 |
| Diego Rosa | 90 | 7.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 35 | 1 |
| Daniel Mancini | 90 | 7.9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 39 | 0 |
| Mathías Tomás | 90 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 44 | 1 |
| Peter Olayinka | 67 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 1 |
| Nikolas Koutsakos | 67 | 7.3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 1 |
| Konstantinos Stafylidis | 51 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | — | 23 | 0 |
| Stefan Dražić | 30 | 7.3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 |
| Dálcio | 30 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | — | 11 | 0 |
| Marquinhos | 30 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | — | 10 | 0 |
| Konstantinos Giannakou | 23 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | — | 5 | 0 |
Aris
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vaná | 90 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | — | 21 | 0 |
| Steeve Yago | 90 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | — | 54 | 0 |
| Leon Balogun | 90 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 47 | 0 |
| David Lelle | 86 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 37 | 0 |
| Anderson Correia | 90 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | — | 45 | 0 |
| Grigoris Kastanos | 90 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 54 | 0 |
| Collins Phares Fi Akamba | 21 | 5.9 | 0 | 0 | — | 9 | 0 |
| Charalampos Charalampous | 90 | 7.2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 50 | 0 |
| Dennis Bakke Gaustad | 71 | 7.2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 0 |
| Rody Junior Effaghe | 71 | 6.2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| Jaden Montnor | 86 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 0 |
| Gustavo Paje | 76 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | — | 16 | 0 |
| Andronikos Kakoullis | 26 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | — | 7 | 0 |
| Aleksandr Kokorin | 26 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | — | 5 | 0 |
| Mamadou Sane | 11 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 |
| Yannick Gomis | 11 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | — | 9 | 0 |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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